Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Hamburg Open

ATP - ATP Hamburg Open

ATP 23 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
20/05/2026 11:15
ATP 6 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction :

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins a set

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

This could be one of the best matches in round two of the Hamburg Open. Third seed Alex de Minaur faces a struggle to stay in this outdoor clay court tournament as he faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who he has never beaten on clay. Our prediction believes Fokina can at least win a set against the seed.

World number nine Alex de Minaur has won four matches but lost the same number with three second round exits. His best run came with a quarter-final in Monte Carlo. He beat Francisco Cerundolo in three sets in round one here.

He is 3-3 in previous meetings with Fokina but has lost both of their matches played on clay without winning a set.

This is their first meeting on clay since 2021. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was in 23rd place in the latest rankings. The Spaniard has won three of his five clay court matches this year. He beat Corentin Moutet in straight sets in round one.

A win will take him into the third round of a clay court tournament for the third time this year. He's yet to get any further though. It's been taking a good player to beat him though with recent losses being to Casper Ruud and Andrey Rublev and can give de Minaur a tough time.

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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.23 1.65
Betwinner
2.28 1.63
Bet365
2.3 1.62
Roobet
2.16 1.63
BC Game
2.16 1.63
Check all Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur odds

Who will win the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins a set.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur game on 20/05/2026 of the current ATP Hamburg Open season:

  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 46.09% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.35.
  • Alex De Minaur has a 53.91% probability of winning facing Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ⭐ with odds of 1.65 at Melbet.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 46.09 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina46.09 %
Alex De Minaur53.91 %

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Form

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alex De Minaur Last Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last matches
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

18 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Corentin Moutet

11 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

9 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Christian Garin
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Pablo Carreño-Busta

21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Quentin Halys
Alex De Minaur Last matches
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

18 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Alex De Minaur
1 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Hamad Medjedovic

14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Sebastian Ofner

10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

33 %

Alex De Minaur

67 %

27 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

12 Aug 2023 - ATP Toronto

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

15 Jun 2022 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. Davidovich-Fokina has won both of his previous clay court matches against de Minaur.
  2. Both of those matches were won in straight sets.
  3. Davidovich-Fokina has won a set in six of his last nine clay court matches.
  4. De Minaur has lost a set in three of his last four matches.
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Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Alex de Minaur will need to be at his best in this Hamburg Open second round match. The Australian has lost in round three of his last two tournaments played on this surface but will want a longer run here the week before Roland Garros.

He had a good first round win over Francisco Cerundolo but did need a deciding set. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is a dangerous opponent and has won his two previous matches against de Minaur. Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins a set.

Prediction :

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins a set

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.