Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Third-placed Cardiff host pool 1 leaders Connacht in this European Rugby Challenge Cup match. The top four in this pool go into the knockout stages and Cardiff are yet to confirm their place. Here’s our match prediction.
Cardiff have seven points from their first three games, one ahead of Perpignan and Cheetahs who are both a point behind them. Both of those chasing clubs are away in their final match. Cardiff will hope to make home advantage pay against Connacht who have already qualified for the knockout stages.
The home side have won one of their three pool matches and that was at home against Cheetahs. They are third in the United Rugby Championships with three of their six home matches won.
Connacht have won all three of their pool games and secured a bonus point in each victory. They lead the pool by six points from second-placed Lyon.
The Irish side are only 13th in the United Rugby Championship and have lost three of their four away fixtures. They have shown much better form in this competition though and won at Cardiff in February of last year.
A win in this match will secure them a top two seeding and a home draw in the next round. We tip Connacht to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cardiff Rugby v Connacht Rugby Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.5 | 21 | 1.57 |
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2.4 | 23 | 1.55 |
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2.62 | 21 | 1.53 |
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2.65 | 23 | 1.49 |
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2.65 | 20 | 1.58 |
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Cardiff Rugby vs Connacht Rugby Form
Cardiff Rugby and Connacht Rugby Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
1 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
30 Nov 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
30 Nov 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Oct 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
26 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
19 Oct 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
9 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
28 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
21 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
30 Nov 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
28 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
30 Nov 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Oct 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
19 Oct 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
21 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
14 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup
7 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup
Cardiff Rugby - Connacht Rugby Key Points
- Connacht have won all of their pool matches.
- Connacht won away at Cardiff last season.
- Connacht have selected a strong squad for this match and welcome back J J Hanrahan who has been out injured.
- Cardiff have gone two games without a win.
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Our Cardiff Rugby vs Connacht Rugby Prediction
Cardiff are hoping to move up to second in this pool but with Lyon likely to beat Cheetahs at home, that looks unlikely. The Welsh side have gone two games without a win and in their last home game gave away a lead and drew with Ospreys.
Connacht are top of the pool after winning their three matches and scoring 126 points in the process. A strong line-up has been named for this match and our Cardiff Blues v Connacht Rugby prediction is Connacht Rugby to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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