New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

11 July 2024 - 20:30 

- Day 16

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
VS
SAO Paulo

Prediction :

Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

 by Nella Wagah in Football Predictions

Struggling Atletico Mineiro will be out to rediscover their form when they welcome Sao Paulo for their next Serie A match. Placed 12th, Atletico will be eyeing a crucial scalp here, as they take on fourth placed Sao Paulo. Here we take a look at the stats and offer a prediction for this match.

Atletico Mineiro finished a solid third last season, just four points behind the league winners. This season has however been a tough one, and they come here winless in their last three matches. The last two were defeats; the most recent a 3-0 reverse at high-flying Botafogo.

With just a win in their last seven matches, Atletico’s confidence has been dropping by the game. four times in that run of seven matches, they conceded three or more goals. They will be happy with theirb attack though, having failed to score in just two of their last 10 matches.

Sao Paulo will never find a better chance to end their poor run against Atletico Mineiro. They come here winless in the last six meetings with Atletico, losing thrice and failing to score in four. However, in their recent matches, they’ve picked good form, and come here on straight wins in their last four outings.

Right ahead of this game, Sao Paulo sank ninth placed Bragantino 2-0. That happens to be their only clean sheet in the last seven matches. It means even with their superior run of form, Sao Paulo will still be concerned about their performance at the back.

However, having scored two or more in each of their last four games should ignite their fire. In 16 matches, Sao Paulo failed to score in only three. A 4-1 loss to Vasco da Gama in June stands as their only away loss in the last nine away games.

Up to $150 to bet on Atletico MG - SAO Paulo! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v SAO Paulo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.07 9 101
Ladbrokes
2.8 2.2 3.2
1xbet
1.02 21 501
22bet
1.02 21 501
Betobet
2.5 3.05 3.05
Betwinner
2.61 3.13 2.84
Stake
1.02 12.25 100
Melbet
2.45 3.18 3.04
Tonybet
2.48 3.15 2.95
Check all Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo odds
Up to $150 to bet on Atletico MG - SAO Paulo! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and SAO Paulo?

Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo match is: Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 7/11/24 between Atletico MG and SAO Paulo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.9% for a win of Atletico MG against SAO Paulo with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo is 37.38% with odds of 21 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.72% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG with odds of 501 at 1xbet.

Atletico MG - SAO Paulo Prediction and Best Odds:

Atletico MG SAO Paulo Prediction Probability Odds
SAO Paulo wins 39.72% 501 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 61.08% 2.46 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 69.58% 2 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: SAO Paulo 19.26% 6.5 at Bet365

Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Form

Atletico MG and SAO Paulo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
31 18 9 4 5 8
10
Atletico MG
Atletico MG
25 17 6 7 4 0

Atletico MG and SAO Paulo Last Matches

Atletico MG
Atletico MG Last matches
L D W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
2.33
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  0
Atletico MG

3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  4
Flamengo

30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Atletico GO

26 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
1 :  2
Atletico MG

23 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Fortaleza

20 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
4 :  2
Atletico MG
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

6 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Bragantino

3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  2
SAO Paulo

30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
3 :  1
Bahia

27 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Criciuma

22 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
4 :  1
SAO Paulo

19 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Cuiaba

Atletico MG against SAO Paulo : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico MG

50 %

Draw

50 %

SAO Paulo

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.5
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

2 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

6 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  2
Atletico MG

1 Nov 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Atletico MG

10 Jul 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

25 Sep 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  0
Atletico MG

13 Jun 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  0
SAO Paulo
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Atletico MG against SAO Paulo Lineups: Starting 11

Atletico MG

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

31
M. Mendes
21
R. Battaglia
3
B. Fuchs
26
R. Saravia
6
G. Scarpa
5
Otavio
23
A. Franco
13
G. Arana
10
Paulinho
11
E. Vargas
7
Hulk
9
J. Calleri
47
Ferreira
10
Luciano
7
L. Moura
16
L. Gustavo
25
Alisson
6
Welington
28
A. Franco
5
R. Arboleda
2
I. Vinicius
23
Rafael

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

SAO Paulo

Atletico MG - SAO Paulo Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in Atletico Mineiro’s last five home matches
  2. A total of 17 goals were scored in Sao Paulo’s last five matches
  3. Half of Atletico Mineiro’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals
  4. Both teams scored in four of Sao Paulo’s last five Serie A matches
  5. An average of 3.2 goals were scored in Atletico Mineiro’s last five matches
  6. Six of Sao Paulo’s seven away league matches this year produced over 2.5 goals
Up to $150 to bet on Atletico MG - SAO Paulo! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Prediction

Sao Paulo will step up as favorites, having won their last four matches. However, they have struggled to match their good run with solidity at the back. They face a side with a defensive problem as well. Atletico Mineiro’s struggles however, go beyond just porosity at the back.

The hosts have been conceding a lot of goals. By these stats, the two sides have been involved in a number of high scoring matches.

Our prediction for Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo is for the game to produce over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Prediction :

Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico MG SAO Paulo

Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Atletico MG wins 2.2 1.07 -51.4%
Draw 3.25 9 +176.9%
SAO Paulo wins 3.25 101 +3,007.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • SAO Paulo is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3,007.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 1.0% (-29.8%)

Up to 70% Soccer Acca Boost

bet365 soccer acca promo

There are more than 80 leagues and competitions that this promotion can be used on which gives bettors a wide range of options. The acca boost can be used on any accas made up of two or more selections with the more selections added, the more of a boost can be obtained. A two-team acca will only be boosted by 2.5% for example, five teams will see a 12% boost, 10 teams a 35% boost while any football acca made up of 14 or more selections will see the maximum 70% boost obtained if all of your selections are winners. The acca can be used pre-match on full-time result, both teams to score and on result/both teams to score markets. Do not cash out any of these acca bets or the acca boost will not be applied and you can not use bet credits as they will not qualify for an acca boost.

Register today!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Prediction
Up to $150 to bet on Atletico MG - SAO Paulo! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Please Gamble Responsibly
logo footer