Chelsea vs Luton Town Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Chelsea will start off their League Cup campaign in the second round at home against League One side Luton Town. This match will mark the first meeting between the sides since December 2023 in the Premier League. For the third time in five years these teams clash in a cup game, and like the first two, our prediction backs a high-scoring game.
Chelsea, under new manager Xabi Alonso, had a winning start to the season, beating Fulham 3-2 on the road. There were still key defensive struggles seen in their game, which the Blues will hope to address against this attacking Luton side.
Chelsea won both previous cup meetings between these two, 3-1 and 3-2 in the FA Cup.
Luton Town are becoming too accustomed to letting their leads slip before responding. It has happened in the past two matches, first against Reading and most recently against Notts County.
They managed a 4-3 comeback win against Reading but could only draw 2-2 with Notts County. While their fighting spirit is admirable, their defending has been shambolic, and they could be punished at Stamford Bridge.
Jack Wilshere’s men kept their only clean sheet in the first round, as they beat Gillingham 3-0.
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Chelsea v Luton Town Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.17 | 7 | 13 |
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1.21 | 7.2 | 15 |
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1.18 | 7 | 14.5 |
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1.18 | 7 | 14.5 |
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1.18 | 7 | 14.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Luton Town?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Luton Town match is: Chelsea to win & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2026 between Chelsea and Luton Town in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.47% for a win of Chelsea against Luton Town with odds of 1.21 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Luton Town is 10.96% with odds of 7.2 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Luton Town vs Chelsea with odds of 15 at 1xbet.
Chelsea vs Luton Town Form
Chelsea and Luton Town Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2026 - Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - League One
15 Aug 2026 - League One
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - League One
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - League One
15 Apr 2026 - League One
12 Apr 2026 - EFL Trophy
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - League One
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - League One
21 Apr 2026 - League One
Chelsea vs Luton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
25 Aug 2023 - Premier League
2 Mar 2022 - FA Cup
24 Jan 2021 - FA Cup
Players list
R. Sanchez
DefenderJ. Acheampong
M. Lacroix
L. Colwill
M. Gusto
R. James
J. Hato
MidfielderR. Lavia
C. Palmer
M. Rogers
ForwardJoao Pedro
J. Keeley
DefenderM. Andersen
G. Johnston
MidfielderJ. Clark
K. Palmer
L. Walsh
I. Jones
J. Richards
ForwardN. Wells
K. Naismith
E. Lawrence
Substitutes
M. Penders
DefenderP. Chavarria
MidfielderE. Fernandez
V. Barco
ForwardD. Welbeck
Estevao
G. Quenda
P. Neto
J. Gittens
J. Shea
DefenderH. Odofin
H. Ashby
J. Johnson
B. Benagr
ForwardC. Marshall
G. Kodua
Missing players
M. Sarr
M. Palestra
MidfielderJ. Henderson
M. Caicedo
A. Anselmino
ForwardE. Emegha
Chelsea - Luton Town Key Points
- Chelsea won their last two cup games against Luton Town.
- Luton Town failed to keep clean sheets in their last two matches.
- Both teams scored in the latest two cup meetings between these sides.
- Chelsea haven’t managed a clean sheet in their last six competitive matches.
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Our Chelsea vs Luton Town Prediction
Even though Chelsea are expected to rest players and dish out full debuts in this encounter, they remain the favorites. The fact that they may field a weakened side could well give Luton the chance to up their levels and match the Blues.
In the two cup encounters they’ve had, Chelsea emerged tops but not without struggle, as Luton also got on the score sheet. Both sides haven’t shown much solidity in defence, and we could see a case of goals on both sides. Our prediction for Chelsea v Luton Town is for Chelsea to win & BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.