Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
With just 19 regular-season NBA games left to play, the Oklahoma City Thunder will be looking to maintain their winning form as the San Antonio Spurs close the gap. Next up for OKC is the Dallas Mavericks, whom they've already overcome in their two meetings this season. See if the Thunder can make it 3/3 in our match prediction below.
OKC is coming off a crucial OT win over rivals, the Denver Nuggets. That victory now just puts the Thunder three wins over San Antonio, who are flying sky-high with an 11-game winning streak. If the Spurs continue this form with 19 games to go, OKC may eventually slip to second if they allow further slip-ups.
After losing five in eight games, the Thunder seems to have fixed some leaks after now going 6-2 in their last eight games. The Mavs, on the other hand, are in a tough spot. Dallas isn't mathematically out of the qualification playoffs race, but with six wins separating them and the 10th-place Clippers, it's looking more unlikely.
If they're to do the unlikely and qualify, then every game onward is a must-win. But that's something Dallas has been struggling with as of late. The Mavs just lost two games in a row to the Kings and Grizzlies, making it 12 losses in their last 14 games.
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Dallas Mavericks v Oklahoma City Thunder Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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8.5 | 1.08 |
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8 | 1.08 |
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8 | 1.08 |
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8 | 1.08 |
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8.2 | 1.09 |
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Who will win the Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: SGA scores 30+ points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 01/03/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Dallas Mavericks has a 32.8% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 8.5.
- There is a probability of 67.2% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Dallas Mavericks with odds of 1.09 at Tonybet.
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.78 | 82 | 64 | 18 | |
|
23
|
0.317 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 1 |
Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
27 Feb 2026 - NBA
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12 Feb 2026 - NBA
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
27 Feb 2026 - NBA
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28 Jan 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
24 Feb 2026 - NBA
22 Feb 2026 - NBA
20 Feb 2026 - NBA
12 Feb 2026 - NBA
10 Feb 2026 - NBA
7 Feb 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Feb 2026 - NBA
25 Feb 2026 - NBA
24 Feb 2026 - NBA
22 Feb 2026 - NBA
20 Feb 2026 - NBA
12 Feb 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Feb 2026 - NBA
22 Feb 2026 - NBA
20 Feb 2026 - NBA
12 Feb 2026 - NBA
7 Feb 2026 - NBA
3 Feb 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Feb 2026 - NBA
24 Feb 2026 - NBA
11 Feb 2026 - NBA
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4 Feb 2026 - NBA
1 Feb 2026 - NBA
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
5 Dec 2025 - NBA
27 Oct 2025 - NBA
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17 Jan 2025 - NBA
10 Dec 2024 - NBA
17 Nov 2024 - NBA
Players list
M. Christie
B. Williams
K. Middleton
C. Martin
C. Wallace
L. Dort
Substitutes
R. Nembhard
K. Thompson
A. Johnson
N. Marshall
P. Washington Jr.
B. Boeheim
J. McCain
I. Joe
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
J. Williams
Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- Shai has the 4th-highest offensive rating (121.5) and 4th-highest usage rating (32.5) in the league.
- Shai has averaged 32.6 points per game (PPG) this season (second highest).
- SGA just dropped 36 points in his return game against the Nuggets.
- Shai has scored 30+ points in seven of his last ten NBA games.
- SGA has averaged 32.6 points in his last ten games against the Mavs.
- In his last ten games versus Dallas, Shai scored 30+ points in nine games.
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Our Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
At 1.85 odds, we think backing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to make 30 points versus the Dallas Mavericks is a great bet. Although he just returned from injury and could be on restricted minutes, coach Mark Daigneault will likely play just enough to keep SGA match-ready for the crucial final stages of this season.
In his return game, where he dropped 36 on the Nuggets, Shai had already scored 30+ in 26 minutes by the end of the third quarter. Hence, our Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is that SGA scores 30+ points.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
