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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP 13 Canada
Felix Auger Aliassime
08/10/2025 06:30
ATP 9 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction :

 

Felix Auger Aliassime wins the match

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

Two seeds meet in round four of the outdoor hard court Shanghai Masters. Eighth-seeded Lorenzo Musetti takes on 12th-seeded Felix Auger-Aliassime with a place in the last eight up for grabs.. Here’s our match prediction.

Felix Auger-Aliassime has made it to round four (the last 16) without dropping a set. The Canadian has had wins over Alejandro Tabilo (who recently beat Musetti) and Jesper De Jong. He’s now 13th in the live rankings but tenth in the ATP Race with a good chance of reaching the Tour Finals.

These two players have had seven previous meetings. Musetti leads 4-3 overall but Auger-Aliassime is 2-1 up on hard courts. Their most recent meeting saw Musetti win in this year’s Miami hard court tournament.

In the quarter-finals, the winner of this match will be up against either 15th seed Jiri Lehecka or unseeded Arthur Rinderknech.

Lorenzo Musetti has so far beaten Francisco Comesana and 26th seed Luciano Darderi, both in straight sets. It took him 131 minutes to get past Darderi. He's won 18 hard court matches in 2025 but that's nine fewer than his opponent has had.

The 23-year-old Italian is eighth in both the live rankings and ATP Race. He recently reached the Chengdu hard court final.

We tip Auger-Aliassime to win this match.

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The Best Betting Odds for Felix Auger Aliassime v Lorenzo Musetti Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.1 1.73
William Hill
2.1 1.73
Betway
2 1.8
Ladbrokes
2 1.73
Unibet
2.07 1.75
Check all Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti odds
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Who will win the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Felix Auger-Aliassime to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 08/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:

  • Felix Auger Aliassime has a 45.99% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 2.11.
  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 54.01% probability of winning facing Felix Auger Aliassime ⭐ with odds of 1.8 at Betway.

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Felix Auger Aliassime has a 45.99 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Felix Auger Aliassime45.99 %
Lorenzo Musetti54.01 %

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Felix Auger Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches

Felix Auger Aliassime Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Jesper De Jong

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Alejandro Tabilo

5 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Felix Auger Aliassime

3 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  1
Alex De Minaur

1 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  0
Andrey Rublev

30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Alexander Zverev
1 :  3
Felix Auger Aliassime
Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
L W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Luciano Darderi
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Francisco Comesana
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Learner Tien
abort
Lorenzo Musetti

28 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

23 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Felix Auger Aliassime

33 %

Lorenzo Musetti

67 %

23 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Felix Auger Aliassime

3 Aug 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Felix Auger Aliassime

15 Oct 2022 - Florence, Italy, Qualifying

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti
Compare Felix Auger Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti with our comparison tool.

Felix Auger Aliassime - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Felix Auger-Aliassime has won two hard court titles this year.
  2. Auger-Aliassime has won two of his three hard court matches played against Musetti.
  3. In his last 12 matches, only Jannik Sinner has beaten Auger-Aliassime.
  4. Musetti recently lost to Alejandro Tabilo who Auger-Aliassime beat earlier in this tournament
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime is attempting to reach his seventh ATP Tour hard court quarter-final of the year. He's battling hard to make it into the Tour Finals. Only two of his last 12 matches have been lost and Jannik Sinner beat him on both occasions.

Lorenzo Musetti had a tough match in the last round when beating Luciano Darderi. The Italian is also in a good position to qualify for the Tour Finals. This could be close but on form our Felix Auger-Aliassime v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Felix Auger-Aliassime to win.

Prediction :

 

Felix Auger Aliassime wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
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