Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Lig
Turkey - Super Lig
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Super Lig Predictions
Basaksehir will look to bury the hurt of UEFA Conference League elimination with a win when they start their 2026-27 Turkey Super Lig on matchday one against Kocaelispor. This match on Sunday at the Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium in Istanbul between the ‘Grey Owls’ and the ‘Gulf’ is likely to be a low-scoring one, and our prediction backs under 2.5 goals here.
With 57 points (W16, D9, L9), Basaksehir finished fifth last season and qualified for the Conference League second qualifying round. Kocaelispor ended in 10th spot with 37 points (W9, D10, L15).
Basaksehir lost 2-0 away at Inter Turku in the second leg of the Conference League qualifiers and were dumped out of the competition 3-1 on aggregate. The ‘Grey Owls’ will be looking to put that disappointment behind them and bring the vibes of four wins from their last six league games (D1, L1).
That record only gets better at home with five wins from their last six home league games (D1).
Kocaelispor, on the other hand, will be keen to forget how their previous season ended. The visitors ended with a nine-match winless run in the league (D4, L5), failing to score in five games.
Their recent away record is equally poor, with Kocaelispor losing three of their last five league trips (D2), failing to score in every defeat.
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Istanbul Basaksehir v Kocaelispor Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.55 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.73 | 5.72 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.72 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.62 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.72 | 6.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Istanbul Basaksehir and Kocaelispor?
Our prediction for the Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2026 between Istanbul Basaksehir and Kocaelispor in Super Lig :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.18% for a win of Istanbul Basaksehir against Kocaelispor with odds of 1.71 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor is 33.07% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Kocaelispor vs Istanbul Basaksehir with odds of 6.1 at Melbet.
Istanbul Basaksehir - Kocaelispor Prediction and Best Odds:
| Istanbul Basaksehir Kocaelispor Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Istanbul Basaksehir wins | 57.18% | 1.71 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.76% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Istanbul Basaksehir/Istanbul Basaksehir | 25.08% | 2.62 at Shangrila |
Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Form
Istanbul Basaksehir and Kocaelispor's standings in the Super Lig
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 |
|
14
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
Istanbul Basaksehir and Kocaelispor Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
22 Jul 2026 - Conference League
16 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Super Lig
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Conference League
9 May 2026 - Super Lig
24 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
11 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
18 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
7 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
16 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Super Lig
2 May 2026 - Super Lig
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Super Lig
9 May 2026 - Super Lig
3 May 2026 - Super Lig
26 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
18 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
12 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Super Lig
18 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
6 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
14 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
28 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
15 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Super Lig
3 May 2026 - Super Lig
26 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
12 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
18 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
9 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
31 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
Istanbul Basaksehir against Kocaelispor Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Dilmen
DefenderM. Karbownik
H. Gureler
U. Gunes
O. Ergun
B. Ozcan
ForwardU. Bozok
I. Brnic
Y. Sari
D. Selke
O. Piri
DefenderM. Cinan
E. Ortakaya
O. Oztonga
MidfielderH. Karatas
M. Susoho
E. Mustafa
A. Ozyar
B. Yildiz
M. Altunbas
Most goals and assists
Istanbul Basaksehir
Kocaelispor
E. Shomurodov
(6 Goals)
B. Kutlu
(2 Goals)
A. Skov Olsen
(2 Assists)
, 
I. Brnic
(2 Assists)
G. Santos
(2 Assists)
Istanbul Basaksehir - Kocaelispor Key Points
- Basaksehir’s last three matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Basaksehir have kept a clean sheet in their last four home league games.
- In 11 of Kocaelispor’s last 13 competitive matches, there have been two or fewer goals scored.
- Six of Kocaelispor’s last seven away league games saw fewer than three goals.
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Our Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Prediction
Kocaelispor were the lowest scorers in the Super Lig last season, with their tally of 26 goals fewer than even the relegated sides. That said, with only 38 goals conceded, they were the third-best defensive team. Basaksehir were not too far on the defensive front, with only 35 goals conceded. Even the two games between these sides were low-scoring.
Kocaelispor have failed to score in both their seasonal matches against Basaksehir last season, and the scoring troubles could continue here. Our Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Istanbul Basaksehir Kocaelispor
| Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Istanbul Basaksehir wins | 1.6 | 1.71 | +6.9% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0% |
| Kocaelispor wins | 5.75 | 6.1 | +6.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Istanbul Basaksehir is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 58.5% (-4.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
