Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Nella Wagah | in LaLiga Predictions
Two sides that finished in La Liga's top four last season, Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, are set to meet on matchday two in Spain. Atletico, 5-1 losers in the final round last season, will host this encounter. At home in this fixture, Atletico are unbeaten in three, and this prediction backs them for the same.
Diego Simeone’s side started the season on a high, beating new boys Malaga 2-0. They have back-to-back home matches to start the season and a chance to go three straight wins at home.
For a side that finished 25 points adrift of the league winners, Atleti will be targeting a better season, and a win here will be key to that.
Though Villarreal finished ahead of Atletico last season, they had their shaky moments. Their start to this season suggests those shaky moments are still with the team.
The Yellow Submarines had to rally from two goals behind to draw 2-2 with newly promoted Racing Santander. That result means Villarreal have only managed one win in their last five league matches, and that was the 5-1 beating of Atletico.
They haven’t won away to Atletico Madrid in their last three visits, losing twice, and that will not read well for a team seeking a first win of the season.
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Atletico Madrid v Villarreal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.86 | 4.31 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.7 | 4.14 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.7 | 4.14 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.7 | 4.14 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal match is: Atletico Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.56% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Villarreal with odds of 1.91 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal is 19.17% with odds of 3.86 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 4.31 at 1xbet.
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Form
Atletico Madrid and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
6
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Atletico Madrid and Villarreal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - LaLiga
12 May 2026 - LaLiga
5 May 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - LaLiga
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 May 2026 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
12 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Musso
DefenderM. Pubill
M. Llorente
J. Gimenez
A. Grimaldo
MidfielderJ. Castillo
M. Hjulmand
A. Baena
J. Cardoso
L. Kang-in
ForwardM. Cubo
G. Simeone
P. Gulacsi
DefenderA. Freeman
L. Costa
S. Cardona
W. Kambwala
P. Navarro
MidfielderC. Macia
ForwardG. Moreno
T. Buchanan
C. Thiam
I. Akhomach
T. Oluwaseyi
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
A. Baena
(1 Goals)
, 
L. Kang-in
(1 Goals)
N. Pepe
(1 Goals)
, 
P. Gueye
(1 Goals)
D. Hancko
(1 Assists)
G. Mikautadze
(1 Assists)
,
A. Moleiro
(1 Assists)
Atletico Madrid and Villarreal Stats in LaLiga
Atletico Madrid - Villarreal Key Points
- Villarreal have one win in their last five league matches.
- Atletico have won 16 of their last 20 league matches at home.
- Villarreal only won twice in their last 10 away games, losing four.
- Atletico are undefeated in their last three home games against Villarreal.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction
Atletico Madrid are eyeing a 17th home win in La Liga across 21 matches. They were among the best-performing home teams in the league last season, and among the teams they trounced was Villarreal.
Coming into this game unbeaten in three home meetings with Villarreal will pump some confidence in Atletico, who are burning for revenge after their 5-1 loss in this fixture last season. Villarreal, playing away from home against fellow top eight sides, managed just one point in the last seven games. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Villarreal is that Atletico Madrid wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
