Cagliari vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Reigning Serie A champions Napoli have the chance to consolidate their top four place when they travel to Cagliari on Friday. The hosts have been on a freefall and are currently six points above the relegation zone, while Napoli are third. Read on to find our prediction of the match below.
Cagliari are out of form, coming into this encounter winless since the end of January. Gli Isolani lost their fourth of six games in that sequence on Sunday, falling to relegation-threatened Pisa 3-1.
Remarkably, that was against 10 men after Pisa had Adekunle Durosinmi sent off in the 37th minute. This match will mark the third meeting between the two sides this season, and Cagliari remain winless.
Napoli won the reverse fixture 1-0 for their third straight league win against their hosts. In the last 15 meetings between these two, Napoli have posted 10 wins and only one defeat. It follows then that the champions come here as the outright favorites.
The Partenopei will also be buoyed by their recent form. They are coming here off the back of three straight league wins, the most recent being against Lecce, which ended 2-1.
Antonio Conte’s men have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in the last 10 games. However, they have scored in all their last nine away. Away to Cagliari in the last four matches, Napoli scored but managed just one clean sheet.
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Cagliari v Napoli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.4 | 3.6 | 1.74 |
|
|
5.6 | 3.48 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.48 | 1.71 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.6 | 3.35 | 1.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Cagliari vs Napoli match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2026 between Cagliari and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.29% for a win of Cagliari against Napoli with odds of 5.8 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cagliari vs Napoli is 27.77% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Cagliari with odds of 1.8 at 888Starz.
Cagliari - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cagliari Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 48.95% | 1.8 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.14% | 2.41 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Napoli/Napoli | 21.43% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
Cagliari vs Napoli Form
Cagliari and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
76 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 |
Cagliari and Napoli Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
16 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
16 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
6 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
10 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
6 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
10 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
Cagliari vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 May 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2024 - Serie A
25 Feb 2024 - Serie A
16 Dec 2023 - Serie A
Cagliari against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Sherri
G. Ciocci
DefenderG. Zappa
MidfielderL. Mazzitelli
N. Grandu
J. Liteta
O. Raterink
A. Deiola
S. Kilicsoy
Y. Trepy
P. Mendy
L. Pavoletti
A. Albarracin
A. Meret
N. Contini
DefenderP. Mazzocchi
J. Jesus
L. Spinazzola
A. Santos
F. Anguissa
E. Elmas
ForwardR. Lukaku
Giovane
Missing players
R. Idrissi
ForwardM. Felici
A. Rrahmani
Most goals and assists
Cagliari
Napoli
S. Esposito
(7 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(12 Goals)
S. Esposito
(5 Assists)
Giovane
(6 Assists)
Cagliari - Napoli Key Points
- Both teams scored in four of Cagliari's last five away matches.
- Cagliari only failed to score in three of their last 10 home outings.
- Both teams scored in Napoli’s last nine matches across all competitions.
- Napoli have scored in each of their last four visits to Cagliari, keeping one clean sheet.
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Our Cagliari vs Napoli Prediction
This fixture has had a number of clean sheets in recent meetings, but we don’t feel the same will be realized here. That is because these teams haven't been at their strongest when it comes to defence. They have been doing well in attack, though.
Napoli failed to score in just one of their last 10 matches, but they haven't managed a clean sheet in those 10 games. Cagliari have only failed to score in three of their last 10 home matches. With that in mind, our prediction for Cagliari v Napoli is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cagliari Napoli
| Cagliari vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari wins | 5.8 | 5.8 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.65 | +1.4% |
| Napoli wins | 1.62 | 1.8 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 55.6% (-6.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
