Everton vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City still have a chance of winning the treble this season. The Citizens are second in the Premier League and on Monday travel to 11th placed Everton who still have dreams of European football next season. Cityare now six points behind leaders Arsenal but with two games in hand on them. A win here is a must for City. Read more in our match prediction.
City are on a great run at present and have already won the EFL Cup this season. Last weekend saw them beat Southampton to reach the FA Cup final. The goals are flowing for them at present even if Erling Haaland isn't quite in his usual goalscoring form.
This latest set of Premier League matches began with Everton just two points behind seventh and one adrift of eighth place. European qualification is still possible for the Toffees but they do need to improve their current form after two league defeats, both seeing more than 2.5 goals scored.
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Everton v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 4.7 | 1.51 |
|
|
6.6 | 4.8 | 1.44 |
|
|
6.2 | 4.7 | 1.47 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.75 | 1.45 |
|
|
6.8 | 4.7 | 1.43 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Manchester City match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2026 between Everton and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.8% for a win of Everton against Manchester City with odds of 6.8 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Manchester City is 19.28% with odds of 5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Everton with odds of 2.05 at BC Game.
Everton - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 61.92% | 2.05 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.62% | 1.62 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City | 30.18% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Everton vs Manchester City Form
Everton and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
13
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
Everton and Manchester City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
Everton vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
27 Dec 2023 - Premier League
14 May 2023 - Premier League
Everton - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Manchester City have won their last six matches, most recently coming from behind to beat Southampton in the FA Cup semi-final last weekend. Four of those six matches saw more than 2.5 goals scored in the game.
They are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League games and have won their last four away matches in the top-flight. The most recent away league win came at Burnley. The reverse fixture against Everton saw them win 2-0. That extended their unbeaten run against Everton to 18 games.
City are six points adrift of leaders Arsenal but with a couple of games in hand on the Gunners. Their goal difference is +37 but that's four behind Arsenal so they will look for two big wins from their games in hand.
Nine years without a win for Everton.
It was back in 2017 that Everton last beat Manchester City. The Toffees could really do with a win this Monday after suffering successive league losses to Liverpool at home and last weekend away at West Ham United.
The Toffees still have a chance of European football next season. After this match they travel to Crystal Palace and Tottenham with a home game against Sunderland. A couple of wins at least look like being needed.
Only one of their last five games have been won. The last four played have all seen more than 2.5 goals scored. Home form in their new stadium has been patchy with only six wins and seven defeats.
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Everton against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Travers
DefenderS. Coleman
N. Patterson
D. McNeil
C. Alcaraz
T. George
H. Armstrong
T. Barry
T. Dibling
J. Trafford
DefenderR. Ait-Nouri
N. Ake
J. Stones
MidfielderT. Reijnders
Savinho
P. Foden
M. Kovacic
O. Marmoush
Missing players
J. Grealish
J. Branthwaite
R. Dias
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderRodri
Everton & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Manchester City are again likely to be without Rodri for this match. He has a groin injury and didn't start training again until Friday. His absence isn't too disastrous for the Blues, especially if his replacement Nico Gonzalez scores another great goal as he did at Wembley last weekend.
Erling Haaland is fit and was only a second-half sub against Southampton in that FA Cup tie. He's fully expected to start this game as are Jeremy Doku and Bernardo Silva. City won't just want to win this game but boosting their goal difference is also vital in the run-in.
Beto is available again.
Everton need to get back into winning ways after a couple of league defeats. That included a 2-1 home loss to Liverpool and only one of their last five games has been won. The Toffees welcome back Beto who is available to play again after being concussed against Liverpool.
He is likely to replace Thierno Barry and has scored four goals for Everton in his last three appearances. While Everton are scoring on a regular basis, they need to keep it tighter at t he back. Both teams have scored in each of their last three games.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Manchester City
Beto
(9 Goals)
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
J. Garner
(7 Assists)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
Everton - Manchester City Key Points
- The last four Everton games have all seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Everton's last five home league games.
- Five of the last seven Manchester City games have seen at least three goals scored.
- Two of Everton's last three home fixtures against Manchester City have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Everton vs Manchester City Prediction
Manchester City cannot afford a slip-up in this away game against Everton. WInning their final four league games is likely to give them another Premier League title, especially if they can get some wide-margin victories.
They are on an unbeaten run at present and scoring on a regular basis. Everton need to get some wins to squeeze into the European qualification places. Their recent games regularly see at least three goals scored. Our main Everton v Manchester City prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Everton vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
Manchester City wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Manchester City
| Everton vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 5.4 | 6.8 | +25.9% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 5 | +26.6% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.6 | 2.05 | +28.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 28.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 48.8% (-13.7%)
Everton vs Manchester City - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
