Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League

Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
11/05/2026 14:00
Al Ahli

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Saudi Pro League Predictions

It is official: another year will pass without Al Ahli setting hands on the Saudi Pro League title. As they travel to fifth-placed Al Taawon, third-placed Al Ahli sit 10 points behind leaders Al Nassr with three matches remaining. Both sides have been comfortable in attack in their recent outings, backing our prediction for over 2.5 goals in this match.

Al Taawon are looking to hold onto the fifth spot with Al Ittihad breathing down their necks. Heading into this encounter, they posted another win in their inconsistent campaign, beating Al Shabab 5-1.

Their 15th win in 31 matches has them on 52 points, but Al Taawon have lost three times in their last five home games.

Al Ahli are coming into this encounter on a great run, away from home either. They will be trying to win in the league for the first time in four away matches.

Across the last three on the road in this competition, they lost twice. The latest of them was a 2-0 fall at Al Nassr, but the visitors have since risen to win their latest two, a run they will hope to maintain.

Seven goals netted in the last two matches extend Al Ahli’s buoyant mood, having recently won the Asian Champions League title for the second straight season.

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Al-Taawoun FC v Al Ahli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.9 3.7 1.87
Melbet
3.76 3.61 1.9
Betwinner
3.99 3.78 1.81
Bet365
3.2 3.25 2
Roobet
3.55 3.55 2
Check all Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Al-Taawoun FC and Al Ahli?

Our prediction for the Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2026 between Al-Taawoun FC and Al Ahli in Saudi Pro League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.15% for a win of Al-Taawoun FC against Al Ahli with odds of 3.99 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli is 22.09% with odds of 3.78 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 54.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Al Ahli vs Al-Taawoun FC with odds of 2.07 at Shangrila.

Al-Taawoun FC - Al Ahli Prediction and Best Odds:

Al-Taawoun FC Al Ahli Prediction Probability Odds
Al Ahli wins 54.76% 2.07 at Shangrila
Under 2.5 50.38% 2.05 at Betway
Both Team To Score 65.83%
Half-time / Full-time: Al Ahli/Al Ahli 28.11% 3.25 at Bet365

Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli Form

Al-Taawoun FC and Al Ahli's standings in the Saudi Pro League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Al Ahli
81 34 25 6 3 +46
6 Al-Taawoun FC
53 34 15 8 11 +13

Al-Taawoun FC and Al Ahli Last Matches

Al-Taawoun FC
Al-Taawoun FC Last matches
D D L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Shabab
1 :  5
Al-Taawoun FC

29 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
0 :  2
Al-Ittihad Jeddah

23 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
1 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC

11 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
1 :  2
Al-Kholood

4 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
2 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC

12 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Neom SC
2 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC
D L D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
0 :  2
Al-Ittihad Jeddah

11 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
1 :  2
Al-Kholood

6 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
3 :  2
Al Fateh

24 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
1 :  1
Al Hilal

20 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
2 :  3
Al-Fayha FC

7 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
1 :  1
Al-Khaleej Club
L D D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Shabab
1 :  5
Al-Taawoun FC

23 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
1 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC

4 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
2 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC

12 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Neom SC
2 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC

28 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Qadsiah
1 :  1
Al-Taawoun FC

12 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
2 :  1
Al-Taawoun FC
Al Ahli
Al Ahli Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
3 :  1
Al Fateh

3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  0
Al-Okhdood Club

29 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Nasr
2 :  0
Al Ahli

25 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Ahli
1 :  0
Machida Zelvia

20 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League

Vissel Kobe
1 :  2
Al Ahli

17 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Ahli
2 :  1
Johor Darul Takzim
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
3 :  1
Al Fateh

3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  0
Al-Okhdood Club

25 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Ahli
1 :  0
Machida Zelvia

17 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Ahli
2 :  1
Johor Darul Takzim

13 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Ahli
1 :  0
Lekhwiya

4 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
3 :  0
Damac FC
W W L D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Nasr
2 :  0
Al Ahli

20 Apr 2026 - AFC Champions League

Vissel Kobe
1 :  2
Al Ahli

8 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Fayha FC
1 :  1
Al Ahli

13 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Qadsiah
3 :  2
Al Ahli

26 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
0 :  1
Al Ahli

23 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
0 :  1
Al Ahli

Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Al-Taawoun FC

0 %

Draw

0 %

Al Ahli

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.4
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.4
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
2 :  1
Al-Taawoun FC

7 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
2 :  0
Al-Taawoun FC

7 Dec 2024 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
2 :  4
Al Ahli

9 Mar 2024 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
0 :  1
Al Ahli

16 Sept 2023 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
3 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC

Al-Taawoun FC against Al Ahli Lineups: Starting 11

Al-Taawoun FC

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

1
Mailson
5
M. Mahzari
3
Andrei
87
Q. Lajami
55
M. Al Dossari
88
M. Petkov
7
M. Al Kuwaykibi
8
Flavio
18
A. El Mahdioui
11
A. Fulgini
10
R. Martínez
7
R. Mahrez
17
I. Toney
9
F. Albrikan
47
S. Abu Al-Shamat
6
V. Atangana
10
E. Millot
27
A. Majrashi
28
M. Demiral
3
R. Ibanez
32
M. Dams
1
A. Al-Sanbi

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Al Ahli

Substitutes

Al-Taawoun FC
Al-Taawoun FC
Goalkeeper

A. Attiah

Defender

M. Alaeli

M. Al Mufarraj

Andrei 71'

Midfielder

M. Alqahtani

A. Bahusayn

A. Hawsawi

M. Al Hurayji

Forward

Biel

M. Al Dossari 83'

S. Mohamed

Flavio 83'

Al Ahli
Al Ahli
Goalkeeper

A. Abdo

Defender

M. Sulaiman

R. Mahrez 90'

R. Hamed

A. Majrashi 61'

M. Yousef

Y. Madani

Midfielder

Z. Aljohani

V. Atangana 46'

E. Al-Muwallad

Forward

S. Abdullah

M. Goncalves

S. Abu Al-Shamat 61'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Al-Taawoun FC
CD Huachipato Al Ahli
Top Goalscorer
Colombia R. Martínez (23 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England I. Toney (32 Goals)
Best assists
New Caledonia A. Fulgini (10 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria R. Mahrez (8 Assists)

Al-Taawoun FC - Al Ahli Key Points

  1. Over 2.5 goals were scored in three of these sides’ last five meetings.
  2. Playing at home, Al Taawon’s last five matches saw 17 goals netted.
  3. On average, 2.6 goals were scored in Al Ahli’s last five games.
  4. Al Taawon’s last five games produced 18 goals.
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Our Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli Prediction

Al Taawon haven’t won this fixture in seven attempts. The last time they emerged victorious in this encounter was in 2021, when both teams scored in a 4-2 victory. That was also the fifth of their last nine meetings to produce over 2.5 goals.

Al Ahli have been scoring a lot lately, netting seven times in the last two matches, and they face a side that’s also not goal-shy. Al Taawon are coming off a 5-1 victory at Al Shabab, the third time in five matches that they scored at least twice. Our prediction for Al Taawon v Al Ahli is for the match to have more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Al-Taawoun FC Al Ahli

Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Al-Taawoun FC wins 4.11 3.99 -2.9%
Draw 3.84 3.78 -1.6%
Al Ahli wins 1.77 2.07 +16.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Al Ahli is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 16.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 56.5% and is now 48.3% (-8.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Al-Taawoun FC vs Al Ahli Prediction