Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Lig

Turkey - Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir
16/08/2026 12:00
Kocaelispor

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Super Lig Predictions

Basaksehir will look to bury the hurt of UEFA Conference League elimination with a win when they start their 2026-27 Turkey Super Lig on matchday one against Kocaelispor. This match on Sunday at the Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium in Istanbul between the ‘Grey Owls’ and the ‘Gulf’ is likely to be a low-scoring one, and our prediction backs under 2.5 goals here.

With 57 points (W16, D9, L9), Basaksehir finished fifth last season and qualified for the Conference League second qualifying round. Kocaelispor ended in 10th spot with 37 points (W9, D10, L15).

Basaksehir lost 2-0 away at Inter Turku in the second leg of the Conference League qualifiers and were dumped out of the competition 3-1 on aggregate. The ‘Grey Owls’ will be looking to put that disappointment behind them and bring the vibes of four wins from their last six league games (D1, L1).

That record only gets better at home with five wins from their last six home league games (D1).

Kocaelispor, on the other hand, will be keen to forget how their previous season ended. The visitors ended with a nine-match winless run in the league (D4, L5), failing to score in five games.

Their recent away record is equally poor, with Kocaelispor losing three of their last five league trips (D2), failing to score in every defeat.

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Istanbul Basaksehir v Kocaelispor Best Betting Odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Istanbul Basaksehir and Kocaelispor?

Our prediction for the Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2026 between Istanbul Basaksehir and Kocaelispor in Super Lig :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.67% for a win of Istanbul Basaksehir against Kocaelispor with odds of 1.62 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor is 32.8% with odds of 4.5 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 9.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Kocaelispor vs Istanbul Basaksehir with odds of 7.17 at 1xbet.

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Form

Istanbul Basaksehir and Kocaelispor Last Matches

Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir Last matches
W L W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2026 - Conference League

Inter Turku
2 :  0
Istanbul Basaksehir

22 Jul 2026 - Conference League

Istanbul Basaksehir
1 :  1
Inter Turku

16 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut
0 :  2
Istanbul Basaksehir

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Salzburg
1 :  2
Istanbul Basaksehir

6 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

KS Cracovia Krakow
3 :  1
Istanbul Basaksehir

16 May 2026 - Super Lig

Gaziantep FK
1 :  2
Istanbul Basaksehir
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2026 - Conference League

Istanbul Basaksehir
1 :  1
Inter Turku

9 May 2026 - Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir
3 :  0
Samsunspor

24 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir
4 :  0
Kasimpasa Istanbul

11 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir
3 :  0
Genclerbirligi SK

18 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir
0 :  0
Antalyaspor

7 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir
2 :  1
Goztepe Izmir
L W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2026 - Conference League

Inter Turku
2 :  0
Istanbul Basaksehir

16 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut
0 :  2
Istanbul Basaksehir

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Salzburg
1 :  2
Istanbul Basaksehir

6 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

KS Cracovia Krakow
3 :  1
Istanbul Basaksehir

16 May 2026 - Super Lig

Gaziantep FK
1 :  2
Istanbul Basaksehir

2 May 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Istanbul Basaksehir
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor Last matches
D D L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

17 May 2026 - Super Lig

Antalyaspor
1 :  0
Kocaelispor

9 May 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  1
Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

3 May 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
1 :  1
Kocaelispor

26 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Genclerbirligi SK
1 :  0
Kocaelispor

18 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
1 :  1
Goztepe Izmir

12 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Galatasaray
1 :  1
Kocaelispor
W L L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  1
Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

18 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
1 :  1
Goztepe Izmir

6 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  0
Istanbul Basaksehir

14 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
1 :  2
Konyaspor

28 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  1
Besiktas Istanbul

15 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
3 :  0
Gaziantep FK
W L D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

17 May 2026 - Super Lig

Antalyaspor
1 :  0
Kocaelispor

3 May 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
1 :  1
Kocaelispor

26 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Genclerbirligi SK
1 :  0
Kocaelispor

12 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Galatasaray
1 :  1
Kocaelispor

18 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Alanyaspor
5 :  0
Kocaelispor

9 Mar 2026 - Super Lig

Eyupspor
0 :  1
Kocaelispor

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Istanbul Basaksehir

50 %

Draw

50 %

Kocaelispor

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  0
Istanbul Basaksehir

31 Oct 2025 - Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir
1 :  0
Kocaelispor
Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Prediction

Players list

Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir
Goalkeeper

M. Sengezer

Defender

C. Operi

O. Ba

E. Bayram

Midfielder

O. Bulut

U. Gunes

B. Ozdemir

Forward

E. Shomurodov

D. Selke

I. Brnic

Y. Sari

Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
Goalkeeper

S. Oztasdelen

Defender

A. Oguz

A. Dijksteel

H. Smolcic

M. Haidara

Midfielder

H. Keita

Show

M. Susoho

R. Rivas

D. Churlinov

Forward

D. Agyei

Substitutes

Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir
Goalkeeper

D. Dilmen

V. Babacan

Defender

H. Gureler

M. Karbownik

J. Opoku

Midfielder

B. Ozcan

N. Da Costa

A. Fayzullaev

O. Ergun

Forward

O. Sahiner

B. Yildirim

Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
Goalkeeper

G. Degirmenci

Defender

M. Efe Kucuk

T. Bingol

M. Cinan

D. Ceylan

Midfielder

F. Gedik

E. Narin

J. Nonge

Forward

S. Dursun

A. Ozyar

Istanbul Basaksehir - Kocaelispor Key Points

  1. Basaksehir’s last three matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
  2. Basaksehir have kept a clean sheet in their last four home league games.
  3. In 11 of Kocaelispor’s last 13 competitive matches, there have been two or fewer goals scored.
  4. Six of Kocaelispor’s last seven away league games saw fewer than three goals.
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Our Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Prediction

Kocaelispor were the lowest scorers in the Super Lig last season, with their tally of 26 goals fewer than even the relegated sides. That said, with only 38 goals conceded, they were the third-best defensive team. Basaksehir were not too far on the defensive front, with only 35 goals conceded. Even the two games between these sides were low-scoring.

Kocaelispor have failed to score in both their seasonal matches against Basaksehir last season, and the scoring troubles could continue here. Our Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.