Aston Villa vs Salzburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions
Salzburg need to beat the already-qualified Aston Villa to have any hopes of qualifying for the UEFA Europa League (UEL) knockouts as the teams clash in this matchday eight fixture. This match on Thursday between the second-placed Villans and the 28th-placed ‘Red Bulls’ comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Villa are already through to the round of 16 as one of the top eight sides after picking up 18 points from their first seven matches in this competition (W6, L1). Salzburg started this round outside the top 24 with six points (W2, L5) and need to win here and hope other results go in their favour to move up the table into play-off spots.
Home coach Unai Emery is likely to rotate his squad to keep them fresh, but having lost 1-0 to Everton in their last home match, he would be looking to get back to winning ways. Salzburg have struggled on the road in Europe this season but have no other option than to give it their all in this fixture. Is there an upset in the making in Birmingham? Read more for our analysis and match predictions.
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Aston Villa v Salzburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.32 | 6.2 | 9 |
|
|
1.28 | 6 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.9 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.29 | 6.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.4 | 7.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Salzburg?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Salzburg match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2026 between Aston Villa and Salzburg in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.55% for a win of Aston Villa against Salzburg with odds of 1.35 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Salzburg is 15.13% with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Salzburg vs Aston Villa with odds of 9.75 at 888Starz.
Aston Villa - Salzburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Salzburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 61.55% | 1.35 at Roobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.76% | |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 29.84% | 4.4 at LSbet |
Aston Villa vs Salzburg Form
Aston Villa and Salzburg's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 |
|
31
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -5 |
Aston Villa and Salzburg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
6 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
Aston Villa - Salzburg: Form Analysis
Villa edged Newcastle United 2-0 in the English Premier League (EPL) last weekend in a tactical game. That result kept the Villans four points behind the EPL leaders, Arsenal, boosting the hopes of home fans.
The hosts have been one of the best sides in the UEL league phase this season, coming here on the back of four successive wins. That included winning all three at home, but a 1-0 loss to Everton in their last match here ended Villa’s run of 11 consecutive wins in all competitions.
Villa have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last seven home games.
Salzburg defeated Basel 3-1 at home last week to stay alive in the UEL competition. It was their third win in four competitive matches (L1), although that lone defeat came in this competition.
The Austrians need to continue their winning form, because five defeats in the first six matchdays (W1) hindered their progress in the points tally. Worryingly for the visitors, they have lost all three of their away games in the league phase of this competition.
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Aston Villa against Salzburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Wright
M. Bizot
DefenderM. Cash
I. Maatsen
P. Torres
E. Konsa
K. Young
M. Rogers
J. Jimoh-Aloba
S. Hamzic
C. Zawieschitzky
DefenderS. Lainer
J. Rasmussen
A. Terzic
MidfielderM. Kjaergaard
C. Bischoff
O. Lukic
M. Diambou
M. Yeo
K. Onisiwo
E. Aguilar
Missing players
R. Barkley
J. McGinn
B. Kamara
A. Garcia
Aston Villa & Salzburg Squad Analysis
The hosts will be without French midfielder Boubacar Kamara for the rest of the season. John McGinn was injured against Everton and is out of contention for this fixture. On a positive note, Amadou Onana is likely to push for a starting role, and so could Leon Bailey.
Emery could go for rotation of his squad with progression in Europe already guaranteed. Their 4-2-3-1 system could see the likes of Jadon Sancho, Leon Bailey, and Evann Guessand form the attacking unit.
Guessand has two goals in six UEL games this season.
Salzburg will be visiting England without the injured duo of Takumu Kawamura and John Mellberg. There are no other new injury concerns for the visitors, who are set to welcome back Stefan Lainer.
They lined up in a 4-3-3 formation against Basel last time out, although they regularly used the 4-2-3-1 system in previous matches. All eyes will be on the young 18-year-old Kerim Alajbegovic, who is likely to lead their attack.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Salzburg
J. McGinn
(5 Goals)
, 
O. Watkins
(5 Goals)
Y. Vertessen
(3 Goals)
M. Rogers
(5 Assists)
, 
E. Buendia
(5 Assists)
A. Terzic
(1 Assists)
, 
E. Baidoo
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Diabate
(1 Assists)
, 
K. Alajbegovic
(1 Assists)
Aston Villa - Salzburg Key Points
- Four of Villa's last six home matches in all competitive games saw both teams score goals.
- Two of Villa's last three UEL games saw both teams score goals.
- Villa won six of their last seven UEL matches including all three at home.
- Salzburg conceded 2+ goals in four of their last six UEL matches.
- Six of Salzburg's last eight competitive matches saw both teams score goals.
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Our Aston Villa vs Salzburg Prediction
Villa are already through to the round of 16 but wouldn’t want to halt their winning momentum. They won 11 consecutive matches in all competitions between November and December but have since lost a bit of steam. Four wins from their last seven competitive games is not the output manager Unai Emery would be targeting ahead of a busy schedule. Salzburg have bigger stakes in this fixture as they need a win to remain in contention for play-offs.
That could add spice to the contest, and our Aston Villa vs Salzburg prediction is BTTS.
Aston Villa vs Salzburg Alternative Predictions
Kerim Alajbegovic to score anytime
The young Bosnian forward Kerim Alajbegovic has been in great scoring form for the visitors, netting a brace in each of his last two competitive games. That included a winning pair of goals in Salzburg’s 3-1 win over Basel in the last round. He could be the focal point for the visiting side once again.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Salzburg
| Aston Villa vs Salzburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.35 | 1.35 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.7 | 6.25 | +33.0% |
| Salzburg wins | 9.6 | 9.75 | +1.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.1% and is now 74.1% (0.0%)
Aston Villa vs Salzburg - FAQs
The Aston Villa vs Salzburg UEFA Europa League match is set to be shown on TNT Sports 2 in the UK. In Austria, Sky Austria, Canal+, and Servus TV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Europa League Livescore page!
There are no previous meetings between these sides in UEFA competitions.
Villa played Austrian clubs in four previous games and won just once (D1, L2).
Salzburg have a worse record against English sides, failing to win any of their eight previous such games (D2, L6).
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
