Atletico MG vs Santos Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana

South America - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
16/09/2026 18:00
Santos

Prediction :

 

Draw or Santos

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions

Santos take a 2–0 advantage from the first leg into this all-Brazilian Copa Sudamericana quarter-final second leg away to Atlético Mineiro on Wednesday. They are unbeaten in their last 10 outings in the competition and in their last four meetings with Atlético Mineiro, making us favour them in our prediction. 

Atlético Mineiro first saw their 14-match unbeaten run across all competitions snapped by São Paulo in Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. Then came a 2–0 defeat to Santos in the first leg of this tie.

From a 14-match unbeaten run to two consecutive defeats, Eduardo Domínguez’s Atlético Mineiro could hardly have expected such a drastic downturn. They did secure some respite at the weekend by easing past Fluminense 3–1 in the Brazilian top flight but are winless in their last four encounters against Santos. 

After their first-leg win, Santos continued their fine run with a 2–1 victory over Cruzeiro in domestic league action at the weekend, extending their unbeaten streak to five matches (W4, D1). 

Alvinegro are among the most difficult teams to beat in the Copa Sudamericana this season, having lost just one of their 11 matches in the competition. They have also avoided defeat in six of their last seven away matches across all competitions.

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Atletico MG v Santos Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.78 3.55 4.5
1xbet
1.81 3.81 4.85
Melbet
1.76 3.68 4.68
Betwinner
1.76 3.68 4.68
22bet
1.76 3.68 4.68
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Santos?

Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Santos match is: Draw or Santos.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Atletico MG and Santos in Copa Sudamericana :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.15% for a win of Atletico MG against Santos with odds of 1.83 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Santos is 25.83% with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Santos vs Atletico MG with odds of 5 at Bet365.

Atletico MG vs Santos Form

Atletico MG and Santos Last Matches

Atletico MG
Atletico MG Last matches
D W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  1
Fluminense

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Vitoria

25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Atletico MG
D W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  1
Fluminense

1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Vitoria

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
2 :  2
Bragantino

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  0
Gremio

1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  0
Juventude
D W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Atletico MG

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  0
Atletico MG

12 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Bragantino
0 :  1
Atletico MG

8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
2 :  2
Atletico MG
Santos
Santos Last matches
L W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
2 :  3
Santos

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
0 :  1
Santos

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos
L W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  1
Mirassol

13 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  1
CSD Macara

9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
0 :  2
Atletico Paranense
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
2 :  3
Santos

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
0 :  1
Santos

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

20 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

CSD Macara
0 :  0
Santos

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  3
Santos

4 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Remo
0 :  1
Santos

Atletico MG vs Santos Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico MG

17 %

Draw

33 %

Santos

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

11 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  0
Atletico MG

14 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Santos

16 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

27 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  0
Santos

23 Apr 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
0 :  0
Atletico MG
Atletico MG vs Santos Prediction

Atletico MG vs Santos last Lineups

Atletico MG

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Delfim
2
Natanael
40
Vitao
14
V. Hugo
36
K. Pascini
15
K. Castano
21
A. Franco
28
T. Cuello
7
Fred
11
Bernard
19
Reinier
11
Rony
7
Everton
32
B. Rollheiser
8
G. Morais Silva Bontempo
5
J. Schmidt
48
G. Henrique Pereira
23
Rodinei
14
Luan Peres
15
W. Arao
18
I. Vinicius
77
G. Brazao

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Santos

Substitutes

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Goalkeeper

R. Assuncao

Defender

R. Lodi

A. Preciado

Lyanco

Midfielder

M. Cisse

G. Scarpa

Maycon

I. Gomes

A. Minda

Alexsander

Forward

Dudu

M. Cassierra

Santos
Santos
Goalkeeper

Diogenes

Defender

J. Santos Paes da Costa

J. Ananias Bento

Rafael Gonzaga

Samuel Pierri

Midfielder

G. Caballero

C. Oliva

V. Lima

A. Melo

Thaciano

G. Menino

Miguelito

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico MG
CD Huachipato Santos
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Bernard (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Barbosa (5 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Cuello (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil G. Barbosa (4 Assists)

Atletico MG and Santos Stats in Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Santos
Santos
44%
Wins
45%
33%
Losses
9%
22%
Draws
45%
2.33
Average goals per match
2.73
1.22
Goals scored per match
1.82
1.11
Goals conceded per match
0.91
56%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
44%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
33%
No goals conceded
27%
44%
BTTS
64%

Atletico MG - Santos Key Points

  1. Atlético Mineiro have lost two of their last three matches.
  2. Atlético Mineiro are winless in their last four matches against Santos.
  3. Santos are unbeaten in their last five matches.
  4. Santos have avoided defeat in six of their last seven away matches.
  5. Santos have avoided defeat in 10 of their 11 Copa Sudamericana matches this season.
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Our Atletico MG vs Santos Prediction

Atlético Mineiro have been installed as favourites for this match given home advantage and the need for a win. However, the hosts face an uphill task against a Santos side looking to build on their first-leg advantage and progress to the next round. 

The two teams meet off contrasting fortunes. While Atlético Mineiro have struggled recently, Santos arrive in strong form. They have also been formidable on the road and are likely to pose a significant challenge to Atlético Mineiro. Our Atlético Mineiro vs Santos prediction: Draw or Santos.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Santos

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.