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Congo DR vs Guinea Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Congo DR
06/09/2024 12:00
Guinea

Prediction :

 

Congo DR wins

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions

DR Congo and Guinea will face off in their opening match of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers at Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote on Friday evening. The Leopards and the National Elephants are drawn alongisde Ethiopia and Tanzania in Group H of this competition. Here’s our match prediction. 

DR Congo were one of the surprise packages of the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations as they battled their way to a top-four finish, only narrowly beaten by South Africa in the third-place playoff. 

Since then, the Leopards played two CAF World Cup qualifiers in June and drew 1-1 with Senegal before beating Togo 1-0 a few days later to move into third place in their group, three points behind leaders Sudan. 

The hosts have a very good home record coming into this match, suffering defeat only once in their last 10 matches on home soil while winning five and drawing four of the remaining nine. 

Meanwhile, Guinea also had an impressive AFCON campaign at the start of the year, reaching the quarter-final before they were knocked out by none other than their upcoming opponent. 

The National Elephants played and won two friendlies with relative ease against Vanuatu and Bermuda in March before a victory over Algeria and a loss to Mozambique in World Cup qualifying at the start of June. 

However, Guinea’s away form has been unimpressive, with only two wins earned in their last 10 outings in all competitions.

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The Best Betting Odds for Congo DR v Guinea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Betway
2 3 3.8
Ladbrokes
1.91 2.87 4
Unibet
1.94 2.8 4.35
Bwin
1.9 2.9 4
LSbet
2.61 2.84 2.99

What is the prediction for the football match between Congo DR and Guinea?

Our prediction for the Congo DR vs Guinea match is: DR Congo wins!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Congo DR and Guinea in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.2% for a win of Congo DR against Guinea with odds of 2.61 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Congo DR vs Guinea is 25.25% with odds of 3 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Guinea vs Congo DR with odds of 4.35 at Unibet.

Congo DR - Guinea Prediction and Best Odds:

Congo DR Guinea Prediction Probability Odds
Congo DR wins 50.2% 2.61 at LSbet
Under 2.5 54.27% 1.4 at Bwin
Both Team To Score 60.42% 2.45 at Ladbrokes
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Congo DR 31.22% 4.6 at Unibet

Congo DR vs Guinea Form

Congo DR and Guinea's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Congo DR
Congo DR
12 6 4 0 2 4
3
Guinea
Guinea
9 6 3 0 3 4

Congo DR and Guinea Last Matches

Congo DR
Congo DR Last matches
D W L D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo DR
1 :  0
Togo

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Senegal
1 :  1
Congo DR

10 Feb 2024 - AFCON

South Africa
0 :  0
Congo DR

7 Feb 2024 - AFCON

Côte d'Ivoire
1 :  0
Congo DR

2 Feb 2024 - AFCON

Congo DR
3 :  1
Guinea

28 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  1
Congo DR
W W L D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo DR
1 :  0
Togo

2 Feb 2024 - AFCON

Congo DR
3 :  1
Guinea

17 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Congo DR
1 :  1
Zambia

15 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Congo DR
2 :  0
Mauritania

9 Sept 2023 - AFCON

Congo DR
2 :  0
Sudan

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Congo DR
3 :  1
Mauritania
D D D L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Senegal
1 :  1
Congo DR

10 Feb 2024 - AFCON

South Africa
0 :  0
Congo DR

7 Feb 2024 - AFCON

Côte d'Ivoire
1 :  0
Congo DR

28 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  1
Congo DR

24 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Tanzania
0 :  0
Congo DR

21 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  1
Congo DR
Guinea
Guinea Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  1
Mozambique

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Algeria
1 :  2
Guinea

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
5 :  1
Bermuda

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
6 :  0
Vanuatu

2 Feb 2024 - AFCON

Congo DR
3 :  1
Guinea

28 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Guinea
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  1
Mozambique

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
5 :  1
Bermuda

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
6 :  0
Vanuatu

23 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
0 :  2
Senegal

19 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  0
Gambia

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Guinea
2 :  1
Uganda
D L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Algeria
1 :  2
Guinea

2 Feb 2024 - AFCON

Congo DR
3 :  1
Guinea

28 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Guinea

15 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Cameroon
1 :  1
Guinea

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Botswana
1 :  0
Guinea

9 Sept 2023 - AFCON

Malawi
2 :  2
Guinea

Congo DR vs Guinea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

2 Feb 2024 - AFCON

Congo DR
3 :  1
Guinea
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Congo DR vs Guinea last Lineups

Congo DR

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
D. Bertaud
4
B. Bayeye
22
C. Mbemba
5
D. Batubinsika
12
Kayembe
7
G. Diangana
8
S. Moutoussamy
6
A. Tshibola
10
T. Bongonda
23
S. Banza
11
S. Katompa Mvumpa
18
A. Camara
11
M. Bayo
21
S. Sylla
6
A. Diawara
8
N. Keita
7
M. Guilavogui
3
I. Sylla
17
J. Jeanvier
5
M. Diakhaby
12
I. Diakite
22
I. Kone

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Guinea

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Congo DR
CD Huachipato Guinea
Top Goalscorer
Congo Y. Wissa (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
M. Bayo (3 Goals)
Best assists
Congo A. Masuaku (1 Assists)
Congo M. Elia (1 Assists)
Congo C. Bakambu (1 Assists)
Best assists
M. Guilavogui (1 Assists)
I. Diakite (1 Assists)

Congo DR - Guinea Key Points

  1. DR Congo have won six of their last 10 home games.
  2. DR Congo have only lost one of their last 10 home matches.
  3. DR Congo are on a five-match winning streak against this opponent.
  4. Guinea have only won two of their last 10 away games.
  5. Guinea failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine away matches.
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Our Congo DR vs Guinea Prediction

While Guinea enjoyed a solid AFCON campaign earlier this year, there was a significant gulf in class between these sides when they faced off in the quarter-final.

Adding to the expectation that DR Congo are the side to beat here is their excellent home record and their five-match winning streak against Guinea. Our DR Congo vs Guinea prediction: DR Congo wins!

Prediction :

 

Congo DR wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Congo DR Guinea

Congo DR vs Guinea Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Congo DR wins 1.7 2 +17.6%
Draw 3.1 3 -3.2%
Guinea wins 5.25 3.8 -27.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Congo DR is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 17.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 50.0% (-8.8%)

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Congo DR vs Guinea Prediction

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