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05 October 2022 - 16:10

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
VS
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays

Tip :

Over 8 runs

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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Betting Tips (MLB)

 by Joseph |

The final day in the MLB regular season sees the Boston Red Sox hosting their division rivals the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park. The Rays will be participating in the 2022 postseason for a fourth consecutive season after securing the final Wild Card spot with their 86-75 record. The Red Sox, however, will miss out on the playoffs for a third time in the past four seasons since winning the World Series in 2018. Boston’s 77-84 record sees them bottom of the AL East and nine games behind the Rays for the final playoff spot. They’ll look to end the season on a positive note after winning their last two straight while the Rays will be desperate to put an end to their poor form and end their four game losing streak before the playoffs start.

Form

Ranking

9e
Boston Red Sox
MLB
6e
Tampa Bay Rays

Last matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Last matches
W L L L W W

4 Oct 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

3 Oct 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

2 Oct 2022 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  3
Boston Red Sox

1 Oct 2022 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  0
Boston Red Sox

30 Sep 2022 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  0
Boston Red Sox

29 Sep 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  3
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Last matches
L W L L L L

4 Oct 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

3 Oct 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

2 Oct 2022 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

1 Oct 2022 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

30 Sep 2022 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

29 Sep 2022 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Head to head

Boston Red Sox

40 %

Tampa Bay Rays

60 %

4 Oct 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

3 Oct 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

7 Sep 2022 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
Boston Red Sox

6 Sep 2022 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
8 :  4
Boston Red Sox

5 Sep 2022 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  3
Boston Red Sox

28 Aug 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

27 Aug 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

26 Aug 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
9 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

14 Jul 2022 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  4
Boston Red Sox

13 Jul 2022 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Form Analysis

Tampa Bay has one of baseball’s best home field advantages but see their performance drop off considerably on the road. The Rays are just 35-45 on the road and are 2-6 on their current nine game road trip right before the playoffs start. Tampa Bay will have to contend with the Cleveland Guardians in the Wild Card series with all three games taking place in Cleveland. The Red Sox have at least finished above .500 at Fenway Park in what has been a disappointing season overall. Boston is 42-38 at home on the year and has won their last five consecutive games in front of the home fans.

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Squad analysis

Taking the mound for the Red Sox is Nick Pivetta who is 10-12 on the season with a 4.56 ERA. Pivetta will look to bounce back after giving up four earned runs in five innings of work against the Blue Jays in his last appearance, a game that the Red Sox would ultimately go on to lose 9-0. Boston has lost four of Pivetta’s last five starts. On the other side, Josh Flemming gets the nod for the Rays and will be hoping to improve his 2-4 record and 6.23 ERA on the final day of the season. Flemming’s high ERA is a concern and the Red Sox should have little trouble in getting to the lefty.

Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays key points

  1. Rays starter Josh Flemming has given up seven earned runs in eight innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox this season.
  2. Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta has given up 15 earned runs in his last four starts, totalling 20 innings of work.
  3. The Red Sox have fared well against left-handed pitchers when playing at home this season and have the sixth best team OPS at .807.
  4. Six of Nick Pivetta’s last seven starts have seen over eight total runs being scored.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction

We’re going to back over 8 runs to be scored as our bet for this one. These two pitchers have really been struggling in their last few starts and it’s unlikely that things are going to turn around on the final day of the season. Tampa Bay is on an awful run but should fancy their chances to knock a few runs off Pivetta who has previously allowed six earned runs in 10 innings pitched in his last two starts against the Rays. The Red Sox, meanwhile, have been excellent against lefties this season and even more so at Fenway Park. They should be able to get to Flemming here as they look to send the Rays into the playoffs on a five game losing streak.

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Other interesting tips

First five innings over 4.5 runs - odds : 2 at Bet365

Two struggling starters who have been giving up runs left and right in recent starts. This should be a high scoring game with a good chunk coming early on.

Up to $1000 to bet on Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays! 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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