Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
28/08/2026 14:30
Stuttgart

Prediction :

 

Under 4.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Bayern Munich start their Bundesliga title defence at home when they play Stuttgart on matchday one of the 2026-27 season. This match at Allianz Arena between the ‘Bavarians’ and the ‘Swabians’ is likely to live up to its recent trend of fewer goals, so our match prediction is for under 4.5 goals to be scored.

Bayern won the domestic double last season and have won 28 of their 34 league games, winning the title comprehensively. Stuttgart finished fourth with 62 points and just a point above fifth.

A battling 2-1 away win at Dortmund last weekend gave Bayern the 'Super Cup' ahead of their Bundesliga engagements. They have won their last six games and will be keen to start the league on a high.

Winning nine of their last 11 home competitive games at Allianz Arena (D2) gives Bayern confidence of starting the title defence with a win.

Stuttgart were beaten in the DFB-Pokal final last season against Bayern. The Swabians started their season this time with a 4-0 away win at Hansa Rostock in the cup competition's first round. The visitors will be wary of their league record last season, having ended with three draws out of the last four (W1). Away form is a concern, though, as Stuttgart had just one win from their last seven away league trips (D4, L2).

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Bayern Munich v Stuttgart Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.24 8 10
1xbet
1.24 7.7 10.8
Melbet
1.21 7.5 10.5
Betwinner
1.21 7.5 10.5
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1.21 7.5 10.5

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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Stuttgart?

Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart match is: under 4.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2026 between Bayern Munich and Stuttgart in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.31% for a win of Bayern Munich against Stuttgart with odds of 1.28 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart is 20.64% with odds of 8 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich with odds of 10.8 at 1xbet.

Bayern Munich - Stuttgart Prediction and Best Odds:

Bayern Munich Stuttgart Prediction Probability Odds
Bayern Munich wins 53.31% 1.28 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 84.63% 1.19 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 63.75%
Half-time: Stuttgart / Full-time: Bayern Munich 22.63% 17 at Stake

Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Form

Bayern Munich and Stuttgart's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Bayern Munich
11 5 3 2 0 +12
10 Stuttgart
6 5 2 0 3 -1

Bayern Munich and Stuttgart Last Matches

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
4.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

18 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heidenheim
2 :  4
Bayern Munich

15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Leipzig

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Jeju United
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Rottach-Egern
0 :  15
Bayern Munich
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Leipzig

23 May 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Stuttgart

16 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Köln

6 May 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
PSG

2 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  3
Heidenheim

19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  2
Stuttgart
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
4.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

18 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heidenheim
2 :  4
Bayern Munich

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Jeju United
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Rottach-Egern
0 :  15
Bayern Munich

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Wehen Wiesbaden
2 :  1
Bayern Munich
Stuttgart
Stuttgart Last matches
W W D W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hansa Rostock
0 :  4
Stuttgart

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fulham
1 :  0
Stuttgart

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Everton

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
2 :  2
Stuttgart

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Offenbacher FC Kickers 1901
1 :  8
Stuttgart

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FSV Hollenbach
0 :  5
Stuttgart
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Everton

9 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  1
Werder Bremen

23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Freiburg

12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Hamburg

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
W W W D L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
33% BTTS
4.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hansa Rostock
0 :  4
Stuttgart

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fulham
1 :  0
Stuttgart

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Paris FC
2 :  2
Stuttgart

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Offenbacher FC Kickers 1901
1 :  8
Stuttgart

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FSV Hollenbach
0 :  5
Stuttgart

19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

TSG Balingen 1848
0 :  7
Stuttgart

Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

100 %

Draw

0 %

Stuttgart

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
3.5
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

23 May 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Stuttgart

19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  2
Stuttgart

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
0 :  5
Bayern Munich

16 Aug 2025 - German Super Cup

Stuttgart
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

28 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Stuttgart
Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Prediction

Bayern Munich against Stuttgart Lineups: Starting 11

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Neuer
27
K. Laimer
2
D. Upamecano
3
K. Min-jae
19
A. Davies
6
J. Kimmich
45
A. Pavlovic
17
M. Olise
11
N. Brown
14
L. Diaz
9
H. Kane
17
D. Pejcinovic
26
D. Undav
8
T. Tomas
7
M. Mittelstadt
6
A. Stiller
21
G. Promel
4
J. Vagnoman
3
R. Hendriks
24
J. Chabot
29
F. Jeltsch
1
F. Bredlow

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Stuttgart

Substitutes

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

J. Urbig

Defender

H. Ito

J. Tah

K. Min-jae 84'

J. Stanisic

A. Davies 74'

Midfielder

B. Ndiaye

I. Saibari

N. Brown 61'

T. Bischof

A. Pavlovic 84'

A. Ibrahimovic

L. Karl

H. Kane 84'

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Goalkeeper

M. Funk

Defender

L. Stergiou

J. Chabot 74'

A. Al-Dakhil

Midfielder

J. Leweling

T. Tomas 62'

Chema Andres

A. Stiller 88'

B. El Khannouss

D. Undav 74'

B. Bouanani

A. Karazor

Forward

E. Demirovic

D. Pejcinovic 62'

Missing players

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Midfielder

J. Musiala

Forward

S. Gnabry

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Goalkeeper

D. Seimen

Defender

D. Zagadou

L. Assignon

L. Jaquez

Midfielder

C. Fuhrich

N. Nartey

Forward

L. Sauer

J. Diehl

J. Arevalo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
CD Huachipato Stuttgart
Top Goalscorer
France M. Olise (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany J. Vagnoman (2 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco I. Saibari (3 Assists)
Best assists
Germany A. Stiller (2 Assists)

Bayern Munich - Stuttgart Key Points

  1. Four of Bayern’s last five competitive matches produced under 4.5 goals.
  2. Stuttgart’s last four matches have seen fewer than five goals.
  3. Six of Stuttgart’s last seven competitive games have seen at most four goals scored.
  4. Five of Stuttgart’s last eight away competitive matches have seen less than five goals scored.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Prediction

Bayern already laid the mark for the rest of the teams by winning the Super Cup by defeating Borussia Dortmund. With the Bavarians unlikely to be tested in their push for another league title, the challenge for the visitors is to maintain another top-four push. Having started the season positively with a win in the DFB-Pokal, Stuttgart will be confident here.

Nine of the last 11 competitive matches between these sides have produced fewer than five goals, and that could repeat here, with this match coming early in the season. Our Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart prediction is under 4.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 4.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Stuttgart

Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Bayern Munich wins 1.23 1.28 +4.1%
Draw 6.6 8 +21.2%
Stuttgart wins 8.25 10.8 +30.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Bayern Munich is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 81.3% and is now 78.1% (-3.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.