Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Club’s competitive season starts at home as they welcome Sevilla at San Mames in La Liga. The hosts’ matchday one fixture against Barcelona was postponed, while the visitors had a winning start. Athletic have a poor run defensively in competitive matches, and our prediction isn't backing a home clean sheet.
Athletic Bilbao’s campaign last term wasn’t the best, as the Basque club could only manage 45 points. Only four sides conceded more goals than the 58 Athletic recorded, which says all about their defence.
The hosts haven’t had much business in the transfer market, and thus, we still expect struggles defensively.
Sevilla scored four times in the home and away meetings with Athletic last season. They hope to keep that going after opening their league campaign with a win.
The visitors rose from a goal down to beat Rayo Vallecano 2-1 for a rare matchday one victory in La Liga. They hadn’t managed an opening day win since 2021/22.
While Sevilla are on a poor away run, getting a goal against Athletic is not always a daunting task. The Andalusian side failed to score in only three of their last 10 away matches against Athletic.
That will be a key motivator for Luis Garcia’s side, which hasn’t had a strong winning record on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Athletic Bilbao v Sevilla Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.79 | 3.65 | 5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.7 | 5.28 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.58 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.58 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.56 | 5.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla match is: Athletic Bilbao to concede at least once.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.1% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Sevilla with odds of 1.8 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla is 22.33% with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 6.25 at LSbet.
Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Sevilla Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 44.1% | 1.8 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.36% | 1.91 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 16.65% | 4.6 at Roobet |
Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Form
Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
|
10
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 |
Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
4 May 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
29 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Sevilla Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderH. Rincon
J. Louis-Jean
A. Boiro
A. Laporte
A. Rego Mora
M. Jauregizar
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
N. Williams
M. Sannadi
A. Djalo
R. Navarro
R. Romero
F. Gonzalez
DefenderJ. Carmona
I. Munoz
MidfielderJ. Diaz
M. Bueno
N. Guillen
G. Kochorashvili
ForwardM. Castillo
I. Romero
C. Ejuke
I. Sow
Missing players
U. Egiluz
K. Salas
ForwardA. Gonzales
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Sevilla
R. Navarro
(2 Goals)
M. Sierra
(2 Goals)
I. Williams
(3 Assists)
I. Romero
(1 Assists)
,
Oso
(1 Assists)
, 
G. Kochorashvili
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Correia
(1 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla Key Points
- Sevilla scored in six of their last 10 away league matches.
- Sevilla only failed to score twice in their last seven league encounters.
- Athletic conceded at least once in each of their last six league outings.
- Athletic managed one clean sheet in their last 12 competitive home matches.
- Away against Athletic, Sevilla failed to score in three of the last 10 meetings.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction
Athletic Bilbao haven’t kept many clean sheets in their recent league games. In this fixture they are set to face an opponent that rarely fails to score in their meetings. The hosts lost their closing two preseason matches, and the pressure will be there to start on a winning note.
That could lead to errors at the back, which Sevilla will be looking to punish. Sevilla, after their winning start, will be confident coming into this encounter. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Sevilla is for Athletic Bilbao to concede at least once.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Sevilla
| Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.68 | 1.8 | +7.1% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0% |
| Sevilla wins | 6.25 | 6.25 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 55.6% (-4.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
