Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
26/04/2026 06:30
Sassuolo

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina will continue with their push for survival in the Italian Serie A at home to Sassuolo this weekend. While Sassuolo secured survival last week, Fiorentina can make a giant step towards the same with a win here. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Fiorentina’s European sojourn is over, and full attention is now on Serie A. They haven’t had a great season, but staying up will be a welcome achievement.

Fiorentina are currently 15th on 36 points, eight above the drop zone with 15 more points to play for. La Viola were held to a 1-1 draw by Lecce last time out to extend their league unbeaten run to six games.

Sassuolo confirmed another season in Serie A last week with a 2-1 win at home to Europe-chasing Como. They have banked 45 points and landed in the top half, which should make for a successful season for a promoted team.

For the Neroverdi a place in Europe is out of reach, but they stand in a good place for a top 10 finish. That may demand an improvement on their away record.

The visitors have only managed two wins across the last 10 matches on the road. They won the reverse meeting 3-1 and will be gunning for a league double.

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Fiorentina v Sassuolo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.02 3.5 3.9
Melbet
1.98 3.28 4.08
Betwinner
1.98 3.28 4.08
Bet365
2 3.3 4
Roobet
1.96 3.3 3.95
Check all Fiorentina vs Sassuolo odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Sassuolo?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match is: Fiorentina wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/04/2026 between Fiorentina and Sassuolo in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.71% for a win of Fiorentina against Sassuolo with odds of 2.06 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Sassuolo is 23.04% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Sassuolo vs Fiorentina with odds of 4.24 at 888Starz.

Fiorentina - Sassuolo Prediction and Best Odds:

Fiorentina Sassuolo Prediction Probability Odds
Fiorentina wins 47.71% 2.06 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 58.23% 1.91 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 72.5%
Half-time / Full-time : Fiorentina/Fiorentina 18.76% 3.1 at Bet365

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Form

Fiorentina and Sassuolo's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Sassuolo
49 38 14 7 17 -4
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9

Fiorentina and Sassuolo Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
D W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

16 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

13 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lazio

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Fiorentina

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Fiorentina

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan
L D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

13 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lazio

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
RKS Rakow Czestochowa

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

26 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  4
Jagiellonia Bialystok
L W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Fiorentina

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Fiorentina

19 Mar 2026 - Conference League

RKS Rakow Czestochowa
1 :  2
Fiorentina

16 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  4
Fiorentina

2 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  0
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Sassuolo Last matches
L L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Como 1907

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Sassuolo

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Sassuolo

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Bologna

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Como 1907

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Bologna

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

20 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  5
Inter Milan
L W W L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Sassuolo

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Sassuolo

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Sassuolo

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  3
Sassuolo

17 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

50 %

Draw

0 %

Sassuolo

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

28 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Sassuolo

6 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  0
Fiorentina

2 Jun 2023 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  3
Fiorentina

7 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Sassuolo

26 Feb 2022 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina against Sassuolo Lineups: Starting 11

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

43
D. De Gea
2
Dodo
3
D. Rugani
6
L. Ranieri
62
L. Balbo
8
R. Mandragora
44
N. Fagioli
27
C. Ndour
17
J. Harrison
10
A. Gudmundsson
19
M. Solomon
45
A. Lauriente
99
A. Pinamonti
7
C. Volpato
42
K. Thorstvedt
18
N. Matic
90
I. Kone
23
U. Garcia
80
T. Muharemovic
21
J. Idzes
6
S. Walukiewicz
13
S. Turati

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Sassuolo

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

L. Lezzerini

O. Christensen

Defender

P. Comuzzo

L. Balbo 75'

E. Kouadio

E. Kospo

Midfielder

M. Brescianini

J. Fazzini

J. Harrison 66'

G. Fabbian

R. Mandragora 67'

Forward

R. Braschi

G. Puzzoli

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Goalkeeper

G. Zacchi

G. Satalino

A. Muric

Defender

W. Coulibaly

J. Doig

Pedro Felipe

F. Romagna

Midfielder

A. Vranckx

N. Matic 88'

E. Iannoni

L. Lipani

C. Volpato 65'

C. Frangella

Forward

L. Moro

A. Lauriente 88'

A. Fadera

I. Kone 74'

M. Nzola

A. Pinamonti 74'

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

R. Gosens

M. Pongracic

F. Parisi

Midfielder

A. Sabiri

Forward

M. Kean

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Defender

F. Cande

E. Pieragnolo

Midfielder

D. Boloca

D. Bakola

Forward

D. Berardi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Sassuolo
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (9 Goals)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Lauriente (9 Assists)

Fiorentina - Sassuolo Key Points

  1. Sassuolo have lost three times in their last six outings.
  2. Fiorentina have won six times in their last nine matches.
  3. In Serie A, Fiorentina are unbeaten in six games (3W, 3D).
  4. Sassuolo are winless in their last three away matches (2L, 1D).
  5. Three times in their last five meetings, Sassuolo lost to Fiorentina.
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Our Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction

Our prediction for Fiorentina v Sassuolo is that Fiorentina wins. Sassuolo have achieved their main target for the season, and with survival guaranteed, there could be a dropoff in their effort henceforth. Fiorentina do not have that comfort yet.

La Viola haven’t secured their place in the topflight but it looks likely to happen soon, going by their recent numbers. Ahead of this game, they haven’t lost in six Serie A matches, winning three. They face a side on three defeats in the last six games.

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Sassuolo

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fiorentina wins 1.98 2.06 +4.0%
Draw 3.32 3.55 +6.9%
Sassuolo wins 4.76 4.24 -10.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fiorentina is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 50.5% and is now 48.5% (-2.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction