AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

AZ Alkmaar
15/10/2026 12:45
Hapoel Beer Sheva

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions

AZ Alkmaar need to reverse their recent losing trend to earn their first points of the league phase of the UEFA Europa League (UEL) against a tricky Hapoel Beer Sheva side on matchday two. This match at the AFAS Stadion between the 25th-placed ‘Cheese Farmers’ and the 17th-placed ‘Camels’ could be a tighter game with under 3.5 goals in our match prediction.

A loss on matchday one keeps AZ out of the knockout spots, while Hapoel’s draw and a single point keeps them above their hosts.

AZ lost 2-0 away at Feyenoord at the weekend in the Eredivisie to make it two defeats in their last three games (W1). With the other defeat (1-0) coming away at Sunderland on matchday one of this competition, the hosts have a lot to improve to pick up their first points.

Playing at home is perhaps their best chance to do that, as AZ have three wins from their last four competitive home games (D1).

Hapoel won 2-0 away at Ironi Tiberias in their weekend league game to make it three wins from their last four games (D1). The lone draw in that sequence came in their 0-0 home draw against Dinamo Zagreb on matchday one.

Their record on the road is a bit concerning, though, as Hapoel lost five of their last 13 away continental games (W2, D7).

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AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Beer Sheva Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.28 6.00 9.20
1xbet
1.33 5.73 9.60
Melbet
1.30 5.60 9.40
Betwinner
1.30 5.60 9.40
22bet
1.30 5.60 9.40
Check all AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva match is: under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2026 between AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.19% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against Hapoel Beer Sheva with odds of 1.33 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is 10.99% with odds of 6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 9.8 at Betsson.

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Form

AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva's standings in the Europa League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
17 Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 1 0 1 0 0
25 AZ Alkmaar
0 1 0 0 1 -1

AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva Last Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Last matches
W W D L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
2 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

20 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Telstar

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Sunderland
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

11 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Willem II

6 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
2 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
5 :  2
Go Ahead Eagles
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Telstar

11 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Willem II

29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
5 :  2
Go Ahead Eagles

8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  0
ADO The Hague

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  2
Olympiacos

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  0
Genk
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
2 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Sunderland
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

6 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
2 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

22 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
1 :  4
AZ Alkmaar

2 Aug 2026 - Johan Cruijff Schaal

PSV Eindhoven
0 :  4
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva Last matches
D L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Ironi Tiberias
0 :  2
Hapoel Beer Sheva

19 Sept 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 :  0
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Hapoel Beer Sheva
0 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

13 Sept 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 :  2
Hapoel Beer Sheva

7 Sept 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 :  4
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC

2 Sept 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Beer Sheva
2 :  2
Hapoel Haifa FC
W W D L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 :  0
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Hapoel Beer Sheva
0 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

7 Sept 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 :  4
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC

2 Sept 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Beer Sheva
2 :  2
Hapoel Haifa FC

19 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Hapoel Beer Sheva
2 :  1
Sabah FK

4 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 :  0
Red Star Belgrade
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Ironi Tiberias
0 :  2
Hapoel Beer Sheva

13 Sept 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 :  2
Hapoel Beer Sheva

29 Aug 2026 - Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC
1 :  2
Hapoel Beer Sheva

25 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sabah FK
5 :  2
Hapoel Beer Sheva

15 Aug 2026 - League Cup, Premier

Hapoel Haifa FC
4 :  0
Hapoel Beer Sheva

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Red Star Belgrade
0 :  2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction

Missing players

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Defender

S. Resink

Midfielder

K. Smit

Forward

J. Hornkamp

Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva

AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva Stats in Europa League

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0%
Wins
0%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
100%
1
Average goals per match
0
0
Goals scored per match
0
1
Goals conceded per match
0
100%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
100%
0%
BTTS
0%

AZ Alkmaar - Hapoel Beer Sheva Key Points

  1. Six of AZ’s last nine competitive matches produced under 3.5 goals.
  2. Eight of AZ’s last 12 matches in European games have seen fewer than four goals scored.
  3. Nine of Hapoel’s last ten matches in UEFA games have seen three or fewer goals.
  4. At most three goals were scored in ten of Hapoel’s last 14 competitive games.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction

AZ started with a defeat at Sunderland and have even lost at the weekend in the Eredivisie. There’s enough motivation there for the hosts to go for a win in this crucial fixture, although Hapoel have been quietly building up a case with their stubborn results; a 0-0 draw against Dinamo Zagreb on matchday one was a case in point.

AZ have been impressive at home, keeping four clean sheets in their last six home UEFA matches. That low-scoring trend could reflect here, and our AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction is under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.