Benfica Lisbon vs AGF Aarhus Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
20/08/2026 15:00
AGF Aarhus

Prediction :

 

Half-time/Full-time: Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions

Benfica had an impressive win over Hearts in the third qualifying round of the Europa League. They now host Aarhus in the play-off round with this first leg at home. The Eagles are flying high at present and our prediction is they will win and lead at half and full time.

In the last round, Benfica won the home leg of their tie against Hearts 6-1. They then went to Scotland and drew the second leg 1-1 to go one round away from the league phase. The Reds were in the Champions League last season and lost in the knockout play-off round to Real Madrid.

They had previously beaten the Spanish giants in the league phase, as well as defeating Napoli.

Aarhus won the Danish Superliga last season. That took them into this season's Champions League, but after beating Lech Poznan on penalties (including losing the home leg 4-1), they lost to Sabah from Azerbaijan 5-2 on aggregate. The Whites won 2-1 at home but lost 4-0 on their travels.

Their previous four times in European competition all saw them lose in the second qualifying round of this tournament and the Conference League. They have lost six of their last seven away European fixtures with 23 goals being conceded.

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Benfica Lisbon v AGF Aarhus Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.2 7.8 13
1xbet
1.19 7.7 16
Melbet
1.17 7.6 15
Betwinner
1.17 7.6 15
22bet
1.17 7.5 15
Check all Benfica Lisbon vs AGF Aarhus odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and AGF Aarhus?

Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs AGF Aarhus match is: Benfica wins and leads at half and full time.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and AGF Aarhus in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.95% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against AGF Aarhus with odds of 1.2 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs AGF Aarhus is 23.26% with odds of 7.8 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.78% chance ⭐ for a win of AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 16 at 1xbet.

Benfica Lisbon vs AGF Aarhus Form

Benfica Lisbon and AGF Aarhus Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
W W W D D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
4.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  7
Benfica Lisbon

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Academico De Viseu FC

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
6 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
St. Gallen

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  1
CF OS Belenenses
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Academico De Viseu FC

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
6 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
St. Gallen

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  1
CF OS Belenenses

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Villarreal

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo
W D W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  7
Benfica Lisbon

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

St. Gallen
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
2 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon
AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus Last matches
D W D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Superliga

Viborg FF
2 :  1
AGF Aarhus

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sabah FK
4 :  0
AGF Aarhus

5 Aug 2026 - Champions League

AGF Aarhus
2 :  1
Sabah FK

1 Aug 2026 - Superliga

Lyngby BK
2 :  2
AGF Aarhus

29 Jul 2026 - Champions League

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  4
AGF Aarhus

25 Jul 2026 - Superliga

AGF Aarhus
1 :  1
Brondby IF
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Aug 2026 - Champions League

AGF Aarhus
2 :  1
Sabah FK

25 Jul 2026 - Superliga

AGF Aarhus
1 :  1
Brondby IF

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

AGF Aarhus
1 :  4
KKS Lech Poznan

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AGF Aarhus
2 :  0
AC Horsens

5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AGF Aarhus
4 :  0
Motherwell

27 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AGF Aarhus
1 :  1
Viborg FF
D W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Superliga

Viborg FF
2 :  1
AGF Aarhus

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sabah FK
4 :  0
AGF Aarhus

1 Aug 2026 - Superliga

Lyngby BK
2 :  2
AGF Aarhus

29 Jul 2026 - Champions League

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  4
AGF Aarhus

10 May 2026 - Superliga

Brondby IF
0 :  2
AGF Aarhus

23 Apr 2026 - Superliga

FC Nordsjaelland
1 :  1
AGF Aarhus
Benfica Lisbon vs AGF Aarhus Prediction

Benfica Lisbon - AGF Aarhus Key Points

  1. Benfica won the home leg in the last round 6-1.
  2. Benfica have won three of their last four home European games, including wins over Napoli and Real Madrid.
  3. Aarhus have conceded four goals in two European games this season.
  4. Aarhus have been beaten in six of their last seven European games with 23 goals being scored against them.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs AGF Aarhus Prediction

Benfica will have been disappointed at missing out on Champions League football this season. A deep run in the Europa League will be a major target for the new season. They began well with a win over Hearts, scoring six goals in the home first leg.

Aarhus had a strange time in the Champions League qualifying rounds with them twice conceding four goals. Their away form in Europe has produced six losses in seven games conceding at least three goals in five. Our Benfica v AGF Aarhus prediction is Benfica wins and leads at half and full time.

Prediction :

 

Half-time/Full-time: Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.