UFC - UFC Fight Night
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
Alex Perez and Asu Almabayev are set to light up the UFC Fight Night with what looks like a classic clash of styles between a striker and a grappler. Interestingly, both men are coming into this one having experienced a recent loss against high-level opponents, which really underscores their readiness to prove they belong in the title picture. Let's get into our match prediction.
Alex Perez boasts a high-volume, pressure-based striking style that has earned him knockouts over some serious flyweight contenders. His pace and durability on the feet can overwhelm opponents who aren't ready for a three-round war.
While Almabayev is a world-class wrestler with suffocating top control, Perez’s technical striking and superior offensive output give him a real pathway to victory here. Perez holds a significant edge in output, landing 4.19 Significant Strikes per Minute compared to Zulfikar’s much lower 2.16.
The most recent fight for Perez was his KO win over Matheus Nicolau in April 2024. That was a contest where his ability to set up the finish with body work and capitalize with a clean knockout showed improved tactical patience and a clear return to form after a tough run. Almabayev may possess the dominant grappling, but we think Perez’s significant striking advantages and experience should eventually break through his defenses if the Kazakh fighter can’t maintain top position.
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Alex Perez - Asu Almabayev Key Points
- Alex Perez lands nearly double the Significant Strikes per Minute (4.19) compared to Asu Almabayev (2.16).
- Perez has a 65" reach, which is slightly longer than Almabayev's 64" reach, giving him a small edge in striking range.
- Perez is coming off a massive KO win over Matheus Nicolau in April 2024.
- Almabayev absorbs fewer strikes per minute (1.75) than Perez (3.20), but his takedown defense is 50% against Perez's 46% accuracy.
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Our Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev Prediction
This fight has the potential to be a grappling clinic for Almabayev, but Perez has all the ingredients for a knockout, given his power and volume. While Zulfikar presents a formidable challenge with his wrestling and control, Alex Perez’s advantages in striking volume, power, and recent knockout victory are too much to overlook in a flyweight contest.
Perez has also demonstrated his ability to finish high-level opponents with strikes, showing the kind of threat that can withstand the early takedown pressure. We expect the veteran to find the target on the feet before the grappling takes over. Hence, our Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev match prediction is Alex Perez to win.
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