Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Cagliari
27/04/2026 12:30
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

Atalanta wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Serie A Predictions

Atalanta will not have much time to mull over their Coppa Italia elimination as they travel to Cagliari on Monday. This round 34 Serie A meeting finds Atalanta seventh on 54 points, while Cagliari are 16th, five points above the drop zone. Read on for our prediction of the match.

After their 3-0 loss to Inter Milan, Cagliari have managed just one win in their last 10 matches. In that process, they have suffered seven defeats.

Collecting a paltry five points from a possible 30 in the last 10 games strengthens the hosts’ placing as the underdogs here. Pressure from their fight for survival will not make things easier either.

Having posted five of their eight wins at home will be a positive though.

Cagliari’s bid for a sixth home win in the league will be up against a side that has done well in this fixture. Atalanta won 2-1 in the reverse meeting, making it three wins in the last five and they have three clean sheets in those five outings.

The visitors are looking to give a befitting response after a loss on post-match penalties against Lazio in the Coppa Italia semis. Being out of the cup and earlier elimination from the Champions League means all energies are now directed towards a high finish in Serie A.

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Cagliari v Atalanta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.8 3.85 1.76
Melbet
4.58 3.82 1.74
Betwinner
4.62 3.78 1.74
Bet365
4.75 3.8 1.73
Roobet
4.6 3.7 1.73
Check all Cagliari vs Atalanta odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the Cagliari vs Atalanta match is: Atalanta wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/04/2026 between Cagliari and Atalanta in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.79% for a win of Cagliari against Atalanta with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cagliari vs Atalanta is 28.92% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Cagliari with odds of 1.8 at 888Starz.

Cagliari - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:

Cagliari Atalanta Prediction Probability Odds
Atalanta wins 43.29% 1.8 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 50.67% 2.04 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 51.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta 19.12% 4.8 at LSbet

Cagliari vs Atalanta Form

Cagliari and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 +15
14 Cagliari
43 38 11 10 17 -13

Cagliari and Atalanta Last Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari Last matches
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Cagliari

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Cremonese

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

20 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Napoli

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
3 :  1
Cagliari

7 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Como 1907
W L D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Cremonese

20 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Napoli

7 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Como 1907

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Lazio

16 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Lecce

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
4 :  0
Hellas Verona
W L D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Cagliari

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
3 :  1
Cagliari

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari

9 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Cagliari

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
L W W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lazio

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Juventus

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Atalanta

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

18 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Atalanta
W D L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lazio

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Juventus

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

10 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  6
Bayern Munich

7 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  2
Udinese

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
L D D L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Atalanta

18 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Atalanta

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

Cagliari vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cagliari

33 %

Draw

17 %

Atalanta

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

15 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Cagliari

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Atalanta

7 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  1
Atalanta

24 Sept 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Cagliari

6 Feb 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

Cagliari against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Cagliari

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
E. Caprile
32
Ze Pedro
26
Y. Mina
15
J. Rodriguez
33
A. Obert
8
M. Adopo
10
G. Gaetano
94
S. Esposito
14
A. Deiola
90
M. Folorunsho
31
P. Mendy
9
G. Scamacca
18
G. Raspadori
17
C. De Ketelaere
77
D. Zappacosta
8
M. Pasalic
15
M. de Roon
16
R. Bellanova
23
S. Kolasinac
19
B. Djimsiti
42
G. Scalvini
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

Cagliari
Cagliari
Goalkeeper

G. Ciocci

A. Sherri

Defender

M. Palestra

S. Esposito 56'

G. Zappa

A. Dossena

J. Rodriguez 73'

Midfielder

Sulemana

A. Deiola 56'

O. Raterink

J. Liteta

Forward

Y. Trepy

G. Borrelli

P. Mendy 46'

S. Kilicsoy

A. Albarracin

A. Belotti

G. Borrelli 77'

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

P. Pardel

M. Sportiello

Defender

O. Kossounou

S. Kolasinac 73'

R. Obric

H. Ahanor

I. Hien

M. Bakker

Midfielder

Ederson

M. de Roon 73'

L. Samardzic

C. De Ketelaere 77'

N. Zalewski

D. Zappacosta 56'

Y. Musah

Forward

K. Sulemana

N. Krstovic

R. Bellanova 56'

Missing players

Cagliari
Cagliari
Defender

R. Idrissi

Midfielder

L. Mazzitelli

Forward

L. Pavoletti

M. Felici

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

F. Rossi

Defender

L. Bernasconi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Cagliari
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Esposito (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (10 Goals) Montenegro N. Krstovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Italy S. Esposito (5 Assists)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (5 Assists)
Poland N. Zalewski (5 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)

Cagliari - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Atalanta lost once in their last five league games (2W, 2D).
  2. Cagliari have suffered seven defeats in their last 10 league matches.
  3. In seven of 10 away matches at Cagliari, Atalanta emerged winners.
  4. At home, Cagliari are winless in four of the last five matches, losing three.
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Our Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction

Atalanta’s push for European football via the Coppa Italia is over, and now they can only do it through Serie A. Five rounds remain and they can’t afford dropping a lot of points. La Dea haven’t won a lot on the road lately but they have an impressive record when playing away against Cagliari.

While their league performances have also not had the right consistency, we don’t expect Cagliari to trouble them. Cagliari have lost seven times in their last 10 matches. With such numbers, our prediction for Cagliari v Atalanta is that Atalanta wins.

Prediction :

 

Atalanta wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cagliari Atalanta

Cagliari vs Atalanta Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Cagliari wins 4.7 4.9 +4.3%
Draw 3.7 4 +8.1%
Atalanta wins 1.7 1.8 +5.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Atalanta is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 55.6% (-3.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction