Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Three crucial Premier League points are on the line on Sunday night when Aston Villa face off against Tottenham Hotspur at Villa Park. The Villans are in fifth place, while the Lilywhites are 18th after 34 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Unai Emery’s side were forced out of the top four after suffering defeat against Fulham last week. Still, with an eight-point advantage over Brighton in sixth, the Lions are well-positioned to secure Champions League qualification, but they will have to deal with a short turnaround from their trip to the City Ground on Thursday night.
Spurs notched up their first victory of 2026 by beating relegated Wolves last week, but it was not enough to get them out of the drop zone. A loss here may prove catastrophic for Roberto De Zerbi’s team, as they could end the weekend six points from safety with just three games left to play. With high stakes for both teams, we’re expecting an entertaining 90 minutes of football- let’s get into the key stats!
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Aston Villa v Tottenham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.65 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.56 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.56 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.55 | 3.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Tottenham?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Aston Villa and Tottenham in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.61% for a win of Aston Villa against Tottenham with odds of 2.21 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Tottenham is 18.61% with odds of 3.71 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Tottenham vs Aston Villa with odds of 3.42 at 888Starz.
Aston Villa - Tottenham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Tottenham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 58.61% | 2.21 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.49% | 2.13 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 29.01% | 3.5 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Form
Aston Villa and Tottenham's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
17
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 |
Aston Villa and Tottenham Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
16 May 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Tottenham: Form Analysis
At this stage of the season, balancing European and domestic commitments is starting to show for Aston Villa. After losing at Craven Cottage 1-0, they suffered defeat to Forest by the same scoreline on Thursday night.
The Villans have now won only three of their last 10 EPL matches (D3 L4) and conceded 17 goals during this period, which has resulted in them being overtaken by Liverpool in the league standings.
However, the hosts are a tough side to beat at home, having only lost four of their 17 league games at Villa Park this term. They have earned 35 points at home to date (W11 D2) - the fourth-best return in the division.
Villa have won their last four matches against Spurs across all competitions!
With West Ham and Forest both winning their games last week, Tottenham faced massive pressure at Molineux, but they managed to edge Wolves 1-0 to keep their survival hopes alive.
That result ended the Lilywhites' 15-match unbeaten run in the top flight and marked the first time they managed to maintain a clean sheet in the Prem since New Year’s Day against Brentford.
Spurs have earned 23 of their 34 points this season on the road (W6 D5 L6) - the eighth-best away record in the league - but they have conceded two or more goals in four of their last six outings.
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Aston Villa against Tottenham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Bizot
DefenderL. Digne
E. Konsa
P. Torres
MidfielderDouglas Luiz
A. Garcia
E. Buendia
L. Bailey
O. Watkins
B. Austin
DefenderSouza
D. Spence
R. Dragusin
MidfielderY. Bissouma
P. Sarr
A. Gray
L. Bergvall
J. Maddison
Missing players
B. Kamara
A. Onana
ForwardAlysson
G. Vicario
DefenderB. Davies
C. Romero
MidfielderD. Kulusevski
M. Kudus
ForwardD. Solanke
X. Simons
W. Odobert
Aston Villa & Tottenham Squad Analysis
With just three days between this match and their second leg UEL clash against Forest, Emery may be forced into a few changes here, which could see the likes of Jadon Sancho and Lamare Bogarde brought into the starting lineup.
Villa were dealt a significant blow at the City Ground last week, with Amadou Onana suffering a calf injury which forced him off before the hour mark. Alysson Edward and Boubacar Kamara are also ruled out for the hosts.
Douglas Luiz is the most likely to step into midfield if Onana is unable to feature this weekend, while Tammy Abraham could get the nod to lead the line from the start ahead of Ollie Watkins.
Morgan Rogers has recorded six goal contributions in his last five games against Spurs in all competitions!
The victory over Wolves came at a major cost for Spurs, with Dominic Solanke and Xavi Simons both sustaining injuries. Simons has now been ruled out for the rest of the season and the FIFA World Cup.
Those two add to De Zerbi’s already lengthy absentee list, which includes Pape Matar Sarr, Destiny Udogie, Ben Davies, Dejan Kulusevski, Mohammed Kudus and skipper Cristian Romero.
First-choice goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario has missed the last three games but could return in time for Sunday, while Richarlison is expected to start up top for the visitors in Solanke’s absence.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Tottenham
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
Richarlison
(11 Goals)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
M. Kudus
(5 Assists)
, 
X. Simons
(5 Assists)
Aston Villa - Tottenham Key Points
- Four of Aston Villa’s last six league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Aston Villa have only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 home league games.
- Six of Spurs’ last nine league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Spurs have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven away league games.
- Both teams scored in four of the last five matches between these sides in all competitions.
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Our Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction
While Aston Villa are favourites at home, balancing European and domestic competitions has impacted their level of performance of late, and fatigue could be a factor here, given the short turnaround from Thursday night.
Spurs finally got their first win of 2026 last week, but beating already-relegated Wolves is certainly not enough to get too excited about. The Lilywhites have to throw caution to the wind here, but we doubt they will be able to keep a clean sheet, especially given their injury situation. Our Aston Villa vs Tottenham prediction is BTTS.
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Villa have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home games in all competitions, while Spurs have conceded two or more in four of their last seven away matches in the EPL. Additionally, these sides have already met twice this season, and both games ended in a 2-1 scoreline.
Draw
With a three-day turnaround from their last match and just three more before their Europa League second leg against Forest, fatigue could be a major factor for Villa. Spurs, meanwhile, are up against it and have to go for the win here. We feel these two will cancel each other out in this one.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Tottenham
| Aston Villa vs Tottenham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 2.22 | 2.21 | -0.5% |
| Draw | 3.82 | 3.71 | -2.9% |
| Tottenham wins | 3.31 | 3.42 | +3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 45.2% (0.2%)
Aston Villa vs Tottenham - FAQs
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham will take place on May 3 at 19:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
