Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
FA Cup winners Manchester City return to Premier League action. They are second in the table and travel to Bournemouth who are in sixth place. City are chasing a fourth straight win and anything less than victory will hand the title to Arsenal. The Cherries are hoping to clinch a first ever season in European football but face a difficult task against the Citizens. With City in such good form, our prediction is they can earn a vital three points.
Saturday saw City beat Chelsea 1-0 to win the FA Cup. Back in the Premier League, they have two games to play but trail leaders Arsenal by five points after the Gunners beat Burnley on Monday. It really is a case of do or die on the south coast. City have a good record against their opponents and will aim to continue that on Tuesday evening.
Bournemouth are still dreaming of European qualification but don't have the easiest of run-ins. After this game, their final Premier League fixture is a trip to Nottingham Forest. The home side are also on a good unbeaten run but this is a massive test for them.
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Bournemouth v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.8 | 4.4 | 1.64 |
|
|
4.72 | 4.03 | 1.59 |
|
|
4.94 | 4.24 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.05 | 4.4 | 1.59 |
|
|
4.8 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Manchester City match is: Manchester City wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/05/2026 between Bournemouth and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.96% for a win of Bournemouth against Manchester City with odds of 5.28 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Manchester City is 39.44% with odds of 4.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Bournemouth with odds of 1.67 at Shangrila.
Bournemouth - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 44.6% | 1.67 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.07% | 1.83 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City | 21.81% | 5 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Manchester City Form
Bournemouth and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
Bournemouth and Manchester City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Premier League
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - FA Cup
13 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
4 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - FA Cup
4 May 2026 - Premier League
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
20 May 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Manchester City are looking to win a fourth successive match. Their previous three games have all been won to nil and the Blues are unbeaten in their last six matches since losing to Real Madrid in the UCL. Nine of their last ten league fixtures have been won but there was that possibly costly draw at Everton.
City have won four of their last five away games. They are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League fixtures. Their last two matches against Bournemouth have both been won 3-1. They haven't lost to Bournemouth since the 2024-25 season.
Can City end Bournemouth's unbeaten run?
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 16 league games. Their last league defeat was a home loss to Arsenal, who they have since beaten away from home. The Cherries are two points above seventh placed Brighton and Hove Albion and three clear of Brentford with this game in hand.
They have won seven of their 18 home league games this season with just a couple of defeats. 16 league fixtures have been drawn this season (nine at home) and that could well prove costly in a tight finish for the European places.
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Bournemouth against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
C. Mandas
DefenderB. Diakite
MidfielderD. Brooks
J. Kluivert
A. Toth
L. Cook
B. Gannon-Doak
E. Unal
A. Adli
J. Trafford
DefenderJ. Gvardiol
J. Stones
R. Dias
MidfielderR. Cherki
P. Foden
T. Reijnders
Savinho
O. Marmoush
Missing players
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderR. Christie
Bournemouth & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Manchester City's remaining task this season is to win their last two games and hope Arsenal slip-up at Crystal Palace. They come into this penultimate Premier League game wih a fully-fit squad. City received a boost when Rodri made his return at Wembley and played for 65 minutes.
Omar Marmoush (who scored in City's last league game) only played in the first half of the FA Cup final. His withdrawal was a tactical decision and he is fit enough to play on Tuesday if selected by Pep Guardiola for this game.
Bournemouth would love to end their home fixture list with a win over the FA Cup holders. They earned three vital points with a 1-0 victory at Fulham but did see Ryan Christie sent off. He has a three-match ban so won't be available for their final game at Nottingham Forest at the weekend.
A last farewell for Iraola.
Tyler Adams is expected to replace Christie in the starting line-up. Lewis Cook is fit again after recovering from a thigh injury. A definite absentee will be Alex Jimenez who is serving a club suspension at present. This will be the last home game as coach for Andoni Iraola.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Manchester City
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
Bournemouth - Manchester City Key Points
- Manchester City have won their last three games against Bournemouth.
- Manchester City have won nine of their last ten league matches.
- Manchester City are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League away games.
- Bournemouth have only won three of their last eight home league matches.
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Our Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction
Anything less than a win for Manchester City will end their Premier League title challenge. The Citizens are in top form though with nine wins in their last ten games and are unbeaten in their last eight away league fixtures.
Bournemouth have gone 16 league games without defeat but draw far too many games. That includes five of their last eight at the Vitality Stadium. Their record against City is not good and our main Bournemouth v Manchester City prediction is Manchester City wins.
Bournemouth vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
Antoine Semenyo scores or makes an assist
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Manchester City
| Bournemouth vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 4.63 | 5.28 | +14.0% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 4.6 | +4.5% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.75 | 1.67 | -4.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 59.9% (2.7%)
Bournemouth vs Manchester City - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
