Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Hamburg Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
This could be one of the best matches in round two of the Hamburg Open. Third seed Alex de Minaur faces a struggle to stay in this outdoor clay court tournament as he faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who he has never beaten on clay. Our prediction believes Fokina can at least win a set against the seed.
World number nine Alex de Minaur has won four matches but lost the same number with three second round exits. His best run came with a quarter-final in Monte Carlo. He beat Francisco Cerundolo in three sets in round one here.
He is 3-3 in previous meetings with Fokina but has lost both of their matches played on clay without winning a set.
This is their first meeting on clay since 2021. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was in 23rd place in the latest rankings. The Spaniard has won three of his five clay court matches this year. He beat Corentin Moutet in straight sets in round one.
A win will take him into the third round of a clay court tournament for the third time this year. He's yet to get any further though. It's been taking a good player to beat him though with recent losses being to Casper Ruud and Andrey Rublev and can give de Minaur a tough time.
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.23 | 1.65 |
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2.28 | 1.63 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.16 | 1.63 |
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2.16 | 1.63 |
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Who will win the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur game on 20/05/2026 of the current ATP Hamburg Open season:
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 46.09% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.35.
- Alex De Minaur has a 53.91% probability of winning facing Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ⭐ with odds of 1.65 at Melbet.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 46.09 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 46.09 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 53.91 % |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Form
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
18 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
11 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
18 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
12 Aug 2023 - ATP Toronto
15 Jun 2022 - ATP London - Queen's
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Davidovich-Fokina has won both of his previous clay court matches against de Minaur.
- Both of those matches were won in straight sets.
- Davidovich-Fokina has won a set in six of his last nine clay court matches.
- De Minaur has lost a set in three of his last four matches.
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Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex de Minaur will need to be at his best in this Hamburg Open second round match. The Australian has lost in round three of his last two tournaments played on this surface but will want a longer run here the week before Roland Garros.
He had a good first round win over Francisco Cerundolo but did need a deciding set. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is a dangerous opponent and has won his two previous matches against de Minaur. Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins a set.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.