Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Both of these clubs have had a busy start to the new season with European games being played. Brighton and Hove Albion begin the new Premier League season with a home game against Aston Villa. Looking at the statistics, our prediction is a match with more than 2.5 goals
Last season saw the Seagulls finish eighth in the table. That was still good enough for them to qualify for the Conference League. Thursday saw them draw 0-0 in Tromso in the first leg of the play-off round. A more open and high-scoring game is much more likely as Brighton play their first home league game of the season against Aston Villa. When these two clubs met last season at the Amex, it was a real goalfest with Villa running out the winners 4-3.
Aston Villa won the Europa League last season but were beaten by PSG in the Super Cup earlier this month.. They also finished fourth in the Premier League, 20 points behind champions Arsenal and 12 clear of Brighton. That was despite a poor start to the season that left them down at the bottom of the Premier League. They won't want a similar start to the season this term, but the transfer window has seen some key departures from Villa Park.
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Brighton v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.25 | 3.6 | 3.15 |
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2.29 | 3.64 | 3.3 |
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2.21 | 3.5 | 3.18 |
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2.19 | 3.56 | 3.18 |
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2.21 | 3.5 | 3.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Aston Villa match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2026 between Brighton and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.92% for a win of Brighton against Aston Villa with odds of 2.35 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Aston Villa is 8.97% with odds of 3.75 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Brighton with odds of 3.3 at 1xbet.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Form
Brighton and Aston Villa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
17 May 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 May 2026 - Premier League
7 May 2026 - Europa League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Brighton vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Brighton - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion won 14 of their 38 Premier League fixtures last season, but were beaten on 13 occasions. While they scored 52 goals themselves, 46 were conceded at the other end. Home form at the Amex saw the Seagulls with the seventh best record in the Premier League with nine victories.
Only four were lost, including their final fixture against Manchester United, though that ended a sequence of three successive wins. They lost their last two league matches of the season and only missed out on Europa League qualification by a single point.
Instead, they are in the Conference League for only their second time in European football. Thursday saw them go to Iceland to play Tromso in the first leg of the play-off round and come home with a 0-0 draw.
Three pre-season friendlies were all won by Brighton, including two over Italian sides at the Amex.
Each of their last four league games has seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
Shaky pre-season form for Villa.
The Villans were beaten 2-1 by PSG in the Super Cup final earlier in August. Pre-season didn't go too well with three wins but five losses.
Last season saw Villa win 19 league games, though 11 were lost. They had the fourth best away record in the Premier League with seven wins and were unbeaten in the last two they played.
Last season ended with a run of six games with more than 2.5 goals scored.
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Missing players
P. Struijk
MidfielderK. Mitoma
C. Baleba
ForwardE. Ferguson
Y. Minteh
S. Tzimas
E. Martinez
DefenderE. Konsa
MidfielderA. Onana
J. Gomes
J. Manzambi
ForwardO. Watkins
T. Abraham
L. Bailey
A. Garnacho
B. Madjo
Brighton & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Brighton have been big spenders in the transfer window this summer. They spent a record £50 million on Tottenham defender Luka Vuskovic and £21.5 million on bringing in Zadok Yohanna from AEK. The signing of Pascal Struijk from Leeds looks a good one.
Being Brighton, there have of course been a few exits. Jan Paul van Hecke has gone to Spurs and Danny Welbeck is now at Chelsea, that could be a big loss for the Seagulls. James Millner has retired and veteran Solly March has been released.
Big losses for Villa.
It;s been difficult for Aston VIlla too and this week Ezri Konsa joined Arsenal. That's another big loss after the departures of Morgan Rogers and Youri Tielemans. Those three transfers brought in just over £200 million.
There's money to spend therefore and Villa have made a few signings. Johan Manzambi, Joaa Gomes, Zion Suzuki and Matteo Rugerri cost them a total of just over £140 million. It'll be a much-changed line-up though and it might take the newbies time to gel.
Brighton - Aston Villa Key Points
- The last four Brighton games of last season all had more than 2.5 goals scored in them.
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in the last six matches Villa played last season.
- The corresponding home game last season saw Villa win 4-3.
- That made it three out of the last four between Brighton and Villa with more than 2.5 goals being scored.
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Our Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction
Brighton and Hove Albion have a big week coming up. The Seagulls begin with this home game against Villa and then welcome Tromso to the Amex in the Conference League. They need to be on form therefore.
Aston VIlla made a poor start to last season, but recovered brilliantly to finish fourth and win the Europa League. Looking at the statistics, they score a lot but also regularly concede. Our main Brighton v Aston Villa prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
Brighton wins
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Brighton vs Aston Villa - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
