Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP US Open Predictions
Can Ben Shelton record a first ever win over Carlos Alcaraz? The eighth seed takes on the defending champion who is seeded second in the quarter-finals of the US Open. Three previous meetings between these two players have all been won by Alcaraz. Our prediction here is that Alcaraz wins set one and match.
In the last four, the winner will be up against either 11th seed Frances Tiafoe or unseeded Alex Michelsen.
Carlos Alcaraz is the world number three, but can't climb any higher than that even if he retains this outdoor hard court Grand Slam title. The Spaniard is a two-time champion in New York and is attempting to win a third successive Grand Slam title. Each of the last four he's played have seen him at least reach the final.
He's reached this quarter-final for the loss of only one set and beat Tommy Paul in the last 16.
Alcaraz has won the opening set in three of his four wins so far.and in all of his previous wins against Shelton.
Ben Shelton has reached one semi-final here, doing so in 2023. This is his first time past round three in New York since then.
The American dropped a set in each of his first three wins here, before a straight sets victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas.
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Ben Shelton v Carlos Alcaraz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.75 | 1.23 |
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3.93 | 1.27 |
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3.88 | 1.26 |
|
|
3.88 | 1.26 |
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|
4 | 1.25 |
|
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Who will win the Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Carlos Alcaraz wins set one and match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 08/09/2026 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Ben Shelton has a 31.31% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 68.69% probability of winning facing Ben Shelton ⭐ with odds of 1.32 at Shangrila.
Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ben Shelton has a 31.31 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | 31.31 % |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 68.69 % |
Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Ben Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
13 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
12 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
1 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
9 Aug 2023 - ATP Toronto
Ben Shelton - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz has won all three of his previous matches against Shelton.
- In each of those matches, Alcaraz won the opening set.
- Shelton has dropped three sets so far in this tournament.
- Alcaraz is the defending champion here.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz takes on Ben Shelton whom he has never lost to. He's beaten the American on three previous occasions and in each of those matches, he won the opening set. Alcaraz has won set one and the match in 11 of his last 12 victories.
Three of Ben Shelton's four matches have seen him drop a set. He's played four tie-breaks so far and a side bet on one here might be a successful one to place. Our Ben Shelton v Carlos Alcaraz prediction is Carlos Alcaraz wins set one and match.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Ben Shelton vs. Carlos Alcaraz game!
When you place a bet on the match between Ben Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Ben Shelton or Carlos Alcaraz, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
