Europe - Conference League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Conference League Predictions
Crystal Palace play host to AZ Alkmaar in this UEFA Europa Conference round three fixture on Thursday. Can the Eagles bounce back against the Cheese Farmers after their round-two defeat? Let's get to the details and then our prediction.
A 2-0 opening-round victory away against Dinamo Kyiv saw first-timers Crystal Palace's rating soar among favorites to win this year's UEFA Conference League. However, a shock factory-resetting defeat to visiting AEK Larnaca in their second fixture saw them slip down the pecking order. Oliver Glasner's charges have a chance to restore the Eagles' confidence with a strong showing against AZ Alkmaar on Thursday.
AZ Alkmaar have been regulars in Europe's lower tiers, with their peak performance coming in the 2022-23 Conference League campaign when they reached the semi-finals. While boasting a richer experience than Palace, the Cheese Farmers have largely been unsuccessful against English oppositions in Europe. Can they rewrite this narrative traveling to face Palace at Selhurst Park on Thursday? Let's get into the details.
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The Best Betting Odds for Crystal Palace v AZ Alkmaar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.9 | 7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar match is: Both teams to score: No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/11/2025 between Crystal Palace and AZ Alkmaar in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.95% for a win of Crystal Palace against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 1.4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar is 20.98% with odds of 5.35 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.07% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Crystal Palace with odds of 8 at Betfred.
Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Crystal Palace AZ Alkmaar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 40.07% | 8 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 51.68% | 2.4 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AZ Alkmaar | 16.52% | 19 at Bet365 |
Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar Form
Crystal Palace and AZ Alkmaar's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
|
27
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 |
Crystal Palace and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar: Form Analysis
Daniel Munoz and Eddie Nketiah's goals made the difference as Crystal Palace opened their campaign in the main phase of the UEFA Conference League with the impressive 2-0 away victory over Dinamo Kyiv in Lublin. However, they would struggle with a four-match winless run after the Lublin victory. This included a shock 1-0 home defeat to Cypriot club AEK Larnaca in their last UEFA Conference League fixture.
Notably, Oliver Glasner's side have overcome this rough patch. They will head into Thursday's clash on the back of two straight wins in their domestic fixtures – the most recent of which being a 2-0 win over Brentford in the Premier League at the weekend.
AZ Alkmaar have lost eight of their 15 encounters with English opposition in Europe (W2, D5)
AZ Alkmaar fell 4-0 to AEK Larnaca in their opening UEFA Conference League fixture after defender Penetra's second-minute red card. They, however, bounced back the last time out, edging Slovan Bratislava 1-0.
Maarten Martens' side will enter this match off the back of an impressive run of form. They have won their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-0 away win over Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie at the weekend.
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Crystal Palace against AZ Alkmaar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
C. Riad
C. Kporha
MidfielderC. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
S. Maikuma
MidfielderJ. Clasie
ForwardM. Meerdink
Crystal Palace & AZ Alkmaar Squad Analysis
Crystal Palace head into Thursday's clash without key forward Eddie Nketiah who is ruled out due to a hamstring issue. Prolific midfielder Adam Wharton remains a doubt after missing the Brentford win at the weekend. The brunt of the Eagles' attack will remain on leading goalscorer this season, Jean-Philippe Mateta.
Jean-Philippe Mateta will make his 170th appearance for Crystal Palace against AZ Alkmaar
Mateta already has seven goals to his name this season and will be backed up by attacking midfield duo Ismaila Sarr and Yeremy Pino, who scored the three goals in Palace's shock 3-0 win over Liverpool in the EFL Cup at Anfield. AZ Alkmaar will also have to watch out for attacking right-back Daniel Munoz, who has racked up two goals plus two assists for the Eagles this season.
Troy Parrott is expected to lead the attack for AZ Alkmaar. The Irish sensation scored five goals in the qualifiers and has already tallied 13 strikes to his name this season. Sven Mijnans, who has two goals plus five assists this season, will lead the midfield battle for the visitors alongside Peer Koopmeiners and Kees Smit. Alexandre Penetra will return to the defense for Maarten Martens' side, having served his one-match suspension in the opening-round defeat to AEK Larnaca.
Most goals and assists
Crystal Palace
AZ Alkmaar
I. Sarr
(7 Goals)
T. Parrott
(6 Goals)
D. Munoz
(3 Assists)
S. Mijnans
(5 Assists)
Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- At least one team has kept a clean sheet in each of Crystal Palace’s last four matches.
- Both of Crystal Palace’s most recent home matches have ended with one side keeping a clean sheet.
- All of Crystal Palace’s European games this season have ended with at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
- Both of AZ Alkmaar’s UEFA Conference League league-phase matches have ended with at least one team keeping a clean sheet, including three of their last four games.
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Our Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
AZ Alkmaar have turned the corner after their 4-0 defeat to AEK Larnaca and will look to build on their recent strong form at Selhurst Park on Thursday. However, they head into the match as underdogs given their struggles against English opposition in Europe.
Meanwhile, both teams' recent games have seen at least one side keeping a clean sheet and this match is likely to witness that similar outcome. Our Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is Both teams to score: No.
Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Three of Crystal Palace's last four matches have ended with under 2.5 goals, including their last two home games. Three of AZ Alkmaar's last four games have also produced no more than two goals, including their most recent two away fixtures. We expect a low-scoring affair likely to produce no more than two goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Crystal Palace AZ Alkmaar
| Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 1.38 | 1.33 | -3.6% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 5.25 | +16.7% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 5.75 | 7.5 | +30.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 30.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 17.4% and is now 13.3% (-4.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Crystal Palace vs. AZ Alkmaar game!
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Try your luck on this year's Conference League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
