Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid are set for another disappointing end to the season but can lock their top-four place when they host Celta Vigo. Victory will secure fourth-placed Atleti’s Champions League slot while dealing a blow to sixth-placed Celta’s European chances. Four home wins in five support our prediction for an Atletico win, but Celta will definitely give them a tough match.
For Atletico yet again, it has been a case of so near yet so far. This midweek they were eliminated from the UCL, a few days after losing the Copa del Rey final.
In La Liga, though, they are on two straight wins and hope to have a strong ending to the season.
A strong ending is also what Celta are eyeing, and three points here will be a massive boost to their European football ambitions. Off the back of a 3-1 win against Elche, Celta have real solid ground to build from.
That was their first win after five straight defeats across all competitions, and there is also a reason to stay optimistic after scoring three for the third time in eight games.
The visitors must, however, improve on their defensive performance after conceding three or more in four of the last eight games.
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Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.46 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.46 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo match is: Atletico Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.1% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Celta Vigo with odds of 2.2 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo is 24.41% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
Atletico Madrid - Celta Vigo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Celta Vigo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 45.1% | 2.2 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.45% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 17.9% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Form
Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
6
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 |
Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
26 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
12 May 2024 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Celta Vigo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
S. Esquivel Gamez
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
R. Le Normand
C. Lenglet
MidfielderJ. Morcillo
O. Vargas
J. Diaz
R. Martinez Moya
ForwardT. Almada
I. Luque Sierra
M. Llorente
I. Villar
DefenderS. Carreira
C. Dominguez
M. Fernandez
J. Aidoo
M. Ristic
A. Antanon
H. Sotelo
H. Alvarez
J. El-Abdellaoui
ForwardF. Jutgla
I. Aspas
Missing players
N. Gonzalez
J. Cardoso
P. Barrios
ForwardJ. Alvarez
G. Simeone
C. Starfelt
J. Rueda
MidfielderM. Vecino
M. Roman Gonzalez
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
B. Iglesias
(14 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
J. Rueda
(6 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Celta Vigo Key Points
- Celta Vigo lost their last two away matches.
- Celta Vigo lost three times in the last four games.
- Atletico won four of their last five home league matches.
- 43 of Atletico’s 63 points in La Liga were won at home.
- In 14 meetings with Celta Vigo, Atletico Madrid are unbeaten.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction
Atletico Madrid have a dominant run in this fixture, being undefeated in their last 14 home matches against Celta Vigo. As they are coming off two straight wins in La Liga, they should be able to overcome their midweek disappointment.
On the other hand, Celta will be hoping the form they showed away from home earlier in the season returns for these final matches. They will be looking to build on a first win in six matches, but we see this going against them. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo is that Atletico Madrid wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Celta Vigo
| Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.86 | 2.2 | +18.3% |
| Draw | 4.01 | 3.7 | -7.7% |
| Celta Vigo wins | 4.37 | 3.6 | -17.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 53.8% and is now 45.5% (-8.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
