Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Atalanta will be out to boost their slim European chances when they host Genoa next in the Italian Serie A. With four rounds left to play, they enter the weekend in seventh place in the standings and 15 points ahead of 14th-placed Genoa. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Atalanta are going through a lengthy dip in form and will be looking to spark their season back to life this weekend. La Dea have won just twice in their last 12 outings.
This unwanted run of form has seen them dumped out of the Coppa and the Champions League and is now threatening their European hopes. Raffaele Palladino’s men are seven points off the top six.
They have accumulated 54 points after winning 14 and drawing another 12 of their matches. Atalanta, who haven’t won in four outings, lost a five-goal thriller against Cagliari last weekend.
Genoa are not chasing anything other than a higher league placing. The visitors are all but assured of being in the Serie A next season as they sit 11 points above the drop zone.
They have accumulated 39 points thanks to 10 wins and nine draws. The decision to appoint Daniele de Rossi back in November has proven to be a masterstroke.
Genoa were rock bottom by the time the coaching change was being made and had managed just two victories. II Grifone are, however, coming off a defeat after they fell 2-0 at home to Como last weekend.
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Atalanta v Genoa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.34 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.34 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.3 | 6.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Genoa match is: Atalanta wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Atalanta and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.67% for a win of Atalanta against Genoa with odds of 1.57 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Genoa is 21.56% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Atalanta with odds of 6.54 at 888Starz.
Atalanta - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 51.67% | 1.57 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.71% | 2.1 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 23.21% | 4.4 at LSbet |
Atalanta vs Genoa Form
Atalanta and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
|
16
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 |
Atalanta and Genoa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
30 Jan 2026 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
17 May 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
11 Feb 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2023 - Serie A
Atalanta against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderM. Bakker
I. Hien
O. Kossounou
R. Bellanova
S. Kolasinac
MidfielderL. Samardzic
Y. Musah
M. Pasalic
G. Raspadori
K. Sulemana
D. Sommariva
N. Leali
DefenderW. Ouedraogo
S. Otoa
N. Zatterstrom
A. Martin
J. Onana
P. Masini
M. Cornet
R. Malinovskyi
J. Messias
C. Ekuban
Missing players
L. Bernasconi
E. Lysionok
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Genoa
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
L. Colombo
(7 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
A. Martin
(4 Assists)
Atalanta - Genoa Key Points
- Nine of Atalanta’s 14 league wins came at home.
- Atalanta have won six times in their last 10 matches at home.
- Genoa failed to win seven of their last 10 away games, losing four times.
- Atalanta have won six consecutive meetings with Genoa.
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Our Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction
Our prediction for Atalanta v Genoa is that Atalanta wins. Recent fixtures haven’t gone Atalanta’s way, and they have lost more matches than they have won over a 12-game stretch. We nonetheless pick them to bounce back with this tie.
This is because they have dominated this matchup with Genoa for quite some time now. Atalanta haven’t lost to Genoa since 2018 and have won six straight encounters. This season, they have already won twice against their visitors. Atalanta also have enjoyed most of their success at home and are coming up against an opponent that has struggled on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Genoa
| Atalanta vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 1.65 | 1.57 | -4.8% |
| Draw | 4.3 | 4.6 | +7.0% |
| Genoa wins | 5.68 | 6.54 | +15.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 63.7% (3.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
