Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Fluminense and La Guaira face off at Maracana in the final group match of the Copa Libertadores, with automatic qualification still up for grabs. Fluminense, who have scored the fewest goals in their group (4), are overwhelming favorites but this can easily turn into a tight and low-scoring affair, which sees our prediction lean towards less than 3.5 goals.
Fluminense are in third place in Group C of the Copa Libertadores with five points, level with Bolivar in second. If they can beat La Guaira on the final group match of the Copa Libertadores with results elsewhere going their way, they could avoid the Copa Sudamericana route entirely.
The Tricolor's last match in this competition was a narrow 2-1 home win against Bolivar, ending a four-match winless run.
Unfortunately, they couldn't build on that outcome in the Serie A Betano, succumbing to a 1-0 away defeat to Mirassol. This has left them third in the standings.
La Guaira have yet to win a game in Group C of the Copa Libertadores and are anchored at the bottom of the table.
With three draws recorded in five games (L2), they find themselves in contention for securing automatic qualification to the knockout stages or placement in the Copa Sudamericana.
Los Naranjas' last match in this competition was a 4-2 home thrashing at the hands of Independiente Rivadavia, marking their second defeat in three games.
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Fluminense v Deportivo La Guaira Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 15 |
|
|
1.16 | 8 | 15 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.3 | 16 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 13 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and Deportivo La Guaira?
Our prediction for the Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/05/2026 between Fluminense and Deportivo La Guaira in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.37% for a win of Fluminense against Deportivo La Guaira with odds of 1.19 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira is 37.31% with odds of 8.4 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense with odds of 20 at Betsson.
Fluminense - Deportivo La Guaira Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fluminense Deportivo La Guaira Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fluminense wins | 43.37% | 1.19 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.89% | |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fluminense | 21.38% | 4.1 at LSbet |
Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira Form
Fluminense and Deportivo La Guaira's standings in the Copa Libertadores
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 |
Fluminense and Deportivo La Guaira Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Primera Division
21 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
15 May 2026 - Primera Division
12 May 2026 - Primera Division
9 May 2026 - Primera Division
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
15 May 2026 - Primera Division
9 May 2026 - Primera Division
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
7 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Primera Division
12 May 2026 - Primera Division
2 May 2026 - Primera Division
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
25 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
14 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
Fluminense against Deportivo La Guaira Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Pitaluga
DefenderRene
S. Xavier
I. Rabello
MidfielderNonato
J. Millan
F. Bernal
Y. Soteldo
K. Serna
R. Silva de Almeida
R. Castillo
G. Cano
J. Sanchez
DefenderM. Gianoli
MidfielderN. Hernandez
J. Perdomo
C. Faya Rivero
M. Sulbaran
F. Caceres
J. Vargas
J. Castellanos
R. Arace
ForwardA. Rodriguez
A. Uribe
Most goals and assists
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
J. Kennedy
(2 Goals)
F. Londono
(2 Goals)
J. Savarino
(1 Assists)
,
Y. Soteldo
(1 Assists)
,
M. Martinelli
(1 Assists)
J. Meza
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Caceres
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Gutierrez
(1 Assists)
,
G. Ortiz
(1 Assists)
Fluminense - Deportivo La Guaira Key Points
- Fluminense have won three of their last four matches across all competitions.
- La Guaira are winless in their last five Copa Libertadores games, with under 3.5 goals landing in three of those matches.
- Fluminense have seen each of their last five Copa Libertadores games end with under 3.5 goals.
- La Guaira are winless in their last two away Copa Libertadores games.
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Our Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction
For a side that boasts more tournament experience than La Guaira, Fluminense struggled to assert their dominance in the reverse fixture against this opponent, salvaging a point in a goalless draw. However, there's reason to believe they can get the job done this time.
La Guaira can make life difficult for the Brazilian outfit once again, but avoiding defeat is out of the question. Their form in this competition has left much to be desired, going five games without a win. The best they can do is avoid a heavy defeat. Our Fluminense vs La Guaira prediction: less than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fluminense Deportivo La Guaira
| Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense wins | 1.13 | 1.19 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 8 | 8.4 | +5.0% |
| Deportivo La Guaira wins | 16 | 20 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fluminense is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 88.5% and is now 84.0% (-4.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
