Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Hamburg Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
It has been a week of surprises in the Hamburg Open. The top half of the draw will produce an unseeded finalist and in the last eight, lucky loser Aleksandar Kovacevic takes on Camilo Ugo Carabelli. The stats have led us to making a prediction of more than 21.5 games in this quarter-final.
The winner will take on either qualifier Ignacio Buse or unseeded Ugo Humbert in the last eight .
The final qualifying round saw Kovacevic lose in three sets to Arthur Gea. He was reinstated as a lucky loser and took on Gea again in round one. This time he beat him in straight sets and then on Wednesday, he beat top seed Felix Auger-Aliassime in three sets.
Ten of his last 12 matches have seen more than 21.5 games played.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli only played two sets in the last round. However, both against Frances Tiafoe went to a tie-break as he beat the eighth seed. In the previous round. he came from losing the first set 6-1 to defeat Kamil Majchrzak. This is his third ATP Tour clay court quarter-final of the year with one last four in Marrakech.
More than 21.5 games have been played in five of his last six matches.
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Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.04 | 1.38 |
|
|
3.09 | 1.38 |
|
|
3 | 1.4 |
|
|
2.92 | 1.36 |
|
|
3 | 1.38 |
|
Who will win the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 21/05/2026 of the current ATP Hamburg Open season:
- Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 40.88% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 3.09.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 59.12% probability of winning facing Aleksandar Kovacevic ⭐ with odds of 1.4 at Bet365.
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 40.88 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 40.88 % |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 59.12 % |
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
20 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
19 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
17 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
16 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
5 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
20 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
18 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
6 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Aleksandar Kovacevic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points
- More than 21.5 games have been played in ten of the last 12 matches Kovacevic has played.
- Of Carabelli's last six matches, five saw more than 21.5 games played.
- Kovacevic has already played two three-set matches in this tournament.
- Carabelli played two tie-breaks in his last match.
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Our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
When Aleksandar Kovacevic lost in the qualifying rounds, he would have thought his next match would be in the French Open. Then due to withdrawals he was back in the Hamburg Open and he's made the most of it with a revenge win over Arthur Gea and then top seed Felix Auger-Aliassime.
He faces a tough quarter-final against Camilo Ugo Carabelli who has also had an eventful week in Germany. He nearly lost in round one and then beat Frances Tiafoe via two tie-breaks. Our Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction is more than 21.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
