Atletico MG vs Santos Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
Santos take a 2–0 advantage from the first leg into this all-Brazilian Copa Sudamericana quarter-final second leg away to Atlético Mineiro on Wednesday. They are unbeaten in their last 10 outings in the competition and in their last four meetings with Atlético Mineiro, making us favour them in our prediction.
Atlético Mineiro first saw their 14-match unbeaten run across all competitions snapped by São Paulo in Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. Then came a 2–0 defeat to Santos in the first leg of this tie.
From a 14-match unbeaten run to two consecutive defeats, Eduardo Domínguez’s Atlético Mineiro could hardly have expected such a drastic downturn. They did secure some respite at the weekend by easing past Fluminense 3–1 in the Brazilian top flight but are winless in their last four encounters against Santos.
After their first-leg win, Santos continued their fine run with a 2–1 victory over Cruzeiro in domestic league action at the weekend, extending their unbeaten streak to five matches (W4, D1).
Alvinegro are among the most difficult teams to beat in the Copa Sudamericana this season, having lost just one of their 11 matches in the competition. They have also avoided defeat in six of their last seven away matches across all competitions.
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Atletico MG v Santos Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.78 | 3.55 | 4.5 |
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1.81 | 3.81 | 4.85 |
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1.76 | 3.68 | 4.68 |
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1.76 | 3.68 | 4.68 |
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1.76 | 3.68 | 4.68 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Santos?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Santos match is: Draw or Santos.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Atletico MG and Santos in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.15% for a win of Atletico MG against Santos with odds of 1.83 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Santos is 25.83% with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Santos vs Atletico MG with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Atletico MG vs Santos Form
Atletico MG and Santos Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
20 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
Atletico MG vs Santos Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Apr 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs Santos last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Assuncao
DefenderR. Lodi
A. Preciado
Lyanco
MidfielderM. Cisse
G. Scarpa
Maycon
I. Gomes
A. Minda
Alexsander
ForwardDudu
M. Cassierra
Diogenes
DefenderJ. Santos Paes da Costa
J. Ananias Bento
Rafael Gonzaga
Samuel Pierri
MidfielderG. Caballero
C. Oliva
V. Lima
A. Melo
Thaciano
G. Menino
Miguelito
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG and Santos Stats in Copa Sudamericana
Atletico MG - Santos Key Points
- Atlético Mineiro have lost two of their last three matches.
- Atlético Mineiro are winless in their last four matches against Santos.
- Santos are unbeaten in their last five matches.
- Santos have avoided defeat in six of their last seven away matches.
- Santos have avoided defeat in 10 of their 11 Copa Sudamericana matches this season.
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Our Atletico MG vs Santos Prediction
Atlético Mineiro have been installed as favourites for this match given home advantage and the need for a win. However, the hosts face an uphill task against a Santos side looking to build on their first-leg advantage and progress to the next round.
The two teams meet off contrasting fortunes. While Atlético Mineiro have struggled recently, Santos arrive in strong form. They have also been formidable on the road and are likely to pose a significant challenge to Atlético Mineiro. Our Atlético Mineiro vs Santos prediction: Draw or Santos.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.