Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
With four games to play, Bournemouth are in the qualifying positions for European football next season. They are seventh in the table and are home to 13th placed Crystal Palace on Sunday afternoon. The home side are on a good unbeaten run at present but their form at the Vitality Stadium is a bit concerning with their last five league fixtures all ending the Cherries drawing and both sides are regularly scoring. Read more in our match prediction.
Bournemouth are only a point behind sixth place and their lead over seventh and eighth is the same total. The need to get some wins at home is vital therefore if they want European football next season.
Crystal Palace look to be on their way to the Conference League final after a great away first leg win in the last four. They are five points behind eighth and six adrift of seventh, so may need to win the Conference League to again play in European competition next season.
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Bournemouth v Crystal Palace Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.38 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.06 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.1 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Bournemouth and Crystal Palace in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.1% for a win of Bournemouth against Crystal Palace with odds of 1.69 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace is 38.96% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth with odds of 5.6 at Tonybet.
Bournemouth - Crystal Palace Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Crystal Palace Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 39.1% | 1.69 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.45% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 77.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bournemouth | 15.14% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Form
Bournemouth and Crystal Palace's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
|
15
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 |
Bournemouth and Crystal Palace Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
13 May 2023 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 14 games in the Premier League. Their last league defeat was inflicted on them by leaders Arsenal. A first ever European campaign next season is looking a distinct possibility with just four more matches to play.
They don't have the easiest of run-ins with away games at Fulham and Nottingham Forest and one more home fixture against title-chasing Manchester City. The Cherries would be in a far more comfortable position if they hadn't drawn 16 league games this season.
Bournemouth are drawing far too many home league games.
Nine of those draws have come on home soil, including each of the last five. Their most recent home league game saw them held to a 2-2 draw by Leeds United. Eight of their last nine home league matches have seen both teams score.
The reverse fixture between these two clubs ended in a 3-3 draw at Selhurst Park.
Crystal Palace won 3-1 at Shakhtar Donetsk on Thursday in the first leg of their Conference League semi-final. In the Premier League, the Eagles are down at 13th place but that's only six points behind their opponents.
They have failed to win either of their last two Premier League fixtures with just one win in four. Only one of their last three away league games has been won with the most recent a 3-1 loss at Liverpool. 12 of their last 14 away matches have seen both teams score.
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Bournemouth against Crystal Palace Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
C. Mandas
DefenderB. Diakite
A. Smith
MidfielderD. Brooks
A. Toth
R. Christie
A. Adli
B. Gannon-Doak
E. Unal
R. Matthews
W. Benitez
DefenderN. Clyne
C. Richards
T. Mitchell
A. Wharton
R. Cardines
J. Mateta
I. Sarr
Missing players
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderL. Cook
J. Kluivert
W. Hughes
C. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
E. Guessand
Bournemouth & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
Bournemouth have four games to play in this season's Premier League. A couple of wins could well be enough to see them go into European competition next season. Turning draws into wins is something the Cherries are finding difficult on home soil.
They have had some good news on the injury front this week. Justin Kluivert is back in training and could be named in the squad for the visit of Crystal Palace. Lewis Cook and Julio Soler could also feature on Sunday.
Kroupi remains a major threat up front.
19-year-old Eli Junior Kroupi is attracting the attention of a few Premier League clubs. He scored twice in the reverse fixture with Crystal Palace. He also scored in Bournemouth's last home game and has 11 league and cup goals this season.
Crystal Palace return to Premier League action after Thursday's European success. With a two-goal lead and a home leg to come, the temptation to rest a lot of players for this game may not be so high but it will be important to check the team news before placing your bets on this game.
The Eagles will be without some players, including Eddie Nketiah and Cheick Doucoure. Borna Sosa could be their left wing-back as it is possible Tyrick Mitchell (just returned from injury) may be given a rest for this match.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
J. Mateta
(12 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
A. Wharton
(5 Assists)
Bournemouth - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Earlier in the season, these two clubs drew 3-3 at Selhurst Park.
- Eight of Bournemouth's last nine home games have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in 12 of the las 14 Palace away fixtures.
- The last four Bournemouth games have all seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Bournemouth have a good chance of making it into European football next season. It's a tight battle and while Bournemouth have become a side that is difficult to beat (only two home losses this season), they need to get more wins.
The Eagles will be flying high after their excellent Conference League win on Thursday. They aren't going quite so well in the Premier League and have failed to win their last two games. Our main Bournemouth v Crystal Palace prediction is BTTS.
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Alternative Predictions
Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Crystal Palace
| Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 1.75 | 1.69 | -3.4% |
| Draw | 4.21 | 4.5 | +6.9% |
| Crystal Palace wins | 4.87 | 5.6 | +15.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bournemouth is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 59.2% (2.0%)
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
