Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Alaves will look to arrest their freefall when they host high-flying Atletico Madrid in their next La Liga game. Five points and four places separate the two sides, with predictions favoring second-placed Atletico here, having won their last three matches.
Alaves must have been thankful for the timing and the length of the international break. They needed to hit the reset button after picking up just one point in their last three matches.
El Glorioso drew 0-0 with Athletic Bilbao last time out, somewhat recovering from two straight defeats, but failing to score for the second straight outing. Having collected nine out of 12 points at home, they will go into this encounter confident of a better outcome.
Atletico will have their concerns about this game, having failed to beat Alaves in their last four trips here. The last two ended in draws, after they lost the earlier two, and they scored just once in the four visits.
However, this match finds the Madrid side in just the right shape. After a shaky window that had them winning once in four matches, Atletico have now banked three straight wins.
Diego Simeone can only hope the international break hasn’t killed the momentum. In their latest outing, Atletico beat city rivals Real Madrid 2-1. That was the first time they conceded in three games.
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Alavés v Atletico Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.4 | 3.8 | 1.76 |
|
|
7.4 | 5.69 | 1.34 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.78 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.78 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.78 | 1.78 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Alavés and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.35% for a win of Alavés against Atletico Madrid with odds of 7.4 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Atletico Madrid is 19.16% with odds of 5.69 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Alavés with odds of 1.85 at 888Starz.
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Form
Alavés and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 |
|
6
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 |
Alavés and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
20 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
20 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Rodriguez
DefenderX. Ibarzabal
Y. Enriquez
H. Novoa
MidfielderS. Diallo
A. Hidalgo
I. Hernandez Canas
A. Blanco
C. Alena
M. Rodriguez
D. Suarez
ForwardT. Martinez
J. Musso
DefenderR. Le Normand
J. Dominguez
D. Martinez Moreno
MidfielderJ. Castillo
Koke
M. Hjulmand
O. Vargas
R. Mendoza
ForwardA. Ortiz
A. Lookman
J. Alvarez
Missing players
F. Garces
V. Koski
MidfielderM. Rodriguez
A. Grimaldo
MidfielderP. Barrios
ForwardA. Sorloth
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Atletico Madrid
L. Boye
(4 Goals)
A. Baena
(4 Goals)
M. Diaz
(3 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(3 Assists)
D. Hancko
(2 Assists)
,
G. Simeone
(2 Assists)
Alavés and Atletico Madrid Stats in LaLiga
Alavés - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Atletico kept clean sheets in two of the last three meetings with Alaves.
- Alaves are winless in their last three matches, having lost twice.
- Atletico won two of their last three matches without conceding.
- In their last two matches, Alaves failed to score.
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Our Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Alaves’ hopes to return to winning ways will meet a tough test even as they play at home. Indeed, they are unbeaten in four home matches against Atletico, but the Atletico side they face here has hit fine form lately.
The visitors will particularly be buoyed by their win against arch rivals Real Madrid and will be driven by the urge to close in on Barcelona. Alaves might be let down by a weak return in attack, while Atletico could reap from a strong defence. In our prediction for Alaves v Atletico Madrid, we’ll back Atletico Madrid to win to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
