ATP - Stockholm Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
It doesn't happen too often these days but the top four seeds have all reached the Stockholm Open semi-finals. Second seed Casper Ruud faces third-seeded Denis Shapovalov for a place in the final. Here's our match prediction.
The winner of this match will face either top seed Holger Rune or fourth-seeded Ugo Humbert in the final.
Ruud began this indoor hard court tournament with a straight sets victory over Marin Cilic. It was tougher in the quarter-finals as he had to come from a set down to get past unseeded Sebastian Korda to reach his third ATP Tour hard court semi-final of 2025.
Ruud is 11th in the live rankings and that is 12 places above his opponent.
Denis Shapovalov trails Ruud 2-1 in previous meetings. However, he won the only match played on a hard court. That was in Dallas this year, a tournament Shapovalov went on to win. Each of their three meetings have seen a tie-break played so a side bet on one here is advisable.
Shapovlov has played two Swedish wild cards so far in this tournament. Both matches against Leo Borg and Elias Ymer went to three sets. Shapovalov has won two ATP Tour hard court titles this year but we tip Ruud to win this.
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The Best Betting Odds for Denis Shapovalov v Casper Ruud Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.38 | 1.57 |
|
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2.4 | 1.55 |
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2.6 | 1.48 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud match is: Casper Ruud to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud game on 18/10/2025 of the current Stockholm Open season:
- Denis Shapovalov has a 38.84% chance to win against Casper Ruud according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 2.6.
- Casper Ruud has a 61.16% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 1.65 at Bwin.
Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 38.84 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 38.84 % |
| Casper Ruud | 61.16 % |
Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud Form
Denis Shapovalov and Casper Ruud Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
24 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
29 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
28 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
26 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
9 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open
13 May 2022 - ATP Italian Open
22 May 2021 - ATP Geneva Open
Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud Key Points
- Shapovalov is 12 places below Ruud in the live rankings.
- Shapovalov has dropped two sets in his wins over a couple of wild cards this week.
- Ruud has won five of his last seven matches.
- This is the first time Shapovalov has made it past round three of a tournament since July.
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud Prediction
Casper Ruud can get revenge for his semi-final loss in Dallas earlier this year. He has been more consistent than his Canadian opponent since that match and has won five of his last seven matches. Of his two losses, one was to Carlos Alcaraz.
Denis Shapovalov has had two tough matches this week against lowly ranked players. Both Leo Borg and Elias Ymer took him to three sets and he needs to up his game here. Our Denis Shapovalov v Casper Ruud prediction is Casper Ruud to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
