Benfica Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
11/10/2026 13:00
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Benfica will be looking to close down on top spot in the Portuguese Primeira Liga this weekend when they welcome struggling Vitoria Guimaraes. More than 10 points separate the two sides after seven rounds of play, with Benfica second in the table and Vitoria 14th. Benfica scored three in each of the last three meetings with Vitoria, and our prediction backs over 2.5 goals.

Benfica suffered a demoralising loss right before the international break. Playing away to Porto in a top-of-the-table clash, the Eagles were humbled 3-1.

That loss snapped an eight-game winning streak and handed them their first setback of the season. Marco Silva's men now seek to get right back on the horse, and this fixture offers them the perfect opportunity.

Vitoria haven't had their way in this fixture for quite some time. As they have fared quite contrastingly to their hosts, another defeat could be on the cards.

Tiago Margarido's men have managed just one victory so far and have lost four times. Vitoria, who last beat Benfica in 2013, were held to a 1-1 draw at home by Moreirense right before the international recess.

That draw took them to five points and placed them above the bottom three by a single point. Vitoria have failed to score in their last four meetings with Benfica, losing the last three by an identical 3-0 scoreline. 

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Benfica Lisbon v Vitoria SC Guimaraes Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.2 6.6 12
1xbet
1.19 7.9 15
Melbet
1.17 7.7 14.5
Betwinner
1.17 7.7 14.5
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1.17 7.7 14.5
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes?

Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.37% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 1.23 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes is 22.93% with odds of 7.9 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 9.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 15 at 1xbet.

Benfica Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Form

Benfica Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Benfica Lisbon
16 7 5 1 1 +15
14 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
5 7 1 2 4 -3

Benfica Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  1
Gil Vicente

9 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  4
Benfica Lisbon

5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Estoril
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  1
Gil Vicente

31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Estoril

20 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  1
AGF Aarhus

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Academico De Viseu FC

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
6 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
St. Gallen
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

9 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  4
Benfica Lisbon

5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

27 Aug 2026 - Europa League

AGF Aarhus
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  7
Benfica Lisbon
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last matches
W L D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chaves
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
Moreirense

12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Academico De Viseu FC
2 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  0
Nacional Madeira
W L L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
Moreirense

6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  0
Nacional Madeira

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Arouca

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  0
Rio Ave
D D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chaves
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Academico De Viseu FC
2 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Varzim
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Benfica Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Benfica Lisbon

83 %

Draw

17 %

Vitoria SC Guimaraes

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

11 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

2 Sept 2023 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Benfica Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction

Missing players

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Defender

C. Lenglet

A. Bah

Midfielder

G. Sudakov

E. Barrenechea

R. Rios

F. Ivanovic

Forward

J. Kaminski

J. Rego

J. Umeh

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Goalkeeper

Gui

Forward

A. Ndoye

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Samu (1 Goals) ,  Senegal A. Ndoye (1 Goals) ,  Brazil G. Silva (1 Goals) ,  Portugal G. Nogueira (1 Goals) ,  Croatia T. Borevkovic (1 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina G. Prestianni (3 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal M. Nogueira (3 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats in Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
71%
Wins
14%
14%
Losses
57%
14%
Draws
29%
4.14
Average goals per match
1.86
3.14
Goals scored per match
0.71
1
Goals conceded per match
1.14
0%
Under 2.5 goals
71%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
43%
No goals conceded
29%
57%
BTTS
43%

Benfica Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Key Points

  1. Benfica have scored three goals in each of the last three meetings with Vitoria.
  2. Nine goals were netted in Vitoria’s three away league outings so far.
  3. In four of their last five trips to Benfica, Vitoria conceded at least three goals.
  4. Benfica have scored an average of three goals per league game this season.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction

Our prediction for Benfica v Vitoria Guimaraes is for over 2.5 goals. Benfica are enjoying a good scoring run in the Portuguese topflight this season. They have already passed the 20-goal mark with just seven games played and are averaging 10 shots on target.

Benfica have scored three or more goals six times. Their opponents, on the other hand, have been subpar, struggling on both ends of the pitch. Vitoria also have a poor record when facing Benfica, who with ease, have stuffed the scoring charts in this fixture. 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.