Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa made a poor start to last season and that seems to be repeating itself in 2026-27. The Villans are 17th after Saturday's games and host sixth-placed Arsenal who comfortably won their opening Premier League game last weekend. The defending champions have strengthened during the summer and our prediction is that the Gunners will win this match.
Villa had a nightmare first half in their opening Premier League game at Brighton and Hove Albion. They trailed 4-0 at the break and although the Lions didn't concede any further goals, it was a terrible way to start a new season.
It's been the exact opposite for Arsenal. The Gunners have made some significant signings during the summer.. They have already beaten Manchester City in the Community Shield and opened the defense of their title with a 3-0 home win over Coventry City. Arsenal lost at Villa Park last season, but they look to be in much better shape than their opponents at present.
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Aston Villa v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.2 | 4.3 | 1.52 |
|
|
6.65 | 4.42 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.25 | 4.24 | 1.52 |
|
|
6.3 | 4.16 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.4 | 4.26 | 1.51 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2026 between Aston Villa and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.85% for a win of Aston Villa against Arsenal with odds of 6.65 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Arsenal is 18.19% with odds of 4.42 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Aston Villa with odds of 1.58 at 888Starz.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Form
Aston Villa and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
17
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 |
Aston Villa and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 May 2026 - Premier League
7 May 2026 - Europa League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
24 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
14 Apr 2024 - Premier League
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Arsenal: Form Analysis
It's been a difficult few weeks for Aston Villa both on and off the pitch. The transfer window hasn't been going well for them and Ollie Watkins is the latest player to leave the club.
Difficult time for Villa.
Pre-season saw them lose four matches. That included the Super Cup in which they were beaten 2-1 by European champions PSG. Then came their opening Premier League game and they lost 4-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion.
Last season saw Villa win 12 of their 19 home games played in the Premier League with five defeats. They have won three of their last four home Premier League fixtures, the other a 2-1 loss to Spurs.
Arsenal .have had a much better time in the transfer window with some massive signings being made by the Gunners. A bold defence of their Premier League title is going to be made by them.
After a convincing win over Manchester CIty in the Community Shield, Arsenal began the league season with a 3-0 home success over Coventry City. Last season saw them win 11 away league games, two more than any other side.
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
Z. Suzuki
DefenderT. Mings
M. Ruggeri
T. Rowe
MidfielderL. Lynch
L. Bogarde
B. Burrowes
ForwardA. Garnacho
Alysson
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderP. Hincapie
MidfielderM. Dowman
M. Zubimendi
E. Eze
M. Merino
ForwardE. Nwaneri
V. Gyokeres
N. Madueke
Missing players
A. Onana
J. Gomes
J. Manzambi
ForwardO. Watkins
T. Abraham
L. Bailey
B. Madjo
J. Timber
W. Saliba
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
ForwardG. Jesus
G. Martinelli
Aston Villa & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Aston Villa would have wanted to significantly strengthen their squad ahead of a Champions League campaign. It's not quite gone right for the 2025-26 Europa League winners.
Top players have been leaving the club, including Rogers, Tielemans and Watkins. Also leaving has been Ezri Konsa, but he's likely to be playing at Villa Park on Monday evening, as he makes his debut for Arsenal, though he'll possibly be on the bench.
Jackson is expected to make his debut.
Villa have signed Nicholas Jackson from Chelsea as a replacement for Watkins. He is expected to be in the starting line-up for this home game against Arsenal on Monday. Leon Goretzka is another new signing who could feature here. They will be without Joao Gomes who was sent off during that nightmare first half at the Amex last weekend.
Bruno Guimaraes has a groin problem, but he may be fit to play in this match.
The Gunners will remain without Timber and Saliba. Martinelli and Jesus seem to be on their way out of the Emirates and will be absent for this game. Arsenal were impressive last weekend and this could be a tough night for the home sideAston Villa and Arsenal Stats in Premier League
Aston Villa - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal have won four of their last five away league games, only losing at Manchester City..
- Aston Villa have seen several key players leave the club during this transfer window, including one to Arsenal.
- Aston Villa began the new season with a 4-0 loss at Brighton.
- Arsenal have already won the Community Shield and beat Coventry last weekend.
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Our Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction
Aston Villa will probably be happy when the transfer window closes. It's been an unsettling time for the club with a trio of England internationals all leaving the club. Then came that disastrous trip to the south coast last weekend.
Arsenal won the Premier League title last season and nearly became champions of Europe. They have strengthened during the summer and made an impressive start to the new season with wins over Manchester City and Coventry City. Our main Aston Villa v Arsenal prediction is Arsenal wins.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
