FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie B

Italy - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
22/05/2026 14:00
Bari

Prediction :

 

Draw & under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Sudtirol and Bari will face off in the return leg of their Serie B relegation Play Out final this Friday. Sudtirol plays host in Bolzano, following a 0-0 draw in the first leg. While Bari have a better run, coming into the game on two wins and a draw, neither side has been consistent, and a prediction for a low-scoring draw could pass.

For the third time in four matches, Sudtirol failed to score as they drew with Bari. Their last four matches have yielded just one goal.

This deteriorating streak in attack has been a factor in Sudtirol’s 11-match winless run. They are, however, unbeaten in six meetings with Bari.

Bari last won this fixture back in 2023. They’ve struggled a bit in this fixture, and we don’t see much of that changing here, even with their better run.

A 2-0 win against Entella and 3-2 over Catanzaro temporarily lifted Bari’s scoring woes. However, they couldn’t carry on in their first leg meeting with Sudtirol at home.

Failure to hit the back of the net in five of eight matches says a lot about the visitors’ attack. Their away form hasn’t been great either, as the team has lost four times in the last five games on the road. They failed to score in three of those four defeats.

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FC Sudtirol Bolzano v Bari Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.91 3.3 4.3
Melbet
1.91 3.38 4.04
Betwinner
1.9 3.4 4.04
Bet365
1.86 3.3 4.33
Roobet
1.87 3.25 4.2
Check all FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari odds

What is the prediction for the football match between FC Sudtirol Bolzano and Bari?

Our prediction for the FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari match is: draw & under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/05/2026 between FC Sudtirol Bolzano and Bari in Serie B :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.58% for a win of FC Sudtirol Bolzano against Bari with odds of 1.95 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari is 30.08% with odds of 3.4 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano with odds of 4.45 at Shangrila.

FC Sudtirol Bolzano - Bari Prediction and Best Odds:

FC Sudtirol Bolzano Bari Prediction Probability Odds
FC Sudtirol Bolzano wins 35.58% 1.95 at LSbet
Under 2.5 59.91% 2.16 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 64.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: FC Sudtirol Bolzano 16.79% 5 at LSbet

FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari Form

FC Sudtirol Bolzano and Bari Last Matches

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
FC Sudtirol Bolzano Last matches
D L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

8 May 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  1
Juve Stabia

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Sampdoria
1 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

25 Apr 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  3
Mantova FC

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Spezia
6 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  1
Modena
L D L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 May 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  1
Juve Stabia

25 Apr 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  3
Mantova FC

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  1
Modena

22 Mar 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  3
Frosinone

15 Mar 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  0
Pescara

7 Mar 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  1
Virtus Entella
W L D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Sampdoria
1 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Spezia
6 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

6 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Cesena
1 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

18 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
3 :  2
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

3 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Reggiana
0 :  4
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
Bari
Bari Last matches
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

8 May 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
2 :  3
Bari

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
2 :  0
Virtus Entella

24 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
2 :  0
Bari

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  3
Venezia

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Monza
2 :  0
Bari
W L W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
2 :  0
Virtus Entella

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  3
Venezia

6 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Bari
3 :  1
Modena

22 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  3
Carrarese Calcio

14 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Bari
4 :  1
Reggiana
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 May 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
2 :  3
Bari

24 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
2 :  0
Bari

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Monza
2 :  0
Bari

18 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Frosinone
2 :  1
Bari

8 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Pescara
4 :  0
Bari

27 Feb 2026 - Serie B

Sampdoria
0 :  2
Bari

FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

FC Sudtirol Bolzano

50 %

Draw

50 %

Bari

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0.83
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
0.17
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

15 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

15 Feb 2026 - Serie B

Bari
1 :  2
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

13 Dec 2025 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  0
Bari

13 May 2025 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  0
Bari

21 Dec 2024 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

24 Feb 2024 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  0
Bari
FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari Prediction

FC Sudtirol Bolzano against Bari Lineups: Starting 11

FC Sudtirol Bolzano

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

31
M. Adamonis
94
H. El Kaouakibi
19
N. Pietrangeli
34
F. Veseli
79
S. Molina
26
M. Frigerio
18
S. Tronchin
17
D. Casiraghi
24
S. Davi
33
S. Merkaj
9
E. Pecorino
17
E. Rao
11
G. Moncini
8
R. Pagano
28
K. Piscopo
18
G. Maggiore
27
M. Braunoder
93
M. Dorval
43
D. Nikolaou
26
C. Odenthal
13
V. Mantovani
31
M. Cerofolini

Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2

Bari

Substitutes

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
Goalkeeper

D. Theiner

D. Borra

Defender

C. Sabatini

F. Davi

D. Mancini

Midfielder

K. Zedadka

J. Martini

D. Crnigoj

D. Casiraghi 86'

F. Tait

M. Frigerio 83'

Forward

R. Tonin

R. Odogwu

E. Pecorino 86'

S. Verdi

Bari
Bari
Goalkeeper

M. Pissardo

Defender

G. Stabile

T. Esteves

B. Mane

R. Pucino

Midfielder

F. Artioli

M. Braunoder 84'

G. De Pieri

L. Dickmann

V. Mantovani 56'

M. Verreth

G. Maggiore 46'

N. Bellomo

Forward

M. Cuni

E. Rao 84'

C. Gytkjaer

R. Pagano 68'

Missing players

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
Goalkeeper

A. Cragno

Defender

A. Masiello

F. Bordon

Midfielder

M. Coulibaly

R. Kofler

Bari
Bari
Defender

A. Cistana

Midfielder

E. Darboe

Forward

A. Partipilo

G. Sibilli

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato FC Sudtirol Bolzano
CD Huachipato Bari
Top Goalscorer
Albania S. Merkaj (9 Goals)
Italy E. Pecorino (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Moncini (11 Goals)
Best assists
Italy D. Casiraghi (7 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria M. Dorval (6 Assists)

FC Sudtirol Bolzano - Bari Key Points

  1. Sudtirol are winless in 11 matches, five being draws.
  2. Five of Sudtirol’s last eight home games ended in draws.
  3. Bari are winless in seven of their last 10 away matches.
  4. Only two of these sides’ last 10 meetings produced over 2.5 goals.
  5. These teams’ last two meetings hosted by Sudtirol ended in 0-0 draws.
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Our FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari Prediction

There aren’t many guarantees on the goals front when these two sides face off. The 0-0 draw in the first leg was therefore not a surprise. Eight times in the last 10 matches pitting these teams, under 2.5 goals were recorded.

Meanwhile, each of the last two meetings hosted by Sudtirol ended in goalless draws. With a place in Serie B at stake, this looks likely to be another tight matchup between the two sides. Our prediction for Sudtirol v Bari will be for a draw & under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Draw & under 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Sudtirol Bolzano Bari

FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
FC Sudtirol Bolzano wins 1.95 1.95 0%
Draw 3.6 3.4 -5.6%
Bari wins 3.9 4.45 +14.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • FC Sudtirol Bolzano is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 51.3% (0.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.