Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexander Bublik Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik ATP 22
09/10/2026 03:30
Tomas Machac Czech Republic
Tomas Machac ATP 75

Prediction :

 

Alexander Bublik wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

After receiving a first round bye, 19th seed Alexander Bublik begins his Shanghai Masters campaign. His first match in this outdoor hard court tournament will be against unseeded Tomas Machac. Bublik has won his two previous matches against Machac and our prediction is he will win this match.

In the third round, the winner will take on either 16th seed Brandon Nakashima or unseeded Matteo Berrettini.

Alexander Bublik is playing here for the fourth time. A win over Machac will see him in round three in Shanghai for the first time.

He reached round three at the US Open in August, but has lost his last three matches.

Of the two previous meetings played between Bublik and Machac, one was on this surface with Bublik winning in three sets two years ago.

Tomas Machac was 75th in the latest rankings, 53 places below Bublik.

He is also struggling for form with six of his last seven (including two in Beijing) being lost, before he beat Zhizhen Zhang in round one in Shanghai. That was despite him losing the first set 6-1. Machac has won ten of his 19 outdoor hard court matches played this year. He has won one title in Adelaide, but that was back in January.

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Alexander Bublik v Tomas Machac Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.55 2.47
1xbet
1.55 2.52
Melbet
1.54 2.49
Betwinner
1.54 2.49
22bet
1.54 2.49
Check all Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac odds

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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac match is: Alexander Bublik wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac game on 09/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:

  • Alexander Bublik has a 65.2% chance to win against Tomas Machac according to Stake ⭐ with the odds of 1.55.
  • Tomas Machac has a 34.8% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 2.6 at Betway.

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 65.2 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alexander Bublik65.2 %
Tomas Machac34.8 %

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Form

Alexander Bublik and Tomas Machac Last Matches

Alexander Bublik Last matches
W L W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

1 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Jakub Mensik

4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  1
Jeffrey John Wolf

25 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Quentin Halys

24 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Tomas Machac Last matches
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

7 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Zhizhen Zhang
1 :  2
Tomas Machac

30 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  0
Tomas Machac

28 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Tomas Machac
0 :  2
Arthur Gea

27 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Yannick Hanfmann
1 :  2
Tomas Machac

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Toby Samuel
3 :  0
Tomas Machac

25 Aug 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Mees Rottgering
2 :  0
Tomas Machac

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik

100 %

Tomas Machac

0 %

20 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Tomas Machac
Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac Key Points

  1. Bublik is 53 places above his opponent in the rankings.
  2. Bublik leads Machac 2-0 in previous meetings.
  3. Before this week, Machac had lost seven of his last eight matches.
  4. Machac had to come from a set down to win his first round match.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Both players have had a few struggles lately, especially Tomas Machac. He began the year well with an outdoor hard court title won in Adelaide. He has failed to build on that and last made it to the third round on this surface in the Australian Open.

Alexander Bublik is above his opponent in both the overall rankings and the ATP Live Race. He also won a title in early 2026 and has never lost to Machac in two previous meetings. Our Alexander Bublik v Tomas Machac prediction is Alexander Bublik wins.

Prediction :

 

Alexander Bublik wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.