Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Conference League Predictions
Crystal Palace have a head start as they go into the return leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final against Shakhtar. The Eagles claimed a 3-1 away win in the first leg and will be hosting this game at Selhurst Park. A title match against Strasbourg or Rayo Vallecano awaits the winner here with the prediction heavy on a Palace win.
Before shocking Manchester City in last season’s FA Cup final, Crystal Palace had not won a major trophy. Now they are two matches away from a second in 12 months and, their first in Europe. Playing away from home isn’t new to Shakhtar and they will surely take the game to Crystal Palace.
In the first leg they had the best of possession, shots and touches in the opposition box but couldn’t break Palace. For them to have a chance at winning a second European title, a win by at least two goals here is a bare minimum. The Pitmen’s backs are surely against the wall.
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Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 4 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our prediction for the Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/05/2026 between Crystal Palace and Shakhtar Donetsk in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.37% for a win of Crystal Palace against Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk is 29.81% with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
Crystal Palace - Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction and Best Odds:
| Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 40.37% | 1.7 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.56% | 1.98 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Crystal Palace/Crystal Palace | 14.97% | 2.35 at LSbet |
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Form
Crystal Palace and Shakhtar Donetsk Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Premier League
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Premier League
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
23 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
20 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
5 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
26 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
23 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
13 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
Crystal Palace - Shakhtar Donetsk: Form Analysis
Ismaila Sarr scored the fastest goal in Conference League history in the first leg of this tie. Additional goals from Daichi Kamada and Jorgen Strand-Larsen ensured Oleg Ocheretko’s equalizer remained a mere consolation. Palace endured long periods of pressure but were strong in defence an clinical in using the chances coming their way.
Oliver Glasner will want to see more of the same as Shakhtar’s away record in this competition says this isn’t over yet. This season in the UECL, Palace have only lost once at home but carry a five-game unbeaten run (3W, 2D). Palace will not be bothered by their 3-0 defeat ton Bournemouth on Sunday, as returning home offers better promise. They are unbeaten in seven home games.
Palace are unbeaten in seven home games, keeping six clean sheets.
History is badly conspiring against Shakhtar Donetsk here. They have never progressed in European ties when losing the first leg by a two-goal margin. They have a big task here and they had just the right warmup for it.
The visitors are coming off a 2-1 win against archrivals Dynamo Kyiv, but a similar scoreline will still not work for them here. With five wins in their last seven away matches though, Shakhtar can’t be underestimated. At best, Arda Turan’s side could push for victory after 90 minutes, as they have only once won away in Europe by 3+ goals in the last decade.
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Crystal Palace against Shakhtar Donetsk Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
R. Matthews
W. Benitez
DefenderC. Riad
N. Clyne
J. Devenny
K. Rodney
J. Lerma
W. Hughes
R. Cardines
B. Johnson
J. Strand Larsen
D. Tvardovskyi
DefenderIrakli Azarov
A. Ghram
A. Bondarenko
Newerton
Isaque
L. dos Santos Ferreira
D. Kryskiv
Y. Nazaryna
ForwardL. Traore
P. Obah
Luca Meirelles
Missing players
B. Sosa
MidfielderC. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
E. Guessand
Crystal Palace & Shakhtar Donetsk Squad Analysis
Crystal Palace will be fired up for this game and one of the players likely to trouble the visitors is Jean-Philippe Mateta. The Frenchman’s last nine goals have come at home. He hasn’t scored in the last five matches but his latest goal involvement was in the first leg of this tie.
Mateta is just one third of the Palace forward line that could trouble Shakhtar; there is Ismaila Sarr and Jorgen Strand-Larsen. Sarr is the leading scorer in the competition with eight goals and will be looking to add to that, having scored in the first leg.
Crystal Palace are the UECL leading scorers with 23 goals in 13 matches.
At Shakhtar, there will be a reliance on Brazilian flair to offer a lift. Alisson Santana and Luca Meirelles have each netted three goals in the competition. Their influence will be crucial here as the Pitmen look to turn the tie around.
The Brazilian influence doesn’t end with the two, Shakhtar also has Isaque Silva, who doesn’t score a lot but his last four goals came in away matches. Another Brazilian, defender Marlon, will be out of this game after picking a knock over the weekend. The 30-year-old may, however, not be missed as he spent the last three matches in this competition on the bench.
Most goals and assists
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
I. Sarr
(9 Goals)
Luca Meirelles
(3 Goals)
,
Alisson
(3 Goals)
D. Kamada
(4 Assists)
K. Elias
(4 Assists)
Crystal Palace - Shakhtar Donetsk Key Points
- Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten kin their last seven away matches.
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last seven home matches.
- Two of Palace’s last four home matches in UECL ended in draws.
- Palace are unbeaten in Europe in seven games, drawing three.
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Our Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction
Crystal Palace are on a good run at home and after their comfortable win on the road in the first leg. They will be confident of a positive result here. Three of their last five home games produced draws, and the same result was witnessed in two of their last four UECL home games.
They face a Shakhtar side used to playing away from home due to the conflict in Ukraine. Shakhtar haven’t lost on their travels in the last seven matches in Europe. These two teams’ home and away qualities put together point us to a possible share of the spoils. Our prediction for Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk is for a draw.
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Alternative Predictions
BTTS: No
Palace have kept six clean sheets in their last seven home matches. A further depiction of their defensive strength is the fact that they have conceded just once in the seven games.
In their last five home matches, however, the Eagles failed to score in three. As they have a good lead, Palace will not be too inclined to attack, so our second prediction for this match is BTTS-No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk
| Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 1.53 | 1.7 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 4.2 | -4.5% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 5.9 | 6.5 | +10.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Crystal Palace is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 58.8% (-6.5%)
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk - FAQs
The Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk game will be staged on Thursday 7th May.
The Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk game will be aired on HBO Max for UK audiences, while Megogo will broadcast the match for Ukrainian fans. For this and the other Europa Conference League semi-final, Sportytrader will have the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
