Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 9 USA
Ben Shelton
04/09/2026 19:10
ATP 48 Canada
Denis Shapovalov

Prediction :

 

First set under 9.5 games

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in ATP US Open Predictions

Ben Shelton locks horns with Denis Shapovalov in the third round of the 2026 US Open tonight. Both of Ben Shelton's matches in this competition have seen the first set produce fewer than 10 games, including eight of his last nine matches. Our prediction supports another low-scoring opening set.

Ben Shelton rallied from five games down in the opening set against Dutchman Tallon Griekspoor before going on to thump him in the competition’s first round. He also saw off Pole Hubert Hurkacz in four sets, winning 6–3, 5–7, 7–6(7–3), 7–5 to progress to this round. 

Both of those matches saw the first set produce no more than nine total games. The American No. 1 has now seen the opening sets in eight of his last nine matches produce no more than nine total games, thanks to his powerful serve (78.1% first-serve points won in the tournament) and ability to create early breaks. 

Denis Shapovalov got the better of Serbia’s Miomir Kecmanovic in the first round, winning in four sets, and then eased past Luca van Assche in straight sets in the second round, winning 6–0, 6–4, 7–6(9–7). The opening sets in seven of his last 11 matches have ended with under 9.5 total games.

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Ben Shelton v Denis Shapovalov Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.24 3.8
1xbet
1.27 3.96
Melbet
1.26 3.9
Betwinner
1.26 3.9
22bet
1.26 3.9
Check all Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov odds

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Who will win the Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov match is: First set under 9.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov game on 04/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Ben Shelton has a 64.6% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.27.
  • Denis Shapovalov has a 29.2% probability of winning facing Ben Shelton ⭐ with odds of 4.35 at Shangrila.

Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ben Shelton has a 64.6 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Ben Shelton64.6 %
Denis Shapovalov29.2 %

Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Form

Ben Shelton and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches

Ben Shelton Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Ben Shelton
3 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Ben Shelton
3 :  1
Tallon Griekspoor

16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Ben Shelton
0 :  2
Jaime Faria

13 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Ben Shelton
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

12 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Ben Shelton

11 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Jakub Mensik
0 :  2
Ben Shelton
Denis Shapovalov Last matches
L D W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Denis Shapovalov
3 :  0
Luca Van Assche

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
1 :  3
Denis Shapovalov

15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

13 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Zachary Svajda
1 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

1 Aug 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Arthur Gea
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ben Shelton

100 %

Denis Shapovalov

0 %

14 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Denis Shapovalov
1 :  2
Ben Shelton

3 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Ben Shelton

2 Aug 2024 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  0
Ben Shelton

5 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  3
Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Ben Shelton - Denis Shapovalov Key Points

  1. The opening set in both of Ben Shelton’s matches in the 2026 US Open has ended with under 9.5 total games.
  2. Eight of Ben Shelton's last nine matches have seen the opening set produce no more than nine total games.
  3. Seven of Denis Shapovalov’s last 11 matches have seen first sets produce fewer than 10 total games.
  4. Shelton has won 78.1% of his first-serve points across his two matches in the 2026 US Open.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Ben Shelton has been involved in matches producing low-scoring first sets. The trend has continued in his two fixtures in the tournament, thanks to his explosive serves and ability to break serve.

Seven of Denis Shapovalov’s last 11 matches have also seen most of his opening sets produce no more than nine total games. With both players predominantly involved in matches with decisive opening sets, another low-scoring first set is likely on the cards. Our Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov prediction: First set under 9.5 games. 

Prediction :

 

First set under 9.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.