Germany vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Nations League Predictions
Thursday’s final match at the 2026 Volleyball Nations League will see Germany taking on Italy. Gli Azzurri have won their last three matches against this opponent, and we are going for them to extend that record here as our main prediction.
Germany showed their powers of recovery in their first match, coming from 2-1 sets down to beat Canada 3-2 and avoid one of the major upsets of the opening round of the 2026 VNL.
Filip John and Tobias Brand combined for 38 points in the opening match and now sit joint-sixth in the attacking charts after game one. Simon Torwie led the team with three block points.
Germany have only won four of their last 11 matches in all competitions, and last beat their upcoming opponents back in 2023 during Olympics qualification.
Meanwhile, Italy kicked off the 2026 VNL as second-favourites to win the title, but their campaign started in disappointment, as they lost their opening match 3-2 to France on Wednesday.
That match was eventually decided by just two points, with Kamil Rychlicki leading the way with an incredible 30 points. He now leads the attacking charts in the competition with 27 points.
Gli Azzurri have won 11 of their last 13 matches in all competitions and have only lost one of their last 10 to this opponent.
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Germany v Italy Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 | 1.22 |
|
|
4.32 | 1.22 |
|
|
3.55 | 1.26 |
|
|
3.6 | 1.27 |
|
|
3.65 | 1.23 |
|
Germany vs Italy Form
Germany and Italy's standings in the Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 |
|
11
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Germany and Italy Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
17 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
15 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
20 Jul 2025 - Nations League
19 Jul 2025 - Nations League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
20 Jul 2025 - Nations League
19 Jul 2025 - Nations League
16 Jul 2025 - Nations League
29 Jun 2025 - Nations League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
17 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
17 Jul 2025 - Nations League
26 Jun 2025 - Nations League
14 Jun 2025 - Nations League
5 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
28 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
24 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
21 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
16 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Nations League
30 Jul 2025 - Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
28 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
21 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
3 Aug 2025 - Nations League
20 Jul 2025 - Nations League
Germany vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
12 Jun 2025 - Nations League
22 May 2024 - Nations League
4 Oct 2023 - Olympic Games, Qual., Intercontinental Gr. B
6 Sept 2023 - Euro Volley
10 Jun 2023 - Nations League
22 Jun 2022 - Nations League
Germany - Italy Key Points
- Italy are the number-two ranked team in the world.
- Italy have won 11 of their last 13 matches in all competitions.
- Italy have won nine of their last 10 matches against this opponent.
- Germany have only won four of their last 11 matches in all competitions.
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Our Germany vs Italy Prediction
Germany survived what would have been one of the upsets of Week 1 by coming back from 2-1 down to beat Canada, and they will be looking to carry that momentum into this matchup.
However, it will certainly not be easy against Italy, who played out a marathon of a match against France and were only narrowly beaten. Gli Azzurri will be determined to bounce back here, and given their record in this fixture, we feel they will get the win. Our Germany vs Italy prediction is Italy wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
