Brighton vs Tromsoe IL Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

Brighton
27/08/2026 14:30
Tromsoe IL

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Conference League Predictions

Brighton have scored three or more goals in three of their last four competitive home matches, dating back to last season. The Seagulls host Norwegian side Tromsø in the second leg of the UEFA Conference League play-offs on Thursday. Each of Tromsø's last six away matches, including both of their European trips, has produced no fewer than four goals, hence our prediction supporting a high-scoring encounter. 

Brighton headed into the first leg in Norway as favourites but could only manage a draw, leaving the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg. However, the evenly contested clash was not short of goal-scoring opportunities. Both teams combined for 3.0 xG and created eight big chances, with each side accounting for four.

Thursday's matchup will be far from a goalless affair. Brighton enter this clash off the back of a commanding 4–0 home win over Aston Villa in their Premier League opener at the weekend. They have scored 3+ goals in three of their last four competitive home fixtures, dating back to last season. 

Tromsø arrive off the back of a flying start to their Norwegian Cup campaign that saw them thrash Ulfstind 5–0 on the road. That result means each of their last six away matches, including both of their European road fixtures, has produced not less than four goals. 

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Brighton v Tromsoe IL Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
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1.13 8 15
1xbet
1.13 9.15 19.5
Melbet
1.13 9 19
Betwinner
1.13 9 19
22bet
1.13 9 19
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Tromsoe IL?

Our prediction for the Brighton vs Tromsoe IL match is: over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2026 between Brighton and Tromsoe IL in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.44% for a win of Brighton against Tromsoe IL with odds of 1.16 at Roobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Tromsoe IL is 20.53% with odds of 9.15 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Tromsoe IL vs Brighton with odds of 19.5 at 1xbet.

Brighton vs Tromsoe IL Form

Brighton and Tromsoe IL Last Matches

Brighton
Brighton Last matches
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
1 :  0
Bologna

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
4 :  3
Strasbourg

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Manchester United
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
1 :  0
Bologna

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
4 :  3
Strasbourg

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Manchester United

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Wolves
W W D L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton

17 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Brighton

2 May 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  1
Brighton

18 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Brighton

11 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton

14 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Brighton
Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL Last matches
L W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton

16 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
3 :  2
Tromsoe IL

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
2 :  1
CFR Cluj

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

CFR Cluj
0 :  5
Tromsoe IL

2 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Aalesund
2 :  6
Tromsoe IL

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Hradec Kralove
3 :  1
Tromsoe IL
W D W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
2 :  1
CFR Cluj

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  1
Hradec Kralove

11 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
4 :  0
Vålerenga

25 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
1 :  1
Aalesund

10 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
2 :  0
Molde
D W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
3 :  2
Tromsoe IL

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

CFR Cluj
0 :  5
Tromsoe IL

2 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Aalesund
2 :  6
Tromsoe IL

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Hradec Kralove
3 :  1
Tromsoe IL

18 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

HamKam
1 :  4
Tromsoe IL

29 May 2026 - Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo
0 :  0
Tromsoe IL

Brighton vs Tromsoe IL Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

0 %

Draw

100 %

Tromsoe IL

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton
Brighton vs Tromsoe IL Prediction

Players list

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

B. Verbruggen

Defender

M. Wieffer

L. Vuskovic

O. Boscagli

L. Dunk

M. De Cuyper

Midfielder

P. Gross

Y. Ayari

D. Gomez

J. Hinshelwood

Forward

G. Rutter

Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL
Goalkeeper

J. Haugaard

Defender

M. Tonnessen

A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd

I. Vadebu

Midfielder

H. Larsen

D. Edvardsson

I. Dahlqvist

V. Skjaervik

T. Nyhammer

R. Jenssen

L. Larsen

Substitutes

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

Costinha

M. Svoboda

P. Struijk

Midfielder

M. Yalcouye

Forward

Z. Yohanna

I. Osman

P. David

C. Kostoulas

Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL
Goalkeeper

A. Sarr

O. Lauvli

Defender

C. Oyvann

M. Mikkelsen

V. Osuji

Midfielder

D. Braut

J. Grundt

S. Havik Innvaer

Forward

A. Elvebu

L. Hien

I. Camoes

V. Ekblom

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

F. Kadioglu

Midfielder

K. Mitoma

C. Baleba

Forward

E. Ferguson

Y. Minteh

S. Tzimas

Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL

Brighton and Tromsoe IL Stats in Conference League

Brighton
Brighton
Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL
0%
Wins
67%
0%
Losses
0%
100%
Draws
33%
0
Average goals per match
2.67
0
Goals scored per match
2.33
0
Goals conceded per match
0.33
100%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
100%
No goals conceded
67%
0%
BTTS
33%

Brighton - Tromsoe IL Key Points

  1. Brighton have scored three or more goals in three of their last four competitive home matches, dating back to last season.
  2. The two teams posted a combined xG of 3.0 and created eight big chances in the first leg.
  3. Both of Tromsø's European away outings this season have ended with over 3.5 goals.
  4. Tromsø's last six away matches have produced no fewer than four goals.
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Our Brighton vs Tromsoe IL Prediction

This match is likely to produce plenty of goals. Brighton continued their terrific scoring form at home in their Premier League opener last weekend and will go all out for another strong showing, with a place in the Conference League’s main phase at stake. 

Tromsø have also been prolific in attack and have featured in several high-scoring encounters, especially on the road. Both of their European away outings have also produced at least four goals. Our Brighton vs Tromsø prediction: over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.