Brazil vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Nations League Predictions
Friday’s standout fixture at the 2026 FIVB Volleyball Nations League will see Brazil taking on Italy. Matches between these two have been closely contested in recent years, and our prediction is that this one will go beyond three sets.
After an incredible first week at the 2026 VNL, winning all four of their matches, Brazil’s momentum was abruptly halted on Wednesday when they suffered a 3-1 defeat to Ukraine.
Darlan Ferreira leads the team in points scored in this competition, now on 84, which ranks seventh overall. Judson Amabile has racked up 10 blocks, the most on the Brazilian roster.
Following the loss to Ukraine, Brazil slipped to fourth place in the standings. However, they have won seven of their last 10 matches and beat this opponent 3-2 in this competition last year.
Meanwhile, Italy moved to number one in the world rankings after winning their last three games in the opening week, but they have been poor in Week 2, losing both games to Bulgaria and Ukraine.
Gli Azzurri have received contributions from the majority of their roster. Mattia Bottolo is the team’s leading scorer with 74 points, followed by Kamil Rychlicki on 70 points after six games.
Italy sit sixth in the standings coming into this match and have won seven of their last 10 games in all competitions.
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Brazil v Italy Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 2.35 |
|
|
1.62 | 2.3 |
|
|
1.62 | 2.3 |
|
|
1.6 | 2.22 |
|
|
1.61 | 2.24 |
|
Brazil vs Italy Form
Brazil and Italy's standings in the Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +6 |
|
7
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +1 |
Brazil and Italy Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
11 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
17 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
11 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
17 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
15 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
30 Aug 2025 - Hubert Wagner Memorial
29 Aug 2025 - Hubert Wagner Memorial
30 Jul 2025 - Nations League
20 Jul 2025 - Nations League
19 Jul 2025 - Nations League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Jun 2026 - Nations League
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
11 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
16 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Nations League
30 Jul 2025 - Nations League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Jun 2026 - Nations League
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
11 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
Brazil vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
28 Jun 2025 - Nations League
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
26 May 2024 - Nations League
8 Oct 2023 - Olympic Games, Qual., Intercontinental Gr. B
4 Jul 2023 - Nations League
15 Oct 2019 - FIVB World Cup
Brazil - Italy Key Points
- Four of Brazil’s five matches in this competition have ended with over 180.5 points.
- Brazil has only won one of their last six matches in straight sets.
- Four of Italy’s six matches in this competition have ended with over 180.5 points.
- Over 180.5 points were scored in each of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Brazil vs Italy Prediction
Brazil were evidently disappointed after suffering their first loss of the 2026 VNL to Ukraine in midweek, and they will be determined to bounce straight back to winning ways in this match.
However, while Italy have not been completely convincing in Week 2 of this competition, we know full well that they have the firepower to win this match. We are expecting a fierce battle here, and it would not be a surprise if this one went the distance. Our Brazil vs Italy prediction is over 180.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
