Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
FA Cup finalists Chelsea return to Premier League action looking to end one of the worst runs in their history. They are ninth in the EPL and on Bank Holiday Monday are home to 16th-placed and Europa League semi-finalists Nottingham Forest. The Blues are struggling to qualify for Europe via their Premier League position, while the visitors still have some work to do to avoid relegation. Read more in our match prediction.
Chelsea beat Leeds United last weekend to reach the FA Cup final. In the Premier League, they had slipped to ninth after the weekend games, two points behind Brighton and Hove Albion. They will go seventh if they beat Nottingham Forest.
Nottingham Forest may be 16th in the table but could yet be in next season's UCL if they win this season's Europa League. They are currently only fthree points above the relegation zone with four games to play. Just how will they approach this game, just three days before their Europa League semi-final second leg?
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Chelsea v Nottingham Forest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.72 | 4 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.96 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.95 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest match is: Nottingham Forest wins or draws.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2026 between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.43% for a win of Chelsea against Nottingham Forest with odds of 1.76 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest is 16.73% with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea with odds of 6 at Bet365.
Chelsea - Nottingham Forest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Nottingham Forest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 50.83% | 6 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.66% | 1.88 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 65.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Nottingham Forest/Nottingham Forest | 20.56% | 10 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Form
Chelsea and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
|
16
|
44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 |
Chelsea and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
24 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
25 May 2025 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
2 Sept 2023 - Premier League
13 May 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
Not since November 1993 has Chelsea lost six successive Premier League games. That unwanted record will be matched if the Blues are beaten at home by Nottingham Forest on Monday afternoon.
They have failed to score in their last five league games but did manage one last weekend at Wembley. A Fernandez goal saw them beat Leeds United 1-0 to reach the FA Cup final against Manchester City. They may yet need to win that final to qualify for Europe.
Chelsea are struggling at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea have only won six home league games this season, losing the same number. They have failed to win any of their last five home league fixtures. The reverse fixture saw them win 3-0 at Nottingham Forest making it four games unbeaten against them.
Forest sacked their coach soon after that loss to Chelsea. Another change has taken place since then but they are going well at present. The Tricky Trees lead Aston Villa 1-0 after the first leg of their Europa League semi-final.
Much of this season has been spent in the bottom three of the Premier League. They have escaped the relegation zone and after Sunday's games are three points above the relegation zone.. Forest are unbeaten in their last nine games and scored nine times in their last two Premier League matches.
On the road, the Reds have won six away league games and have won three of their last four.
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Chelsea against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
F. Jorgensen
DefenderJ. Acheampong
L. Colwill
J. Hato
W. Fofana
R. James
MidfielderD. Essugo
A. Santos
ForwardL. Delap
S. Ortega
DefenderN. Williams
N. Milenkovic
E. da Silva Moreira
MidfielderE. Anderson
O. Hutchinson
M. Gibbs-White
ForwardC. Wood
L. Lucca
Missing players
M. Mudryk
J. Gittens
Estevao
W. Boly
O. Aina
N. Savona
MidfielderI. Sangare
Murillo
ForwardC. Hudson Odoi
D. Ndoye
Chelsea & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
Chelsea need to build on their FA Cup semi-final win over Leeds United. They have a faint chance of qualifying for next season's Champions League with them ten points behind fifth place with this game in hand.
There are several injury worries for the Blues. Estevao is out for the season and Jamie Gittens has gone backwards in his battle to regain full fitness Reece James and Levi Colwell have returned to training and could be in the squad for Monday's match.
Chelsea are going through a barren period up front and badly need to get on the scoresheet after five blanks.
Will Forest rotate their squad?
Nottingham Forest are in a bit of a predicament. They have the second leg of their Europa League semi-final on Thursday. However, their Premier League safety is not guaranteed yet so wholesale changes are very unlikely for this match.
The Tricky Trees will be without Callum Hudson-Odoi for this match. Murillo, Dan Ndoye and Ibrahim Sangare will have fitness tests before this match. The return of Chris Wood (their top scorer last season) has already boosted them with two goals in the past week.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
M. Gibbs-White
(15 Goals)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
O. Hutchinson
(5 Assists)
Chelsea - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- Chelsea have lost their last five league games.
- Forest are unbeaten in their last nine matches.
- Forest have scored nine goals in their last two league games.
- Chelsea have not won any of their last five home league games.
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Our Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Recent wins for Chelsea have been in the FA Cup. Their Premier League form has been hugely disappointing with five successive defeats and not a goal in sight. They need a win here to go into the European qualification places.
Nottingham Forest haven't let their Europa League run affect their domestic form. They are on a long unbeaten run and the return of Chris Wood is paying dividends. Our main Chelsea v Nottingham Forest prediction is Nottingham Forest wins or draws.
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Alternative Predictions
Nottingham Forest wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Nottingham Forest
| Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.85 | 1.76 | -4.9% |
| Draw | 3.91 | 4.2 | +7.4% |
| Nottingham Forest wins | 4.57 | 6 | +31.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nottingham Forest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 31.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.9% and is now 16.7% (-5.2%)
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
