Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga Prediction & Betting Tips - Portugal League Cup
Portugal - Portugal League Cup
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by Matthew Newman | in Football Predictions
Benfica play SC Braga in a Portuguese League Cup semi-final on Wednesday evening. Benfica are 3rd in the Liga Portugal with SC Braga in 5th, so this should be a fascinating cup match on which to make a prediction.
The pair are the most recent two winners of this competition, Benfica last season and Braga the one before that, with this contest on neutral territory in Leiria. They met at this stage in last season’s competition, Benfica running out 3-0 winners on that occasion.
The pair clashed just after Christmas in Braga, that match ending in a 2-2 draw. Benfica are yet to taste defeat in the league but they have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in nine of their 17 games which has resulted in too many draws.
Braga have struggled to keep the ball out of their net, conceding on average a goal a game, worse still when they have been on the road where they shipped three in their most recent game at Estrela Amadora. They have more than kept up at the other end, however, netting more than any team bar the big three.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Benfica Lisbon v SC Braga Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.2 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.22 | 4.02 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.24 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.15 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.15 | 3.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and SC Braga?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga match is: More than 2.5 goals
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/01/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and SC Braga in Portugal League Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.21% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against SC Braga with odds of 2.04 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga is 27.94% with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.84% chance ⭐ for a win of SC Braga vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 4.05 at Shangrila.
Benfica Lisbon - SC Braga Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon SC Braga Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 37.21% | 2.04 at Roobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.65% | 2.32 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 14.65% | 3 at LSbet |
Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga Form
Benfica Lisbon and SC Braga Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
21 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
19 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
19 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon against SC Braga Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
D. Ferreira
DefenderJ. Neto
S. Lopes Cabral
G. Oliveira
MidfielderD. Prioste
A. Schjelderup
F. Ivanovic
J. Rego
G. Prestianni
T. Sa
DefenderV. Gomez
P. Oliveira
J. Gorby
G. Moscardo
D. Rodrigues
Y. da Rocha
F. Navarro
G. Martinez
Missing players
D. Lukebakio
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
SC Braga
V. Pavlidis
(2 Goals)
P. Victor
(2 Goals)
L. Barreiro
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Rios
(1 Assists)
P. Victor
(2 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - SC Braga Key Points
- There has been an average of 2.76 goals per Benfica game this season.
- 65% is the average strike rate for both teams this season when it comes to over 2.5 goals in their matches.
- Nine of the last 15 times these teams have met in any competition has seen over 2.5 goals, drawing 2-2 the only time that they met this campaign so far.
- 2.88 is the average figure for a Braga game this season.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga Prediction
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon SC Braga
| Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.72 | 2.04 | +18.6% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.3 | -4.3% |
| SC Braga wins | 4.4 | 4.05 | -8.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 49.0% (-9.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
