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Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

ATP 49 Hungary
Fabian Marozsan
17/10/2025 03:50
ATP 14 Russia
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction :

 

Total Sets - 2

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions

It's down to the final eight players in the Almaty Open quarterfinals, and two are Fabian Marozsan and Daniil Medvedev. We can't call the outright winner, but we are confident this game will end swiftly. See our best pick in this Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev match prediction.

Medvedev, who ranks 14th over Marozsan at 52nd, is the likely winner here as the betting odds, his H2H performance, and recent games suggest. But with Marozsan’s strong start, we can't rule out the Italian. But one trend that's been prominent in their recent games is three-set singles ending in two sets. And we expect a repeat here.

Marozsan’s two tournament games were straight-set victories, and they now made it five of his last seven singles to end in two sets. And if we're looking even further, 12 of Marozsan’s last 17 three-set singles have also ended in two sets. He capped that run with a brilliant 2-0 victory over Brandon Nakashima in the last round despite being the underdog.

Medvedev, meanwhile, has seen seven of his last ten singles end in two sets. The Russian star also saw this bet win in his only tournament game so far, which was a tight but swift 2-0 win over Adam Walton.

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The Best Betting Odds for Fabian Marozsan v Daniil Medvedev Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 1.4
William Hill
2.9 1.4
Betway
2.9 1.44
Ladbrokes
2.75 1.4
Unibet
2.95 1.42
Check all Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev odds

Who will win the Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev match is: Total Sets - 2.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev game on 17/10/2025 of the current Almaty Open season:

  • Fabian Marozsan has a 26.83% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 3.04.
  • Daniil Medvedev has a 73.17% probability of winning facing Fabian Marozsan ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at Betway.

Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Fabian Marozsan has a 26.83 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Fabian Marozsan26.83 %
Daniil Medvedev73.17 %

Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Fabian Marozsan and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches

Fabian Marozsan Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

15 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Fabian Marozsan

13 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Fabian Marozsan
2 :  0
Luca Nardi

3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Taylor Fritz
2 :  1
Fabian Marozsan

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Fabian Marozsan
2 :  1
Stan Wawrinka

29 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Fabian Marozsan

26 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Fabian Marozsan
2 :  0
Alexandre Muller
Daniil Medvedev Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

16 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

11 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

10 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Learner Tien
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Dalibor Svrcina
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

29 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Fabian Marozsan
0 :  3
Daniil Medvedev
Compare Fabian Marozsan and Daniil Medvedev with our comparison tool.

Fabian Marozsan - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. The only meeting between Marozsan and Medvedev ended in two sets.
  2. All of Marozsan and Medvedev’s tournament games so far were two-set victories.
  3. Five of Marozsan’s last seven and 12 of his last 17 three-set singles finished in two sets.
  4. Seven of Medvedev's last ten three-set singles finished in two sets.
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Our Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

It's a much tougher game in our books than what the betting odds suggest. So instead of backing Medvedev to win, we're betting on this game to end in two sets in favour of any player.

Besides this bet winning in their only previous meeting, we've now seen 12 of Fabian Marozsan’s last 17 and seven of Daniil Medvedev's last ten three-set singles end in two sets. Hence, our Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev prediction is Total Sets - 2.

Prediction :

 

Total Sets - 2

 
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Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Fabian Marozsan and Daniil Medvedev? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Almaty Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

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