Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Defending champion Jannik Sinner faces eighth-seeded Ben Shelton in the outdoor hard court Australian Open quarter-finals. Can Shelton end a long losing streak against Sinner? Read our match prediction below.
Waiting for the winner in the last four is either fourth seed Novak Djokovic or fifth-seeded Lorenzo Musetti.
Jannik Sinner last failed to reach a Grand Slam quarter-final at the 2023 US Open. The Italian has won this tournament for the past two years. He’s made it to the last eight for the loss of just one set. That was won by Eliot Spizzirri in round three.
In 2023, Ben Shelton won the first ever match between these two players. Since then, Sinner has won eight matches in a row against the American, three on this surface. Last year saw Sinner beat Shelton in the semi-finals.
Ben Shelton is playing in his third Australian Open quarter-final in only his fourth appearance in this Grand Slam.
He is ninth in the live rankings but will move up to seventh if he can dethrone Sinner. So far in this tournament, he has only dropped one set. That was the opening one in his fourth round victory over 12th seed Casper Ruud.
We tip more than 0.5 tie-breaks to be played.
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Ben Shelton v Jannik Sinner Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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7.4 | 1.09 |
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7.4 | 1.09 |
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8 | 1.08 |
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7.2 | 1.06 |
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7.4 | 1.06 |
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Who will win the Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner game on 28/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Ben Shelton has a 17.07% chance to win against Jannik Sinner according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 8.4.
- Jannik Sinner has a 82.93% probability of winning facing Ben Shelton ⭐ with odds of 1.1 at Betway.
Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ben Shelton has a 17.07 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | 17.07 % |
| Jannik Sinner | 82.93 % |
Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner Form
Ben Shelton and Jannik Sinner Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
26 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
26 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
16 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
15 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
14 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
14 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
9 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
24 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
9 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
7 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Ben Shelton - Jannik Sinner Key Points
- Of their nine previous matches, only one didn’t see a tie-break played.
- Shelton has already played three tie-breaks in this tournament.
- Before this year’s tournament, Shelton had played a tie-break in all 14 of his previous Australian Open matches, a total of 19 played.
- Sinner played four tie-breaks in the 2025 Australian Open and one so far in this tournament.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner Prediction
Ben Shelton is playing here for the fourth time and has only once failed to get to this stage. He will be out for revenge for last year’s semi-final loss to Sinner but has been beaten by him in their last eight matches.
Only one of their previous nine matches did not see a tie-break played. That was played on an indoor hard court. Jannik Sinner is chasing a third successive Australian Open title and is likely to beat Shelton. Our Ben Shelton v Jannik Sinner prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks played.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
