Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open
ATP - ATP US Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in ATP US Open Predictions
Frances Tiafoe is one win away from his third US Open semi-final. The 11th seed faces unseeded Alex Michelsen in an all-American clash in the quarter-finals of this Grand Slam tournament. Tiafoe has won their two previous meetings without dropping a set. Our prediction here is a win for Tiafoe.
In the last four, the winner will take on either second seed Carlos Alcaraz or eighth-seeded Ben Shelton.
In both 2022 and 2024, Frances Tiafoe reached the last four of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam. He is up to 12th in the live rankings and that's 21 places above his opponent. They have had two previous meetings, but this is the first time they've met on this surface.
The last round saw Tiafoe end a poor run of results against Daniil Medvedev. He won that match in straight sets..
Alex Michelsen is having the best run in a Grand Slam in his career. This is his first quarter-final and before this year, he had never got past the second round of the US Open.
This tournament has changed all of that. He has had wins over Federico Cina, the 16th seed Brandon Nakashima and then Daniel Merida. All were straight sets victories and that run continued in round four as he beat 27th seeded Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Frances Tiafoe v Alex Michelsen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.64 | 2.18 |
|
|
|
3.75 | 1.3 |
|
|
|
1.66 | 2.22 |
|
|
|
1.66 | 2.22 |
|
|
|
3.75 | 1.3 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen match is: Frances Tiafoe wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen game on 08/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 65.34% chance to win against Alex Michelsen according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 3.75.
- Alex Michelsen has a 34.66% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at Betway.
Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 65.34 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 65.34 % |
| Alex Michelsen | 34.66 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Form
Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
23 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
22 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
8 Feb 2024 - Dallas Open
Frances Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen Key Points
- Tiafoe is 21 places above Michelsen in the live rankings.
- A win here will take Tiafoe into his third US Open semi-final in five years.
- Only six players have earned more ranking points than Tiafoe this year.
- Michelsen has not won a set in two previous matches against Tiafoe.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Prediction
This quarter-final guarantees us an American player in the last four of the US Open. Frances Tiafoe isn't just the seeded player here, he has a great recent record in New York with two semi-finals. He's seventh in the ATP Live Race and has had two previous wins over Michelsen.
Alex Michelsen has finally made it to a Grand Slam quarter-final. He has made it to the last eight without dropping a set and has beaten two seeds. A side bet on a tie-break may well win here. Our main Frances Tiafoe v Alex Michelsen prediction is Frances Tiafoe wins.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen game!

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's ATP US Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.