Brighton vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Brighton will go into the final day of the season looking to confirm at least a top six place. They host Manchester United, whose ending to the season has been very positive, with an assurance of finishing third and a return to Europe. The Seagulls are the only side in this fixture with anything significant to play for. Needing a win, and having beaten United in seven of the last 10 meetings, this prediction will fly in their favor.
This marks the second time in three seasons that these two sides do battle on the final day. The hosts enter the round sitting seventh in the standings, while third-placed United have already qualified for the Champions League.
A Brighton win will confirm qualification for next season’s Europa League, while finishing sixth may as well be enough for a UCL spot. The hosts come here on three straight home wins in the league. However, they’ve never posted four wins on the bounce at home, losing the fourth game six times previously.
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Brighton v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.86 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.34 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.83 | 4.06 | 3.82 |
|
|
1.91 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.87 | 4.2 | 3.45 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Manchester United match is: Brighton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2026 between Brighton and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.44% for a win of Brighton against Manchester United with odds of 1.96 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Manchester United is 21.22% with odds of 4.34 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Brighton with odds of 3.97 at 888Starz.
Brighton - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 41.44% | 1.96 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.14% | |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brighton | 20.57% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Manchester United Form
Brighton and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
Brighton and Manchester United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
27 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
27 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Brighton vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
16 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Brighton - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Brighton qualified for the Europa League three seasons ago. It was the first time that the club had qualified for a European competition, and now there’s a possibility they could snap up a Champions League slot. Fabian Hurzeler’s men are on 53 points after 37 matches and occupy the final Europa League qualifying spot.
Though fate is in their hands, failure to win on Sunday could see them miss out on Europe completely. Brighton are just one point ahead of the team in ninth place. A loss at Leeds last weekend left them with plenty to do here. Three home wins in a row represent a positive sign as they prepare to face a side they’ve dominated lately.
Brighton target Europe, while Manchester United look to end a poor head-to-head run against Brighton.
Manchester United are only playing for pride here as they have already attained their goal for the season. The Red Devils confirmed their Champions League return three weeks ago following a 3-2 victory over Liverpool. They also cannot finish any higher or lower than third.
With 68 points, United are 10 points behind the team in second and have a six-point cushion on their closest challengers. The appointment of former midfielder Michael Carrick as manager was a masterstroke, as under him, United have soared. The Reds arrive in Falmer unbeaten in five games and with four wins in this stretch. They defeated Forest 3-2 at home last weekend.
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Brighton against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Steele
DefenderO. Boscagli
J. Veltman
MidfielderM. O'Riley
C. Baleba
S. March
G. Rutter
Y. Minteh
C. Kostoulas
A. Bayindir
DefenderL. Yoro
A. Heaven
T. Malacia
T. Fletcher
S. Lacey
M. Ugarte
ForwardM. Cunha
J. Zirkzee
Missing players
K. Mitoma
ForwardS. Tzimas
M. de Ligt
ForwardB. Sesko
Brighton & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Kaoru Mitoma missed the game against Leeds with a thigh injury and is expected to miss the final weekend as well. His absence is a big blow for the Seagulls, who have also had to do without Diego Gomez.
Danny Welbeck is, however, available to face his former team. The striker was recently voted Brighton’s player of the season. Set to play his 400th league game, Welbeck will be looking to add to his 14 goals this season. He has eight goals against Manchester United.
Welbeck will be targeting a ninth career goal against Manchester United.
Benjamin Sesko has missed the last two games for United with a calf injury. He is, however, expected to make his return on Sunday. The striker currently leads all other scorers at the club with 12 goals.
Bryan Mbeumo and Matheus Cunha follow closely with 11 and 10 goals, respectively. Bruno Fernandes has been United’s player of the season, and on Sunday, he will attempt to break the PL’s assists record. With 20 assists, he is one shy of the record.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Manchester United
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
Brighton - Manchester United Key Points
- Brighton have won seven of the last 10 meetings with United.
- United have failed to win in seven of their last 10 away outings.
- In their last five games at home, Brighton won four times.
- United are winless in 12 of their 18 away league matches.
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Our Brighton vs Manchester United Prediction
While this is a must-win game for Brighton, at United there is nothing other than pride to play for. The hosts are favorites, not only because they have plenty to play for, but they are also in fine form at home. Brighton have produced one of the best home records this season in both number of wins and goals scored.
United, on the other hand, have stuttered on the road, especially recently. The visitors are also not one of the best defensive sides and have conceded more than half of their goals on the road. Our prediction for Brighton v Manchester United is that Brighton wins.
Brighton vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
For our second prediction, we are backing this match to see an over 2.5 goals outcome. These two sides are strong attacking teams who are more than capable of scoring more than once.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Manchester United
| Brighton vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 2.11 | 1.96 | -7.1% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.34 | +17.3% |
| Manchester United wins | 3.05 | 3.97 | +30.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.4% and is now 51.0% (3.6%)
Brighton vs Manchester United - FAQs
This fixture will be played on Sunday, 24 May.
Brighton’s Amex Stadium in Falmer, England, will host this match.
Fans in the UK will be able to watch this match live on TV on Sky Sports, while Sportytrader will provide detailed updates for this and other Premier League matches.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
