Arsenal vs Luton Town Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
Arsenal come into this game with Luton as the hot favourites to land the win at the Emirates on Wednesday (7.30pm kick off). The Gunners earned a battling 0-0 draw away at Manchester City at the weekend, their first dropped points in the Premier League in 2024, and it was enough for them to fall two points behind Liverpool in the table, but remain a point ahead of City who lie third. Mikel Arteta's team have been in outstanding form of late and even the draw with City was a very good result. The Gunners have the best goal difference in the Premier League with +46, six better than league leaders Liverpool and 11 better than Man City in third. They have scored 23 goals in their last six Premier League games and conceded just two in that period and their only defeats in 2024 have come in cup games.
Luton Town's inability to hang on to leads has cost them dearly in a number of games of late. They have conceded late winners for their opponents in three of their last four away games (at Villa, Bournemouth and this past weekend when they went down 2-1 to Spurs due to Son's 86th minute strike). Had the Hatters managed to claim a point in any of those games, then they'd be out of the drop zone ahead of Nottingham Forest who lie above them on goal difference. Rob Edwards team do tend to score goals, scoring in all their last 14 games in all competitions, but they also do concede plenty too. They gave Arsenal a real fight at Kenilworth Road when the teams last met in the league, but this is going to be a much tougher task at the Etihad against the title chasers.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Luton Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.05 | 12 | 21 |
|
|
1.1 | 10 | 21 |
|
|
1.1 | 10 | 23 |
|
|
1.05 | 11 | 23 |
|
|
1.12 | 12.5 | 25 |
|
|
1.12 | 12.5 | 25 |
|
|
1.08 | 11.5 | 23 |
|
|
1.11 | 11 | 22 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.5 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.11 | 11 | 22 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Luton Town?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 4/3/24 between Arsenal and Luton Town in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 72.84% for a win of Arsenal against Luton Town with odds of 1.14 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Luton Town is 14.87% with odds of 12.5 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Luton Town vs Arsenal with odds of 25 at 1xbet.
Arsenal - Luton Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Luton Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 72.84% | 1.14 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.26% | 1.3 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 37% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Luton Town Form
Arsenal and Luton Town's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
89 | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 62 |
|
18
|
26 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | -33 |
Arsenal and Luton Town Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
12 Mar 2024 - Champions League
9 Mar 2024 - Premier League
4 Mar 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
21 Feb 2024 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - Premier League
13 Mar 2024 - Premier League
9 Mar 2024 - Premier League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
Arsenal against Luton Town : Head to Head (H2H)
5 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal against Luton Town Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Timber
ForwardB. Saka
T. Lockyer
M. Andersen
D. Potts
A. Bell
I. Kabore
R. Burke
MidfielderM. Nakamba
R. Barkley
ForwardJ. Brown
Arsenal - Luton Town Key Points
- Arsenal have won eight and drawn one of their nine EPL games in 2024 so far, scoring 33 goals in the process and conceding just four.
- Luton are without a win in nine games now, drawing three and losing six of those games. They have won just two away games this season (at Everton and Sheffield United)
- Nine of Arsenal's last ten games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored. Both teams have also scored in three of Arsenal's last four home games.
- Both teams have scored in 13 of Luton's last 14 games in all competitions. Unsurprisingly, both teams have scored in 80% of Luton's Premier League games this season, that is a division high.
- The teams last met in December with Arsenal coming out on top 4-3 in a pulsating game. Osho (25), Adebayo (49) and Barkley (57) scored for Luton with Martinelli (20), Jesus (45), Havertz (60) and a last gasp strike from Declan Rice (90+7) snatching the win for Arsenal.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Arsenal vs Luton Town Prediction
Increased Odds with Bet Boost
One of the newer bet365 features is their bet boosts, which see select betting markets from various different sports receive increased odds. The great thing about this feature is that there are new bet boosts added each day for all the major sports, meaning that you’ll never run out of attractive bets with mouthwatering odds.
Taking an example from the cricket section sees a match between Australia and England with five different bet boosts alone just for that one event. Bets include:
- JJ Roy Top Batter; original odds of 4.50 boosted to 5.50
- PJ Cummins Top Bowler; original odds of 5.00 boosted to 6.00
- TM Head Player of the Match; original odds of 12.00 boosted to 15.00
Not only do these increased odds apply to just single bets but you will often find a varied selection of accumulators with their own bet boosts.
Passionate sports bettors will be able to appreciate this feature as a boost to the odds means a boost to your ROI over the long run. Register with bet365 today and see if any bet boosts catch your eye!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
